How Will the NHC Adjust the Track at the 11pm Advisory?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

How Will the NHC Adjust the Track at the 11pm Advisory?

Shift the ENE turn more towards SW. Florida (Ft. Myers/Naples)
13
27%
Shift the entire track right with landfall in the Florida Keys
5
10%
Lessen the ENE turn with a gradual NE turn towards the W. Coast of Florida (Tampa Bay)
8
16%
Shift the entire track left with landfall in the W. Coast of Florida (Nature Coast of FL)
3
6%
They will change the track very little from the 5pm advisory
20
41%
 
Total votes: 49

Message
Author
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

How Will the NHC Adjust the Track at the 11pm Advisory?

#1 Postby gatorcane » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:38 pm

I think a slight shift towards SW FL may happen but who knows (option 1)?
0 likes   

User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#2 Postby hicksta » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:41 pm

I need more options! i dont see the option where it goes south till it dies out... (gotta think posotive)
0 likes   

User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#3 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:41 pm

I think that unless something major happens (which I haven't seen in any of the models tonight) they won't shift the track very much.
0 likes   

Scorpion

#4 Postby Scorpion » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:46 pm

Will stay similar to 5 PM track.
0 likes   

LizzardInFlorida
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 47
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 6:36 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#5 Postby LizzardInFlorida » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:52 pm

hicksta wrote:I need more options! i dont see the option where it goes south till it dies out... (gotta think posotive)


Right on - that's my vote too. We need positive wish-cast votes now. No more destruction this year! Enough!

:grr:
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#6 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:05 pm

Very slight eastward shift and slightly faster... but it will not show a landfall in FL. They will do it very gradually in case the models shift left again.
0 likes   
#neversummer

tornadochaser86
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 11:19 am
Location: University of South Alabama
Contact:

#7 Postby tornadochaser86 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 1:32 am

i agree with brent probably littlke or no change
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: SconnieCane, Team Ghost and 78 guests