Hurricane Wilma Recon Discussion Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#141 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:14 pm

The plane has decended to operational altitud so the strong data will come very soon.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#142 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:37 pm

They are almostr at the center so the first vortex message will come pretty soon.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
tracyswfla
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 792
Joined: Tue May 18, 2004 1:19 pm
Location: Rochester, NY

#143 Postby tracyswfla » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:38 pm

cycloneye wrote:They are almostr at the center so the first vortex message will come pretty soon.
:fantastic:
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#144 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:57 pm

1949. 1649N 08130W 01525 5159 069 066 160 160 067 01402 0000000000

67 kt
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#145 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:58 pm

67 knots=69.34 mph surface.....
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#146 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:02 pm

Matt,

it equals 61.64 m.p.h. at the surface

its 80% of 850mb, not 90%
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#147 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:05 pm

If they were to have a vortex message at this reading. Would they possibly put Wilma back down to a TS?
0 likes   
Top
inotherwords
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 773
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 9:04 pm
Location: Nokomis, FL

#148 Postby inotherwords » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:05 pm

Did we learn why the plane had to turn back earlier today?
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#149 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:06 pm

75 kt...
Last edited by Brent on Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#150 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:07 pm

Vortex Message comming in minutes.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Bgator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 649
Joined: Mon Sep 05, 2005 12:29 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#151 Postby Bgator » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:08 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:If they were to have a vortex message at this reading. Would they possibly put Wilma back down to a TS?


Defintly not...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#152 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:10 pm

They found more stronger winds 168/75kts.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#153 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:11 pm

Bgator wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:If they were to have a vortex message at this reading. Would they possibly put Wilma back down to a TS?


Defintly not...


Was not referring to the 75kt reading...;
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#154 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:12 pm

75 knots at .8 is around 69 mph surface winds.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Bgator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 649
Joined: Mon Sep 05, 2005 12:29 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#155 Postby Bgator » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:12 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
Bgator wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:If they were to have a vortex message at this reading. Would they possibly put Wilma back down to a TS?


Defintly not...


Was not referring to the 75kt reading...;

I know they still wouldnt, they havent even sampled the whole storm!
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#156 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:13 pm

URNT12 KNHC 182009
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/19:54:00Z
B. 16 deg 36 min N
081 deg 25 min W
C. 850 mb 1169 m
D. 55 kt
E. 335 deg 020 nm
F. 080 deg 075 kt
G. 348 deg 010 nm
H. 970 mb
I. 16 C/ 1526 m
J. 20 C/ 1526 m
K. 20 C/ NA
L. RAGGED
M. C10
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0524A WILMA OB 06
MAX FL WIND 75 KT N QUAD 19:50:40 Z
VERY SMALL WIND CENTER
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#157 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:13 pm

WOW!!! 970 millibars...
0 likes   
Top
txwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1498
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 2:29 pm

#158 Postby txwatcher91 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:14 pm

Brent wrote:URNT12 KNHC 182009
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/19:54:00Z
B. 16 deg 36 min N
081 deg 25 min W
C. 850 mb 1169 m
D. 55 kt
E. 335 deg 020 nm
F. 080 deg 075 kt
G. 348 deg 010 nm
H. 970 mb
I. 16 C/ 1526 m
J. 20 C/ 1526 m
K. 20 C/ NA
L. RAGGED
M. C10
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0524A WILMA OB 06
MAX FL WIND 75 KT N QUAD 19:50:40 Z
VERY SMALL WIND CENTER


What does very small wind center mean?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#159 Postby senorpepr » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:15 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:
Brent wrote:URNT12 KNHC 182009
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/19:54:00Z
B. 16 deg 36 min N
081 deg 25 min W
C. 850 mb 1169 m
D. 55 kt
E. 335 deg 020 nm
F. 080 deg 075 kt
G. 348 deg 010 nm
H. 970 mb
I. 16 C/ 1526 m
J. 20 C/ 1526 m
K. 20 C/ NA
L. RAGGED
M. C10
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0524A WILMA OB 06
MAX FL WIND 75 KT N QUAD 19:50:40 Z
VERY SMALL WIND CENTER


What does very small wind center mean?

The "calm" area in the circulation is very small.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#160 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:16 pm

Its a very tight system....It has always been. 970s is like cat2 hurricane like?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: mitchell, Team Ghost, WaveBreaking and 69 guests