Miami-Dade storm surge...from the SW??

tallywx · #1 Postby **tallywx** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 1:59 pm

I've never heard this scenario discussed, but what is the potential of a major hurricane making landfall from the southwest driving water into the Miami metropolitan area from the Everglades?

Normally, Miami is thought to be an area relatively safe from Atlantic storm surge, since the shelf drops off quickly there. It would seem the opposite is true toward the west. You have very shallow Florida Bay, and the very shallow Everglades. I would imagine that a storm could pile up tremendous amounts of water here and drive it into Miami from the southwest. What's the elevation profile in this direction, and is this a possibility?

Derek Ortt · #2 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:08 pm

it would not make it into the center of the city as it would have to cross 25 miles of land

However, areas west of the NHC MAY have to be worried as there could be a Louisiana type surge event where the surge goes right through the swamp. Plus, Florida Bay is a whole 2 feet deep in most places

x-y-no · #3 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:18 pm

You couldn't get any significant surge from the Glades.

I haven't seen this modeled, but I think you could get a pretty big surge in northern Biscayne Bay if you had a storm come over Miami from the south.

#4 Postby **JPmia** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:21 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:it would not make it into the center of the city as it would have to cross 25 miles of land

However, areas west of the NHC MAY have to be worried as there could be a Louisiana type surge event where the surge goes right through the swamp. Plus, Florida Bay is a whole 2 feet deep in most places

That is amazing and unthinkable! Most people don't realize that Miami/Ft. Laud. are kind of an island of city surrounded on the east by ocean and the west, swamp and marsh. Considering the amount of rain we have had this year the everglades should be full of water.

#5 Postby **HeatherAKC** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:23 pm

the everglades should be full of water.[/quote

]

And critters!!!!!!!!!

Derek Ortt · #6 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:26 pm

the surge would be from Florida Bay, NOT the Everglades

just like in Louisiana, the GOM goes about 30 miles inland. That is the GOM going through the swamps... not a surge from the Swamp

Miami-Dade storm surge...from the SW??

Miami-Dade storm surge...from the SW??

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