Tune to TWC now...

#1 Postby **N2FSU** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:07 pm

Steve Lyons is about to discuss 2 possible scenarios for Wilma in just a minute.

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:13 pm

Watching:

Scenario 1: Trough picks it up... turns NE, goes across Florida somewhere

Scenario 2: Trough doesn't pick it up... goes WNW into the Yucatan or Belize

wxmann_91 · #3 Postby **wxmann_91** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:13 pm

The two scenarios for those who didn't see it-

1) Stronger trough, Florida threat.

2) Weaker trough, Yucatan/Belize threat.

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:16 pm

The bottomline is the trough how strong it will be and that will determine where it will go.

lothian · #5 Postby **lothian** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:24 pm

N2FSU wrote:Steve Lyons is about to discuss 2 possible scenarios for Wilma in just a minute.

N2FSU,
what do you think the chances of Wilma making it as far north as Tally?

#6 Postby **sponger** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:24 pm

Thanks n2fsu.

#7 Postby **WeatherNole** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:30 pm

Ehhhhh . . . .

What does N2FSU know anyway?

(You'll be happy to know that we didn't need to visit you in the emergency room today afterall - thank goodness. :wink:

)

I'm sure he'll agree with me though in thinking that the odds of Wilma getting up our way are very, very slim.

Mike

--

lothian · #8 Postby **lothian** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:36 pm

weathernole,
i noticed that your a pro-met, are you with WCTV?

#9 Postby **N2FSU** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:37 pm

Hey Mike

Yes, I'm GLAD I didn't see you guys today! I always tell my friends that I really hope I don't get to see them on days when I'm at work.

As for Wilma... I agree... I think our chances up here are pretty slim now.

Steve H. · #10 Postby **Steve H.** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:42 pm

Lyons ia atating the obvious, which has been obvious for about three days now.....those two scenarios. There actually will be a second trough pushing through if the first one doesn't get her going NE, which would occur Sunday night. Lyons doesn't impress me very much. But he's playing the TWC tune. I haven't watched them in 10 years even though they're a click away. :roll:

#11 Postby **WeatherNole** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:44 pm

lothian wrote:weathernole,
i noticed that your a pro-met, are you with WCTV?

Yes.

Mike

--

Website · #12 Postby **Brent** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:50 pm

Steve H. wrote:Lyons ia atating the obvious, which has been obvious for about three days now.....those two scenarios. There actually will be a second trough pushing through if the first one doesn't get her going NE, which would occur Sunday night. Lyons doesn't impress me very much. But he's playing the TWC tune. I haven't watched them in 10 years even though they're a click away.

I was thinking the same thing. Everyone here has been saying that was the two possibilities since this thing developed. :lol:

SamSagnella · #13 Postby **SamSagnella** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:04 pm

Yes...we all knew that these two scenarios were the most likely, but Joe Public (TWC's primary audience) probably doesn't. Dr. Lyons is not only a professional meteorologist with a lot of credentials under his belt, but he also is an on-camera meteorologist whose job it is to convey certain messages to the meteorologically ignorant population of this country.

Most people on this board are priviledged enough to be able recognize what the significance of a trough digging down from the NW is, or what it means to have a weakening ridge of high pressure to the E...but that doesn't meant that the other 99% of the US does.

#14 Postby **HDGator** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:18 pm

SamSagnella wrote:...he also is an on-camera meteorologist whose job it is to convey certain messages to the meteorologically ignorant population of this country.

Is it too much to ask for more than a third grade level explanation for at least one minute out of an hour?

It seems we used to get better discussion on TWC; but after the hype at the top of the hour I was quite disappointed with his explanation.

tornadochaser86 · #15 Postby **tornadochaser86** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 1:31 am

i didnt get to see it but i heard the weather channel has shifted the projected path to southern florida

T'Bonz · #16 Postby **T'Bonz** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:47 am

^
Oh joy. :roll:

markymark8 · #17 Postby **markymark8** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:45 am

SamSagnella wrote:Yes...we all knew that these two scenarios were the most likely, but Joe Public (TWC's primary audience) probably doesn't. Dr. Lyons is not only a professional meteorologist with a lot of credentials under his belt, but he also is an on-camera meteorologist whose job it is to convey certain messages to the meteorologically ignorant population of this country.

Most people on this board are priviledged enough to be able recognize what the significance of a trough digging down from the NW is, or what it means to have a weakening ridge of high pressure to the E...but that doesn't meant that the other 99% of the US does.

I would listen to Dr. Steve Lyons opinions before anybody elses on here thats for sure. In my book he is the best and will be a legend like John Hope as well. If anybody knows anything about Steve is that he has alot more credentials than anyone I am sure your watching now on here or your t.v. set. He has studied alot more info than anyone about wave and tidal surge forecasting also. Max Mayfield has alot of respect for him I might add too. Every Hurricane I watched over the last 22 years that affected S.C. or N.C. I only watched John Hope and Steve Lyons and I have been thru quite a bit of glancing and hard hit Hurricane blows too. That should tell u something.

Steve H. · #18 Postby **Steve H.** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:47 am

You're right. He does have the credentials. No bashing here. Just that this was addressed on the board as "breaking news" :roll:

T'Bonz · #19 Postby **T'Bonz** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:00 pm

Boy I miss John Hope.

LilNoles2005 · #20 Postby **LilNoles2005** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:03 pm

Steve H. wrote:You're right. He does have the credentials. No bashing here. Just that this was addressed on the board as "breaking news"

I don't see anywhere above where this was "addressed on the board as "breaking news"".

Tune to TWC now...

Tune to TWC now...

Re: Tune to TWC now...

hmmm . . .

. .

eh...

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