Further North??

bucman1 · #1 Postby **bucman1** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:19 am

What would cause Wilma to go futher north of the projected track(if anything)?

#2 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:25 am

Bucman...yesterday I was thinking closer to Cedar Key, Fl. I didn't think it would make the sharp turn like the models are indicating, but since the models haven't changed much overnight, I'll agree with them until I see a reason not to.

This morning, I'm actually thinking if it stays "drifting" down there, it could miss Florida all together, or at least, come close to the keys. Looking at WV, those troughs look pretty strong.

bucman1 · #3 Postby **bucman1** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:28 am

skysummitt,

Isn't possible for the trough to be weaker than suggested which would make the ne turn more gradual than a sharp turn?

#4 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:31 am

bucman1 wrote:skysummitt,

Isn't possible for the trough to be weaker than suggested which would make the ne turn more gradual than a sharp turn?

Yes, it's possible. That's what I was thinking yesterday, but this morning, that trough looks like it may be the real deal. If not the first one, then the second one will pull it out. I'm thinking some pretty chilly temperatures are just down the road.

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/w ... us&type=wv

aOl · #5 Postby **aOl** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:36 am

What is the possibility of the trough not coming down far enough to affect Wilma?

#6 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:38 am

aOl wrote:What is the possibility of the trough not coming down far enough to affect Wilma?

I think this is a question for a pro-met, but I do believe it'll come down far enough. I didn't think so yesterday, but this morning it looks like it will. Any pros have opinions?

Further North??

Further North??

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