Nam joins EC,Nogaps and Ukmet on Carribean Development

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Vortex
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Nam joins EC,Nogaps and Ukmet on Carribean Development

#1 Postby Vortex » Wed Oct 12, 2005 9:50 pm

More and more models are jumping on the fact we may very well see development over the SW carribean. NAM at 60 hrs

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_060l.gif
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nam at 66hrs

#2 Postby Vortex » Wed Oct 12, 2005 9:54 pm

Run is just rolling in now

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_066l.gif
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krysof

#3 Postby krysof » Wed Oct 12, 2005 9:54 pm

and shear is light over the western caribbean now
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Loop thru 72 hrs

#4 Postby Vortex » Wed Oct 12, 2005 9:59 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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#5 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Oct 12, 2005 10:00 pm

Hopefully it stays a weak tropical depression, crosses cuba, heads
over to my place and gives me some good drought-bustin' rains.
Bring on the rain baby!
Just rain and nothing more...(no wind or anything like that)
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Full run loop

#6 Postby Vortex » Wed Oct 12, 2005 10:13 pm

gonna get interesting!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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#7 Postby skysummit » Wed Oct 12, 2005 10:16 pm

Hopefully the movement will be just like the NAM too...north and then out to sea.
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#8 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Oct 12, 2005 10:25 pm

skysummit wrote:Hopefully the movement will be just like the NAM too...north and then out to sea.


And over Cuba and Haiti? aka Gordon 1994, which killed a thousand there? I'm not hoping for that.

Thankfully the NAM is a useless model over the tropics. Don't trust a thing that it says, I'd even trust the GFS more.
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#9 Postby skysummit » Wed Oct 12, 2005 10:27 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:
skysummit wrote:Hopefully the movement will be just like the NAM too...north and then out to sea.


And over Cuba and Haiti? aka Gordon 1994, which killed a thousand there? I'm not hoping for that.

Thankfully the NAM is a useless model over the tropics. Don't trust a thing that it says, I'd even trust the GFS more.


NO! NOT OVER CUBA AND HAITI! Less just pretend those landmasses are not there and send this system out to sea.
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