Even the NHC admits it is difficult to forecast when troughs are involved.
We might gain some insight from the models once Wilma starts building her own environment which is typical of major canes. There is a not much movement forecast during the 24 hour gap between 48 and 72 hours. If Wilma is stubborn and decides to continue further north the forecast could change.
Possible Similar Scenario 1921, Charley for Tampa Bay
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