Well I guess us Pcola folks need to start gettin ready.

[aOl]

I just know it's coming, I see an Ivan track that will go NW and NNW for a while then right at the end bend back east for mass devastation.

[Rainband]

I just know it's coming, I see an Ivan track that will go NW and NNW for a while then right at the end bend back east for mass devastation.

that is speculation

[Scorpion]

Highly unlikely. Its called a trough.

[gpickett00]

I just know it's coming, I see an Ivan track that will go NW and NNW for a while then right at the end bend back east for mass devastation.

quote of the year

[WeatherEmperor]

Highly unlikely. Its called a trough.

yeah but didnt the 5pm discussion say that the NHC is expecting zonal flow to be occurring in about 3-5 day timeframe? if there is zonal flow across the northern US, how can a trough be affecting TD24?

<RICKY>

[CHRISTY]

question the fact that its now moving WNW now was this movement expected so soon?i think this will begin making a turn sooner then later.. i still feel from fort myers down two keywest!

[Stratosphere747]

question the fact that its now moving WNW now was this movement expected so soon?i think this will begin making a turn sooner then later.. i still feel from fort myers down two keywest!

There basically is hardly any movement, read the discussion and try not to focus on a 2mph movement..

[baygirl_1]

The models have been doing the "tropic two step": a few ticks east, a few ticks back west, etc. They probably won't get a good handle on things until she gets her act together. Since she really isn't moving much at all, there will be plenty of time to see where she's going. Just hold tight a few days before the gloom and doom talk, please.
I'm sitting here with a hole in my roof and a chimney lying on the roof above our master bath. I'm not ready to think about anything heading this way. Just call me an eternal optimist!

[MGC]

This will not be a major hurricane in the N GOM IMO. It is too late in the season. First, there is only a possibility of TD#24 becoming a major. I suspect the only opportunity for a major is deep in the tropics. Once the storm makes it way into the GOM the waters cool. If a TC approaches the N GOM coast, the waters cool dramatically and continental dry air would be another big problem......MGC

[chrisnnavarre]

Hopefully not. Even if the Western Florida Panhandle is affected maybe being so late in the season the waters have cooled a little.

After what we've been through with Ivan and Dennis, I'll get a bar of soap and shower in a Cat I or II.

[Opal storm]

I will admit it does look like the panhandle's chances of a hit are increasing,but there's no need to prepare now.This is days away from entering the Gulf and probably a week away from landfall if it does come in this direction.I say we just watch and wait for a day or two before taking any actions,still plenty of time for the track to shift.

[artist]

chris - funny you said that - my son did last year, think it was during Jeanne! lol

[Downdraft]

Climitalogy would suggest anything BUT a panhandle hit. Every storm that formed this time of year has been turned by a trough to the northeast.

[KatDaddy]

If any area to be concerned would be the St Pete area. Just my thought.....its just a feeling

[Ivanhater]

Climitalogy would suggest anything BUT a panhandle hit. Every storm that formed this time of year has been turned by a trough to the northeast.

im not sure if you meant where this has formed, but opal hit pensacola in october as a major hurricane

[StormFury]

Read the latest thread in the analysis forum. Don Sutherland suspects a SW Florida landfall. He says that the westward shift in track will only "change" the angle of landfall but not landfall location. I think its safe to say that the Northern GOM has had its turn this season with tropical systems. Now its S. Florida's turn. Move aside Panhandle, move aside Louisiana, and move aside Texas. I smell another Isbell coming!

[Ivanhater]

Read the latest thread in the analysis forum. Don Sutherland suspects a SW Florida landfall. He says that the westward shift in track will only "change" the angle of landfall but not landfall location. I think its safe to say that the Northern GOM has had its turn this season with tropical systems. Now its S. Florida's turn. Move aside Panhandle, move aside Louisiana, and move aside Texas. I smell another Isbell coming!

whoa, you sound like you want a hurricane, and you seem to get angry everytime someone mentions the possibility of a strike somewhere else...so i guess those of us who have "had our turn" we will "move aside" so you can get "your turn"

[FloridaGirl]

Well, I live in Fort Walton Beach Fl, just about sixty or so miles from P'Cola. I have water, food generator and preps to survive the after effects of the storm. If it hits here dead on, I can still survive. It will not be a Cat 4 or 5 this time of the year. I am with the other poster, I will get a wash cloth and a bar of soap and bathe in a Cat one or a two. Each storm helps us get ready for the next one. I learn from each storm and now feel somewhat prepared. Will definitely not stay for a Cat 4 or a 5, but I do not see that happening this year. Whoever gets this storm, you are in my prayers.

[hicksta]

Read the latest thread in the analysis forum. Don Sutherland suspects a SW Florida landfall. He says that the westward shift in track will only "change" the angle of landfall but not landfall location. I think its safe to say that the Northern GOM has had its turn this season with tropical systems. Now its S. Florida's turn. Move aside Panhandle, move aside Louisiana, and move aside Texas. I smell another Isbell coming!

Same guy said Rita was gonna hit South of corpus. Id trust the NHC.

[Dr. Jonah Rainwater]

Well, it IS the only area of the Gulf Coast that hasn't been smashed to bits yet this year. I mean between Dennis, Katrina, Rita, and Emily...and Stan, and Charley and Ivan...Wilma doesn't have much of a choice!