Will #24/Wilma eventually be a threat to the peninsula..?>

Josephine96 · #1 Postby **Josephine96** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 7:11 am

Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

#2 Postby **Lowpressure** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 7:17 am

I would say the west coast of Florida is prime for a late season storm in this location. Multiple troughs will be digging down to eventually steer here North or NE. If I am in Florida, and maybe Ala I am watching this one close. She appears to be set to be a major, so she will get plenty of attention this week.

Josephine96 · #3 Postby **Josephine96** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 7:19 am

Might sound like a logical solution. I call it, the "slingshot effect" when a tropical storm gets picked up by a trough and shoots to the NE as a result..

#4 Postby **jlauderdal** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 7:50 am

Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

#5 Postby **Trader Ron** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 7:53 am

jlauderdal wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

This is a Florida system. Just a GUESS on my part, i say North of Tampa.

This is not an official forecast.

Website · #6 Postby **Brent** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 7:56 am

Yes... very likely.

Where is the question.

#7 Postby **tracyswfla** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 8:01 am

Trader Ron wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

This is a Florida system. Just a GUESS on my part, i say North of Tampa.

This is not an official forecast.

changed your tune, friend??

StormFury · #8 Postby **StormFury** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 8:09 am

According to the NHC statement, many of the global models are underestimating the strength of the future trough. With this said, I would say the greatest threat would be south of Tampa Bay. Oh, here is their quote..."IF ANYTHING... THE GLOBAL MODELS TEND TO
DAMPEN THESE TYPES OF SHORTWAVES TOO MUCH... SO MY FEELING IS THAT
THE GFS... GFDL... UKMET... AND ECMWF MODELS MAY NOT HAVE ENOUGH
SHORTWAVE ENERGY EMERGING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. BY DAYS 2-3
AND... THEREFORE... THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH SHOULD WEAKEN MORE THAN
INDICATED BY THOSE MODELS."

#9 Postby **Trader Ron** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 8:17 am

tracyswfla wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

This is a Florida system. Just a GUESS on my part, i say North of Tampa.

This is not an official forecast.

changed your tune, friend??

Not at all. I never said it wasn't a Florida storm. I said, it wasn't coming to Naples. We'll see... :lol:

#10 Postby **tracyswfla** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 8:37 am

Trader Ron wrote:
tracyswfla wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

This is a Florida system. Just a GUESS on my part, i say North of Tampa.

This is not an official forecast.

changed your tune, friend??

Not at all. I never said it wasn't a Florida storm. I said, it wasn't coming to Naples. We'll see...

Well I have to admit I am a bit anxious. Our local met just said, the question is not if it is coming here, but when.....frantic laundry has commenced.

Scorpion · #11 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 8:43 am

Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

YES

#12 Postby **Trader Ron** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 8:47 am

tracyswfla wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:
tracyswfla wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

This is a Florida system. Just a GUESS on my part, i say North of Tampa.

This is not an official forecast.

changed your tune, friend??

Not at all. I never said it wasn't a Florida storm. I said, it wasn't coming to Naples. We'll see...

Well I have to admit I am a bit anxious. Our local met just said, the question is not if it is coming here, but when.....frantic laundry has commenced.

So the Local Met said it was coming to SW Florida? How can he make a prediction like that, five day's out?

Was it Tom Rector?

johngaltfla · #13 Postby **johngaltfla** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 8:49 am

tracyswfla wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:
tracyswfla wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

This is a Florida system. Just a GUESS on my part, i say North of Tampa.

This is not an official forecast.

changed your tune, friend??

Not at all. I never said it wasn't a Florida storm. I said, it wasn't coming to Naples. We'll see...

Well I have to admit I am a bit anxious. Our local met just said, the question is not if it is coming here, but when.....frantic laundry has commenced.

What station/met in Fort Myers said that?????????? :?:

#14 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 8:57 am

Trader Ron wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

This is a Florida system. Just a GUESS on my part, i say North of Tampa.

This is not an official forecast.

Gee, thanks Ron :roll:

#15 Postby **tracyswfla** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:11 am

johngaltfla wrote:
tracyswfla wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:
tracyswfla wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:Just curious people.. Since it is kinda close..

this is a florida system all the way

This is a Florida system. Just a GUESS on my part, i say North of Tampa.

This is not an official forecast.

changed your tune, friend??

Not at all. I never said it wasn't a Florida storm. I said, it wasn't coming to Naples. We'll see...

Well I have to admit I am a bit anxious. Our local met just said, the question is not if it is coming here, but when.....frantic laundry has commenced.

What station/met in Fort Myers said that??????????

Tom Rector, who is NOT an alarmist. Channel 2

k-man · #16 Postby **k-man** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:17 am

Well I have to admit I am a bit anxious. Our local met just said, the question is not if it is coming here, but when.....frantic laundry has commenced.

[/quote]

I would say that it's a tad bit early for local mets to be making statements like this.....geez.

LSue · #17 Postby **LSue** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:20 am

WOW, Tracy...Tom said that? :eek:

An alarmist for sure, he is not...

Could be be an interesting week for us, huh?

Linda

#18 Postby **tracyswfla** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:31 am

LSue wrote:WOW, Tracy...Tom said that?

An alarmist for sure, he is not...

Could be be an interesting week for us, huh?

Linda

He did. But better to be safe than sorry....

#19 Postby **Trader Ron** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:34 am

LSue wrote:WOW, Tracy...Tom said that?

An alarmist for sure, he is not...

Could be be an interesting week for us, huh?

Linda

Well, i have seen Tom Hype some storms in the past.

#20 Postby **tracyswfla** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:43 am

Trader Ron wrote:
LSue wrote:WOW, Tracy...Tom said that?

An alarmist for sure, he is not...

Could be be an interesting week for us, huh?

Linda

Well, i have seen Tom Hype some storms in the past.

I don't think he hyped, I think he made a small hint.

Will #24/Wilma eventually be a threat to the peninsula..?>

Will #24/Wilma eventually be a threat to the peninsula..?>

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