cycloneye wrote:
For all who are in the US and around the world look what is going on in the NE Caribbean in the radar.
Big Rain Event is over for Puerto Rico,USVI,BVI
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
It is now close to 1 a.m. and all we have had are some gusts and a tiny bit of rain, but as I'm typing...the rain is coming in. The radar makes it look like we are being smashed...too bad we weren't as I spent about 3 hours trying to put out a termite ball fire my landlord so kindly started. The police and DRN were not amused. PLEASE come rain!!! (I know I'm going to regret typing that)
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR PUERTO RICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN PREVAILED ACROSS MOST OF THE LOCAL AREA OVERNIGHT.
AFTER MIDNIGHT...BANDS AND CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS BEGAN TO MOVE
NORTHWARD AND ASHORE ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO
AND CONTINUED INTO THE MOUNTAINOUS INTERIOR WHERE THEY WEAKENED.
THIS LEFT ONE TO THREE INCH RAIN ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS A TRIANGULAR
AREA FROM GUANICA TO CIALES TO SALINAS...PRODUCING AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING...WITH MANY CREEKS AND STREAMS FLOODING. HOWEVER THE VEIL
OF HIGH CLOUDS AND WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN WAS DECREASING AT 5
AM...WITH A LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOOMING ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS.
A STRONG AND LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PERSISTS ACROSS
THE SUB TROPICAL ATLANTIC THIS MORNING DUE NORTH OF THE ANEGADA
PASSAGE...AND IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. THIS LARGE CIRCULATION IS
INFLUENCING THE ENTIRE REGION FROM THE BAHAMAS TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AND INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS VERY
ENERGETIC MID TO UPPER UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS ALL THE RIGHT INGREDIENTS
IN PLACE TO CREATE AND MAINTAIN VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. A VERY COMPLEX PATTERN OF
LOW PRESSURE AT THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO
EVOLVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...AND WILL BRING ABUNDANT
AMOUNTS OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE STRONG UPPER LOW
TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF WIDESPREAD RAIN AND NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. THIS THEREFORE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
PERIODS OF COPIOUS RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION...THAT COULD LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. LOCAL
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE THEREFORE URGED TO REMAIN ALERT FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO THE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...ALONG
WITH HIGH RISKS OF RIVER...STREAM...AND CREEK FLOODING...AS WELL
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
ALTHOUGH A BREAK HAS OCCURRED IN THE HIGH CLOUDS AND WIDESPREAD RAIN
JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE...NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE LOCAL AREA. THIS WILL LEAVE LARGE AREAS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING...THAT WILL SPREAD
INTO VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST RATHER THAN IMPROVE ON
MONDAY...AND FLOODING COULD BECOME EXTENSIVE.
BROAD LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...GULF OF MEXICO...AND
BAHAMAS THIS MORNING IS COMBINING WITH WEAK LOW PRESSURE OCCURRING
UNDERNEATH OF THIS STRONG UPPER LOW TO PRODUCE A SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW
ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. THIS FLOW IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER COULD EVOLVE TO OUR NORTH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. INCREASING
WIND AND SEAS ARE THUS FORECAST FOR THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH
MONDAY. MARINERS SHOULD ALSO REMAIN ALERT FOR INTENSE OR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING.
The above discusson says it all about what to expect in the next couple of days so let's prepare for much more than what we haved seen so far and the radar images says the story.
It was a night of only light rain falling in intervals here in San Juan but in southern PR more heavy showers moved in overnight prompting a flash flood warning for that area.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
515 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
GUANICA
CIALES
COAMO
GUAYANILLA
JAYUYA
ADJUNTAS
MARICAO
OROCOVIS
SABANA GRANDE
UTUADO
YAUCO
VILLALBA
PENUELAS
GUAYAMA
JUANA DIAZ
PONCE
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
LAJAS
* UNTIL 8:00 AM AST
* AT 5 AM AST...NWS DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN CONTINUED TO FALL ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTH AND
CENTRAL INTERIOR OF THE ISLAND...WHERE VERY HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH
FLOODING HAVE OCCURRED OVERNIGHT. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
FALLEN ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THIS NEW WARNING AREA SINCE 2
AM...AND ADDITIONAL MODERATE RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WHICH WILL MAINTAIN CREEK AND STREAM
LEVELS AT OR ABOVE FLOOD LEVELS. IN ADDITION...A LARGE AREA OF
HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING OVER THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AND ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING...AND CAUSE FURTHER
HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING. THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING EXTENDS IN TIME
AND AREA ALL PREVIOUS FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE MIDNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH 6 AM...WITH MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS THEN EXPECTED DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RAPID RISES IN
RIVER LEVELS ARE LIKELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING
WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.
