tampa/central florida hit???????????

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will wilma hit .........

keys
5
6%
south fl.
53
61%
central fl.
26
30%
big bend area
2
2%
bahama's
1
1%
 
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hurricanefloyd5
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tampa/central florida hit???????????

#1 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:14 pm

another model along with the one from yesterday shifted over downtown orlando and another shifted to central floirda looks more and more that a possible tampa landfall??????????? but we will have to wait and see on what wilma wants to do!!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:



P.S. Look at this a possible jog/wobble to the west???????????http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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#2 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:17 pm

can someone put tampa and add it to the central/tampa or tampa/central florida please????????????
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#3 Postby jax » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:17 pm

based on the current NHC forcast... looks like the gators
in the glades will get hit hardest by Wilma. Keys will likely
be the most effected populas area.
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#4 Postby skysummit » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:19 pm

Despite me trying to agree with a very southern landfall, I'm going to stick with my thoughts yesterday....Cedar Key, Fl. so I'm the lonely one with the Big Bend. :D
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#5 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:21 pm

skysummit wrote:Despite me trying to agree with a very southern landfall, I'm going to stick with my thoughts yesterday....Cedar Key, Fl. so I'm the lonely one with the Big Bend. :D


hehe im not making or tring toi make a forcast but my thoughtss are around tampa bay and possible threw the orlando area..
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#6 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:25 pm

I'm leaning, so far, pretty strongly with a southern Florida landfall.
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#7 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:26 pm

Tampa is a very real possibility still.
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#8 Postby gtalum » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:29 pm

I see Naples or a bit south of there. I am retracting my bet that Tampa Bay won't feel anything though, especially if you include Sarasota and Manatee counties in the Tampa Bay region.
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#9 Postby EDR1222 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:32 pm

I would say South Florida or through the straits of Florida.
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#10 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:09 pm

more and more models head it to central florida but one model at a time i think :eek: :eek:
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#11 Postby melhow » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:13 pm

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:more and more models head it to central florida but one model at a time i think :eek: :eek:


I was wondering this the first time you posted it, so I'll ask this go around:

Which models, exactly, are you talking about?
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#12 Postby gtalum » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:14 pm

Yeah, as I see it more and more models are saying South Florida. The last Central Florida holdout was the GFDL, and it's in south Florida now.
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#13 Postby Bgator » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:15 pm

melhow wrote:
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:more and more models head it to central florida but one model at a time i think :eek: :eek:


I was wondering this the first time you posted it, so I'll ask this go around:

Which models, exactly, are you talking about?


I have seen model shift more and more south EXCEPT GFDl which has stayed between Sarasota and naples, which modlels u talkin about?
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#14 Postby bucman1 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:17 pm

the models will continue to shift until all the atmospheric data is in.

We have seen they sometimes switch run to run.

More changes to come -i'm sure
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#15 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:18 pm

ok so now they shifted again but it had two models over orlando this morning!!!!!!! here are the models and the new changes......................


http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_24.gif
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#16 Postby skysummit » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:18 pm

Hey...who else picked the Big Bend besides me???
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#17 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:20 pm

Hmm.. Looks like it just maybe a regular week here in Tampa. What are the chances are of it possibly getting shifted for more North?

Matt
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#18 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:21 pm

the UKMET AND THE GDFL both were over orlando
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#19 Postby melhow » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:25 pm

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:the UKMET AND THE GDFL both were over orlando


Yes. Eight hours ago. You started this thread at 1:14, so two hours and 10 minutes ago, when all but ONE of the models had already shifted well south. What's up with that?
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#20 Postby Trader Ron » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:42 pm

skysummit wrote:Hey...who else picked the Big Bend besides me???


I said North of Tampa to the Big Bend yesterday. Not making another prediction...lol
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