UPDATE--Nature Coast -- Hernando, Citrus, Levy, Dixie...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

UPDATE--Nature Coast -- Hernando, Citrus, Levy, Dixie...

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:08 pm

I know that at this point, the West Central Florida Nature Coast area is not in the direct target zone, but even a slight variation in landfall could make a huge difference i.e. Charley. So this thread is for those who could might be under the gun in the following few days or so.

(Marion County is welcome to jump in here, too, since storms generally move SW to NE.)

Excellent site about Wilma for residents of the West Central Florida Nature Coast:

http://www.levydisaster.com/
Last edited by dixiebreeze on Fri Oct 21, 2005 9:02 am, edited 4 times in total.
0 likes   

kevin

#2 Postby kevin » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:09 pm

I'm sure we'll be alright.

Kevin in Marion County.
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:10 pm

kevin wrote:I'm sure we'll be alright.

Kevin in Marion County.


I sure hope you're right, Kevin, I have family in Ocala.
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#4 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Oct 18, 2005 10:36 pm

West central and southwest Florida forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay area - Ruskin Florida
910 PM EDT Monday Oct 17 2005

"As for Wilma...she's undergoing rapid intensification as predicted...
and spinning slowly to the west northwest across the northwestern
Caribbean. Most recent suite of model guidance in remarkable
agreement favoring the worst impacts in South Florida peninsula/Keys
by the end of the week.

However...it's far too soon for anyone to
let their guard down given that the ultimate evolution of the
"players" in this event...upper level features across the western
U.S. And beyond...is still to come. Slight deviations in timing and
intensity of any one of these systems will determine where the most
impact will be experienced when Wilma approaches. Stay tuned."
0 likes   

User avatar
arkess7
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2071
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:25 pm
Location: Edgewater, FL

Re: Big Bend thread -- Hernando, Citrus, Levy, Dixie countie

#5 Postby arkess7 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:01 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:I know that at this point, the Big Bend area is not in the direct target zone, but even a slight variation in landfall could make a huge difference i.e. Charley. So this thread is for those who could might be under the gun in the following few days or so.

(Marion County is welcome to jump in here, too, since storms generally move SW to NE.)


UMMMMM :P

HELLO?

yea kevin........you think everythings 'cool'........but who the hell knows.........fred 's 'wife'....is still way the hell out there............i have a pretty good feeling.......that it will............go south of us..........but that "DAMN CONE OF UNCERTAINITY"..............is always totally UNPREDICTABLE!!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek: .........SO WHO KNOWS............ in the next days 'we will' if you "REALLY CARE"......................i just dont understand people that want to 'JOIN A WEATHER FORUM'............ an

they dont put 'WHERE THEY ARE FROM? :roll:

sorry..........i just dont get it.........."IF YOUR GONA JOIN A "WEATHER FORUM SITE'.......... ........ why the heck ........dont ya put where you are from?????????.........................that really 'bothers' me :P

i might have to make a topic :?: :?: :?: :?:
0 likes   

kevin

#6 Postby kevin » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:16 pm

I mostly don't put up my location for an added degree of safety from people.....who....use.......elipses...a lot. 8-)

*sips drink* I'm trying to catch up with you, but I don't know if I can manage! :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:19 pm

kevin wrote:I mostly don't put up my location for an added degree of safety from people.....who....use.......elipses...a lot. 8-)

*sips drink* I'm trying to catch up with you, but I don't know if I can manage! :lol:


:lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#8 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:50 am

Gilbert was my "gold standard." Now I'm really concerned that the track will shift farther north. She's just too big for a such a sharp turn in the GOM.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#9 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:16 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Gilbert was my "gold standard." Now I'm really concerned that the track will shift farther north. She's just too big for a such a sharp turn in the GOM.


She will. Look at this trough. There is no way she's gonna plow through it.

Image
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#10 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:43 am

Sure hope you're right Brent. I'll think positive -- but be prepared.
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#11 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:00 pm

Very good site about wilma for Big Bend residents:

http://www.levydisaster.com/
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#12 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:04 am

Need to keep this thread up front in the event Wilma noses northerly.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#13 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:06 am

and people are blasting me for having a Central Florida thread :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#14 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:07 am

Josephine96 wrote:and people are blasting me for having a Central Florida thread :lol:


John, with landfall in Florida, we'll all get a piece of the action. I started this thread early yesterday.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#15 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:13 am

I know Dixie.. I'm sorry if my comment there sounded smart.. It wasn't meant to be..
0 likes   

jax

#16 Postby jax » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:13 am

Josephine96 wrote:and people are blasting me for having a Central Florida thread :lol:


i think you actually created 2 or three...
0 likes   

Josephine96

#17 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:14 am

Just 2! :lol:
0 likes   

Wacahootaman
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 221
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:54 am
Location: North Florida

#18 Postby Wacahootaman » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:48 am

Here is the latest NOGAPs.

I think that they are out to lunch, but if this verifys, north of Tampa will have a lot more storm than most figure.

Personally, I doubt as it will even hit South Fla as it seems on a west track now into the mid Yucatan and will later be picked up by the trof and hit western or central Cuba IMHO, then NE south of Miami.

If she turns a strong NW and follows the forcast points through tomorrow into the Yucatan Straits, she may still be a Florida threat though.

Time will tell
0 likes   

User avatar
arkess7
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2071
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:25 pm
Location: Edgewater, FL

#19 Postby arkess7 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:29 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Very good site about wilma for Big Bend residents:

http://www.levydisaster.com/



yea good site!!! thanks for the info! :D
0 likes   

User avatar
arkess7
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2071
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:25 pm
Location: Edgewater, FL

#20 Postby arkess7 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:32 am

kevin wrote:I mostly don't put up my location for an added degree of safety from people.....who....use.......elipses...a lot. 8-)

*sips drink* I'm trying to catch up with you, but I don't know if I can manage! :lol:


sorry kevin......i was on a rant the other night :oops: geez.......
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: aspen, MGC, Team Ghost, Teban54 and 317 guests