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NastyCat4

#61 Postby NastyCat4 » Tue Oct 11, 2005 9:00 am

No ones rooting for a land fall. Just some surf and a new record. Either way, they will be talking about 2005 for many years to come.


Yupp--believe me, the insurance companies will be talking about it for years as well.

Hey, we cannot stop nature, but cheerleading for disasters? I think we've had more than enough, and I, for one, will be glad to see the end of 'Cane season. It is hard to have a "bring it on, rah rah" attitude, when so many folks have suffered in the past two years in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Texas, Florida, the Carolinas, and the Carribbean Islands and Mexico.
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#62 Postby boca » Tue Oct 11, 2005 9:01 am

I'm not hoping for a landfall. I want Alpha to form in the Cental Atlanitc away from everyone.I pay insurance and I'm a home owner.
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#63 Postby x-y-no » Tue Oct 11, 2005 9:15 am

Looks like the Canadian maritimes get a pretty strong extratropical wallop from this in five days or so.

Not so clear to me that it ever develops tropical features before that.
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#64 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 11, 2005 9:17 am

Lets enjoy the few hours of no tropical ativity (at least named)!
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#65 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 11, 2005 10:09 am

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS...STRETCHING FROM THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE
LIKELY TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.


11:30 AM TWO.
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#66 Postby caribepr » Tue Oct 11, 2005 10:15 am

cycloneye wrote:A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS...STRETCHING FROM THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE
LIKELY TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.


11:30 AM TWO.


ARGH!! My friend has his fiance' flying into St. Croix from Costa Rica via SJ this afternoon...he's freaking she'll be delayed. But she's all Spanish all the time, so she should be okay (she just knows very little about how to deal with cities and it's only her second time on a plane)
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#67 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Oct 11, 2005 10:33 am

Satitle tells me still disorganized for any tropicial development.
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#68 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 11, 2005 10:37 am

After how this season has been, I wouldn't be surprised to see this develop faster than expected. Remember Tammy?!?!?
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#69 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Oct 11, 2005 10:39 am

NastyCat4 wrote:
No ones rooting for a land fall. Just some surf and a new record. Either way, they will be talking about 2005 for many years to come.


Yupp--believe me, the insurance companies will be talking about it for years as well.

Hey, we cannot stop nature, but cheerleading for disasters? I think we've had more than enough, and I, for one, will be glad to see the end of 'Cane season. It is hard to have a "bring it on, rah rah" attitude, when so many folks have suffered in the past two years in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Texas, Florida, the Carolinas, and the Carribbean Islands and Mexico.


Given what has happened in the past several years- we ought not
to root for systems to develop.

I am hoping for a weak system to bring me some rain before the
dry season sets in, since 2005 has been the driest summer ever
recorded in my area. Other parts of FL saw extensive rainfall, but
we could use some rain. We are entering the October-May
Dry Season. I DO NOT hope for a big storm. All I want is a
weak system maybe a depression to restore rain tables.
Water use is being limited.

I realize that a drought is preferable to a disaster- therefore I DO NOT
wish for a big storm. I hope for a VERY weak system to offer
a little more rain in my rain bucket.
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#70 Postby nequad » Tue Oct 11, 2005 11:11 am

As if rooting, or rooting against, for something to develop makes a difference?

It's all out of our hands.
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#71 Postby caribepr » Tue Oct 11, 2005 12:29 pm

nequad wrote:As if rooting, or rooting against, for something to develop makes a difference?

It's all out of our hands.


Really? I thought it was sort of like looking in the fridge - if you look long enough, SOMEthing will be there that wasn't there before and is just what you want!
I thought if I looked at radar, sats, models and the sky long enough, I could just...sort...of...nudge...a...system...along
and now you tell me it's not true? :cry:
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#72 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 11, 2005 12:35 pm

nequad wrote:As if rooting, or rooting against, for something to develop makes a difference?

It's all out of our hands.


*Ding!*
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#neversummer

Weatherfreak000

Yes

#73 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Tue Oct 11, 2005 1:00 pm

Brent wrote:
nequad wrote:As if rooting, or rooting against, for something to develop makes a difference?

It's all out of our hands.


*Ding!*


Nice post.



