Central Caribbean Blob/Central Atlantic ULL

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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Central Caribbean Blob/Central Atlantic ULL

#1 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:24 pm

Is it moving? Is it deepening? What an odd feature...
EDIT: Also note the massive blob in the Caribbean
Image
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Tue Oct 11, 2005 11:57 am, edited 4 times in total.
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#2 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:26 pm

Here it is on the National Hurricane Center's infra-red imagery...
Image
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#3 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:28 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Here it is on the National Hurricane Center's infra-red imagery...
Image


Very cold cloud tops with that massive Carribean blob
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#4 Postby truballer#1 » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:30 pm

gfdl makes it a weak hurricane next week
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#5 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:30 pm

That blob is being sheared...is shear forecasted to lessen in
the next 1-2 days? (cause some globals are indicating development in
this area)

I presume the globals are predicting lesser shear by
deepening this blob...please correct me if I am mistaken :wink:
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#6 Postby Hurricane_Apu » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:52 pm

Remember the thread about a storm the size of Typhoon Tip in the Atlantic?
Well this (non-tropical) system is about that big... it is causing flooding rains in both South America and New England...

For kicks someone with access to Photoshop could take the central core from Rita or Katrina, scale it up to appropriate size and graft it into the center of that satellite photo...
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#7 Postby fasterdisaster » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:53 pm

Yeah, shear is forecasted to lessen some there in the next several days I think. Speaking of developing, I'm almost a tropical depression!!!
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#8 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:54 pm

That central Carribean blob is REALLY flaring up...it really bears
close watching once the shear begans to relax
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#9 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:55 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:Yeah, shear is forecasted to lessen some there in the next several days I think. Speaking of developing, I'm almost a tropical depression!!!


Globals do some interesting stuff with this blob...
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#10 Postby fasterdisaster » Mon Oct 10, 2005 6:59 pm

Yeah, I wonder if this develops where the center will form, from the part in the central Caribbean or the part near Puerto Rico?
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#11 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Oct 10, 2005 7:02 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:Yeah, I wonder if this develops where the center will form, from the part in the central Caribbean or the part near Puerto Rico?


Possibly both, but IMO the central Carribean....due to it being
further away from the Shearing ULL and due to the more
intense convection concentration.
The ULL when its shear lessens, the system near puerto rico
could develop- as well as the central carribean blob

Several global models are hinting at 2 systems in 2-4 days...so
both may develop if the shear lessens as forecasted....
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#12 Postby skysummit » Mon Oct 10, 2005 7:57 pm

I don't care if they're both 40mph Tropical Storms, as long as they move out to sea, form!!!
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#13 Postby rainydaze » Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:16 pm

That central Carribean blob is REALLY flaring up...it really bears
close watching once the shear begans to relax



Image

Don't worry the bears are on the job..... :lol:
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#14 Postby Noah » Mon Oct 10, 2005 9:39 pm

Where willl it go?
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#15 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 10, 2005 9:41 pm

Noah wrote:Where willl it go?


Well the thing north of Puerto Rico will head generally towards Bermuda and may spread rain(again) up into the big cities... the Caribbean thing will probably follow behind it.
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Re: Central Carribean Blob/Central Atlantic ULL

#16 Postby krysof » Mon Oct 10, 2005 9:42 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Is it moving? Is it deepening? What an odd feature...
EDIT: Also note the massive blob in the Carribean
Image


that wave between 30 and 40 w and about 10 n looks very well organized, I think if it continues to organize we may have an invest shortly
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#17 Postby Noah » Mon Oct 10, 2005 9:44 pm

Brent wrote:
Noah wrote:Where willl it go?


Well the thing north of Puerto Rico will head generally towards Bermuda and may spread rain(again) up into the big cities... the Caribbean thing will probably follow behind it.


Dont think it will circle into florida?
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#18 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 10, 2005 9:44 pm

Noah wrote:
Brent wrote:
Noah wrote:Where willl it go?


Well the thing north of Puerto Rico will head generally towards Bermuda and may spread rain(again) up into the big cities... the Caribbean thing will probably follow behind it.


Dont think it will circle into florida?


Not with the setup like it is now...
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#19 Postby Noah » Mon Oct 10, 2005 9:45 pm

Brent wrote:
Noah wrote:
Brent wrote:
Noah wrote:Where willl it go?


Well the thing north of Puerto Rico will head generally towards Bermuda and may spread rain(again) up into the big cities... the Caribbean thing will probably follow behind it.


Dont think it will circle into florida?


Not with the setup like it is now...


Brent do you think the west caost of florida is out of the woods now from anything else this year?
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#20 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Oct 10, 2005 9:53 pm

Noah wrote:
Brent wrote:
Noah wrote:
Brent wrote:
Noah wrote:Where willl it go?


Well the thing north of Puerto Rico will head generally towards Bermuda and may spread rain(again) up into the big cities... the Caribbean thing will probably follow behind it.


Dont think it will circle into florida?


Not with the setup like it is now...


Brent do you think the west caost of florida is out of the woods now from anything else this year?


***The following is not even a forecast-- it is just a theoretical
exploration***:



The only chance it may circle would be for a very strong cold front
to exert a pull on it at the end of this week....and for that
front to stall just off the FL West Coast, and if that were to
occur (hypothetically speaking...none of this is forecasted to happen
right now)...it would circle anywhere from FL to Cuba....


This setup is not likely to take place...but anything's possible...so
it's always good to watch this stuff...


As for where this blob is going...it's difficult to say at this point...
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