Pressure at 5pm tomorrow?

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What will the minimum central pressure be at 5pm tomorrow evening?

Poll ended at Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:28 pm

>990
1
1%
980s
2
2%
970s
1
1%
960s
1
1%
940s
10
11%
930s
25
27%
920s
12
13%
910s
8
9%
<910
34
36%
 
Total votes: 94

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wxwatcher91
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Pressure at 5pm tomorrow?

#1 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:28 pm

Wilma is definitely going through some fast strengthening here. what do you think the minimum central pressure will be at 5pm tomorrow evening?
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#2 Postby dhweather » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:29 pm

940's and falling pretty quick.
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truballer#1

#3 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:29 pm

I say below 910mb
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#4 Postby JtSmarts » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:29 pm

I think between 935-945
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#5 Postby txwatcher91 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:29 pm

Easily below 930 if it keeps on strengthening like it is now. I voted <910Mb.
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#6 Postby dhweather » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:31 pm

It may very well be 920's - the IR loop is getting much more symmetrical
and a cold CDO, with an eye trying to appear.
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#7 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:37 pm

940's. Could even be 930's, but decided to err on the side of caution.

I just don't see how Wilma will be >990 mb or <910 mb. Not bashing anyone, but would those six people so far who voted for please explain why you think that?
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#8 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:45 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:940's. Could even be 930's, but decided to err on the side of caution.

I just don't see how Wilma will be >990 mb or <910 mb. Not bashing anyone, but would those six people so far who voted for please explain why you think that?


yeah sometimes I'm sorry I put the options but obviously you have to accomodate what people might think. >990 is absurd. <910 is unlikely but possible the way she is strengthening right now. if 954 (the latest from recon) is used in the 8pm then that will be 16mb in 3hours. 16 x 8 = 128 down from 970 = 842 so TECHNIQUELY she could be at 842 if she keeps up her current strengthening :wink: :lol:
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#9 Postby SamSagnella » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:47 pm

Rapid deepening to the 930-935mb range by 5pm tomorrow, though I think it will continue the trend beyond that.

NOTE> the minimum potential pressure is around 890mb...don't think it'll go that low but i suppose it's worth considering.[/i]
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#10 Postby gpickett00 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:49 pm

I vote for 842 by tomorrow at 5
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#11 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:51 pm

920 area
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#12 Postby TheEuropean » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:55 pm

I voted 910s, but may be Wilma will be very near Katrina tomorrow eve.
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#13 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:58 pm

930's... although lower would not surprise me.
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#neversummer

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#14 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:01 pm

gpickett00 wrote:I vote for 842 by tomorrow at 5


lol. ok, cycloneye, can we have 842 put as an option? :lol: just kidding
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#15 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:02 pm

gpickett00 wrote:I vote for 842 by tomorrow at 5


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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truballer#1

#16 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:05 pm

Brent wrote:
gpickett00 wrote:I vote for 842 by tomorrow at 5


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:


he probally ment 942
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#17 Postby Buck » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:06 pm

920s
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#18 Postby dhweather » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:06 pm

HE voted wxwather's theoretical minimum.
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#19 Postby n o o d l z » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:06 pm

I'm thinking anything under 930...the conditions are definitely favorable for it to happen. At this point, the way its strengthening...I think the question is not whether it'll do it, but how long it can hold it at that intensity.
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Scorpion

#20 Postby Scorpion » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:08 pm

907 mb.
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