Other SW Florida County Thread Sarasota County

[johngaltfla]

Well, as usual, the Emergency folks are mum here. If anyone hear's new developments, let's post here. For some reason, everyone wants to target us or Naples with this storm....

[inotherwords]

Even our local met, Bob Harrigan, seemed very low key regarding this storm. It seemed out of character for him.

Personally I feel we are at high risk.

We have a brand new emergency management director in Sarasota County whose first day on the job is Friday. Great timing.

[johngaltfla]

Even our local met, Bob Harrigan, seemed very low key regarding this storm. It seemed out of character for him.

Personally I feel we are at high risk.

I didn't catch Bob tonight. Was he low key as in worried, or just not sure of how to advise the folks to pay attention?

[inotherwords]

Even our local met, Bob Harrigan, seemed very low key regarding this storm. It seemed out of character for him.

Personally I feel we are at high risk.

I didn't catch Bob tonight. Was he low key as in worried, or just not sure of how to advise the folks to pay attention?

He seemed low key in that he didn't want to alarm people. Personally I feel he could have dialed it up a notch or two just to stress that people need to watch this storm closely. He talked about the NHC track, showed the spaghetti models, and talked about watching the cone and not the line because of the uncertainty of the front. I distinctly got the impression that he was not going to go into "be worried" mode for another day or two. The anchors told told people that it was probably premature to put their shutters up yet but to watch for more info.

[tronbunny]

Wow, I'm way up here, about as inland as one can get for the peninsula and I'm worried.
I'd be jumpier than a cat in a room full of rocking chairs, down there.

OK, I'll give 12-16 hrs to watch the public go into panic mode.

[SotabusterFL]

Hey guys i live here in Sarasota too, but it seems like all the TV mets are not too concerned about this. I dont know what to think right now, seems that the models are pretty set on it hitting south Florida, but i just have this gut feeling not to buy it. With her already missing her model points to the south and continuing to move almost due west does this put us in more of a risk? Please thoughs and coments welcomed

[johngaltfla]

Hey guys i live here in Sarasota too, but it seems like all the TV mets are not too concerned about this. I dont know what to think right now, seems that the models are pretty set on it hitting south Florida, but i just have this gut feeling not to buy it. With her already missing her model points to the south and continuing to move almost due west does this put us in more of a risk? Please thoughs and coments welcomed

I'm not going to buy it until it's over Lake Okeechobee.

[conestogo_flood]

OK, I'll give 12-16 hrs to watch the public go into panic mode.

How long will it take for southern Florida to panic over Wilma...

Start time: 9:08pm October 18, 2005.

End time: N/A

[johngaltfla]

OK, I'll give 12-16 hrs to watch the public go into panic mode.

How long will it take for southern Florida to panic over Wilma...

Start time: 9:08pm October 18, 2005.

End time: N/A

It's already started. Sams sold out of 4 pallets of water when I went there tonight and I've heard there's a run on water since 2 at all the grocery store.

[gtalum]

Well my preps are made, except for putting up my plywood, which I'll decide Thursday or Friday. I still don't think we'll get much in Sarasota.

I was just at the gas station and it was just a normal day there.

I think real panic will set in tomorrow.

[conestogo_flood]

How long will it take for southern Florida to panic over Wilma...

Start time: 9:08pm October 18, 2005.

End time: 9:25pm October 18, 2005.

[gtalum]

I didn't catch Bob tonight. Was he low key as in worried, or just not sure of how to advise the folks to pay attention?

Remember Bob's just a card reader. I don't think he does any hurricane predicting himself. he just reads what he gets from Accuweather.

More importantly, Max Mayfield was on the Schnitt Show this afternoon and off the record he said he really thinks this will primarily be a south Florida event with Tampa Bay area getting only indirect effects.

[johngaltfla]

Well my preps are made, except for putting up my plywood, which I'll decide Thursday or Friday. I still don't think we'll get much in Sarasota.

I was just at the gas station and it was just a normal day there.

I think real panic will set in tomorrow.

Super duper panic. The last model runs I just saw split 50/50; 50% further norht, 50% further south.

That's not good for us....

[scogor]

Still too early to tell for anyone on the Florida peninsula. Remember we are dealing with an event (for all of us on the west coast) is still more than 72 hours' out...remember the cone, don't concentrate on the point, etc.

Our local Publix still has lots of bottled water. I don't think the run on supplies here in Sarasota will begin for another day or two. Which means now is a very good time for us posters and lurkers to make our preparations. Hit the ATM's and fill up your cars early tomorrow, my friends...

[johngaltfla]

Expect the run tommorrow. The level of uncertainty about "the turn" is huge. Bob Harrigan wasn't exuding confidence about the curren NHC track NOR the current intensity estimates.

[floridahurricaneguy]

I still think track shift north. Heck just get me out of school. i dont think it looks like anyone in tampa cares or playing it up at all.

Matt

[johngaltfla]

I still think track shift north. Heck just get me out of school. i dont think it looks like anyone in tampa cares or playing it up at all.

Matt

Dennis Phillips was still warning. I think he's waiting on whatever model runs are available for the Lows. If the Alaskan low is late, I think based on his comments, could be a problem for our area or south....

[johngaltfla]

Well. Edit that last post. Dennis just said he "thinks" the track will end up through Punta Gorda again.

OUCH.

[gtalum]

Well. Edit that last post. Dennis just said he "thinks" the track will end up through Punta Gorda again.

Now come on. That's just plain ratings bait. No one, I mean NO ONE can seriously claim to "think" they have it narrowed down that closely at 4 days out.

[johngaltfla]

Well. Edit that last post. Dennis just said he "thinks" the track will end up through Punta Gorda again.

Now come on. That's just plain ratings bait. No one, I mean NO ONE can seriously claim to "think" they have it narrowed down that closely at 4 days out.

I think Dennis is looking at some models we don't get to see. And he, like Joe Bastardi, are not convinced of the timing of the "turn" the other models and forecasters are seeing.

Personally speaking, I'm hoping he's wrong. I have no desire to board up.