Kill the haters lol.
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#74 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 11, 2005 1:05 pm

CARIBBEAN SEA AND W ATLANTIC W OF 58W...
NO BIG CHANGES FROM YESTERDAY AS AN ANOMALOUS PATTERN REMAINS
WITH STRONG W TO WSW FLOW IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS CONTROLLING
THE AREA S OF A TROUGH AXIS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NE
HONDURAS. VERY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS AND UPPER DIFFLUENCE IS
CONTINUING TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE
CARIBBEAN SE OF THE TROUGH. 1005 MB LOW IS JUST S OF SE CUBA
WITH ANOTHER WEAK 1006 MB LOW JUST OFFSHORE OF NE HONDURAS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTM COVER THE REGION N OF S AMERICA BETWEEN
70W-81W. MORE ISOLATED ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST OF
HONDURAS E OF 87.5W. A WEAK UPPER HIGH HAS FORMED NEAR 16N75W
PROVIDING PLENTY OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE FOR NEARBY SHOWERS/TSTMS.
FARTHER E... COMPLEX MID/UPPER LOW HAS A MEAN CENTER NEAR 26N71W
WITH A 1005 MB S OF THE LOW N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 22N68.5W.
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN BLANKETING THE ISLAND AND THE
ADJACENT ISLANDS APPROACHING ST. MARTIN. OVERALL SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 63W-70W BETWEEN 15N-20N.
HEAVY RAIN... FLASH FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-
THREATENING MUDSLIDES EXISTS IN THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH THIS
WEATHER SYSTEM ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN. TROPICAL MOISTURE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH MID
WEEK WITH AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF FLOODING... AND SOME DRYING OVER
THE NW CARIBBEAN INCLUDING YUCATAN AND W & CENTRAL CUBA. THINGS
COULD GET A LITTLE DRIER IN PUERTO RICO IN A COUPLE DAYS AS THE
LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA HEADS NORTHWARD IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION
OF BERMUDA. UNFORTUNATELY THIS COULD PUT THE FLOODING-PRONE
ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA AT RISK FOR CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. OTHERWISE OVER W ATLC WATERS THE UPPER
TROUGH IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 20N-31N BETWEEN
59W-68W. MODELS SUGGEST THAT SOME TYPE OF SUBTROPICAL LOW COULD
TRY TO FORM IN A FEW DAYS IN THE VICINITY OF BERMUDA THAT THERE
IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY ON IF IT WILL EVEN HAVE MANY
SUBTROPICAL LOW CHARACTERISTICS.



2 PM Discussion about all the mess in the Caribbean and Western Atlantic that includes invest 97L.
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#75 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Oct 11, 2005 1:37 pm

Lookin a bit better but For here they are expecting the sur to pick up sunday. : :)
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#76 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 11, 2005 1:38 pm

HURAKAN wrote:After how this season has been, I wouldn't be surprised to see this develop faster than expected. Remember Tammy?!?!?


Anythng can happen in 2005 as we haved seen in this weird season in many aspects with the latest one being Vince forming in the NE atlantic and making landfall in Spain.
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#77 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Oct 11, 2005 1:44 pm

cycloneye wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:After how this season has been, I wouldn't be surprised to see this develop faster than expected. Remember Tammy?!?!?


Anythng can happen in 2005 as we haved seen in this weird season in many aspects with the latest one being Vince forming in the NE atlantic and making landfall in Spain.


Very True. All we can do is wait and see.
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NastyCat4

#78 Postby NastyCat4 » Tue Oct 11, 2005 2:32 pm

Anythng can happen in 2005 as we haved seen in this weird season in many aspects with the latest one being Vince forming in the NE atlantic and making landfall in Spain.


I dno't think this season was all that strange, except for the NUMBER of storms being so high. There has been a clear pattern--an intense Gulf of Mexico season, with low trackers. The second aspect is a strong Bahama season, with several "homebrews." The third portion was obvious recurve storms, with an absence of Cape Verde development. That is far from random--it indicated definite "hot spots."
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Weatherfreak000

heh

#79 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Tue Oct 11, 2005 2:37 pm

NastyCat4 wrote:
Anythng can happen in 2005 as we haved seen in this weird season in many aspects with the latest one being Vince forming in the NE atlantic and making landfall in Spain.


I dno't think this season was all that strange, except for the NUMBER of storms being so high. There has been a clear pattern--an intense Gulf of Mexico season, with low trackers. The second aspect is a strong Bahama season, with several "homebrews." The third portion was obvious recurve storms, with an absence of Cape Verde development. That is far from random--it indicated definite "hot spots."



No offense bro but i'd consider Vince, Tammy and Emily three very prominent exceptions.
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krysof

#80 Postby krysof » Tue Oct 11, 2005 2:39 pm

NastyCat4 wrote:
Anythng can happen in 2005 as we haved seen in this weird season in many aspects with the latest one being Vince forming in the NE atlantic and making landfall in Spain.


I dno't think this season was all that strange, except for the NUMBER of storms being so high. There has been a clear pattern--an intense Gulf of Mexico season, with low trackers. The second aspect is a strong Bahama season, with several "homebrews." The third portion was obvious recurve storms, with an absence of Cape Verde development. That is far from random--it indicated definite "hot spots."


How about two Category 5 hurricanes in the gulf of mexico less than a month apart, and both made landfall in Lousianna. Also in only one season, two of the top 5 most intense hurricanes in the atlantic formed. Katrina now takes #5 and Rita #3 with pressure 902 and 897 respectively. Not to mention Vince right now of course, Stan's devastation in Mexico and other countries, Emily and Dennis's hard hit on Cuba.
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