LAT...LON 1833 6654 1791 6615 1795 6704 1812 6695
1820 6679 1829 6672
And a marine weather statement.
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
400 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
AMZ730-740-750-091400-
/X.NEW.TJSJ.MA.S.0001.051009T0754Z-051009T1400Z/
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF THE EASTERN COASTS FROM CABO SAN JUAN TO PUNTA
VIENTO N OF 17N AND W OF 64W INCLUDING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.-
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF THE SOUTH COAST FROM PUNTA VIENTO TO PUNTA
MELONES AND OUTSIDE OF 12NM OF WEST COAST FROM PUNTA MELONES TO
PUNTA CADENA EAST OF 68W AND N OF 17N-
NEARSHORE WATERS OF WEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO FROM PUNTA CADENA TO
PUNTA MELONES WESTWARD OUT TO 12 NM.-
354 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
...LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND MONA PASSAGE...
AT 3:30 AM...SATELLITE PHOTOS AND NWS DOPPLER RADAR IN CAYEY SHOWED
A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING ACROSS THE OPEN
WATERS OF THE CARIBBEAN 50 TO 80 MILES SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHWEST OF
CABO ROJO...MOVING NORTHEASTWARD. THIS WEATHER WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND
INTO THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND SOUTHERN MONA PASSAGE...AND THEN
ASHORE ACROSS WEST...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BY
AROUND 8 AM.
MARINERS ACROSS THESE WATERS SHOULD EXPECTED INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO ONE NM OR LESS...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY
ROUGH SEAS...AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE
PERSISTENT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF SEVERAL
INCHES...AND COULD CAUSE YOUR VESSEL TO TAKE ON LARGE AMOUNTS OF
WATER.
ADDITIONAL AREAS OF SIMILAR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND HEAVY
RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. LOCAL MARINERS WOULD BE WELL ADVISED TO
RETURN TO OR REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WEATHER IMPROVES SOMEWHAT TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-101030-
630 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LARGE AND ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WELL TO
OUR NORTH THIS MORNING HAS CREATED VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND WILL DRIFT
WEST AND INTO A MORE FAVORABLE POSITION TO GENERATE STRONG
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A MOISTENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW
TODAY IS EXPECTED TO BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FROM
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOCAL ISLANDS
TODAY.. WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUING TO SPREAD NORTH AND
NORTHEAST TONIGHT. MANY AREAS WILL SEE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY
LEADING TO WIDESPREAD URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING...WITH INCREASING
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING A GOOD POSSIBILITY BY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CAPABLE
OF INDUCING LANDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MODERATE NORTHEAST SWELLS CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE REGIONAL WATERS
AND ARE MAINTAINING SEAS AROUND 6 FEET ACROSS THE OFF SHORE
ATLANTIC. SOME OF THIS SWELL ENERGY IS MAKING IT INTO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST COASTS AND BEACHES OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...GENERATING RIP
CURRENTS. A SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT TO PRODUCE BUILDING SEAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TO MAINTAIN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION...AND GOOD RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY. HOWEVER...ON
MONDAY...VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN TERMS OF INSTABILITY AND HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE OFF SHORE ATLANTIC TO THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST OR
OUR AREA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AND WOULD INDIRECTLY INCREASE THE
LOCAL WIND FLOW ACROSS OUR AREA...AND EVENTUALLY GENERATE MODERATE
TO LARGE SWELLS THAT WOULD AFFECT THE LOCAL WATERS LATER IN THE
WEEK.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN PREVAILED ACROSS MOST OF THE LOCAL AREA OVERNIGHT.
AFTER MIDNIGHT...BANDS AND CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS BEGAN TO MOVE
NORTHWARD AND ASHORE ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO
AND CONTINUED INTO THE MOUNTAINOUS INTERIOR WHERE THEY WEAKENED.
THIS LEFT ONE TO THREE INCH RAIN ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS A TRIANGULAR
AREA FROM GUANICA TO CIALES TO SALINAS...PRODUCING AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING...WITH MANY CREEKS AND STREAMS FLOODING. HOWEVER THE VEIL
OF HIGH CLOUDS AND WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN WAS DECREASING AT 5
AM...WITH A LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOOMING ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS.
A STRONG AND LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PERSISTS ACROSS
THE SUB TROPICAL ATLANTIC THIS MORNING DUE NORTH OF THE ANEGADA
PASSAGE...AND IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. THIS LARGE CIRCULATION IS
INFLUENCING THE ENTIRE REGION FROM THE BAHAMAS TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AND INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS VERY
ENERGETIC MID TO UPPER UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS ALL THE RIGHT INGREDIENTS
IN PLACE TO CREATE AND MAINTAIN VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. A VERY COMPLEX PATTERN OF
LOW PRESSURE AT THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO
EVOLVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...AND WILL BRING ABUNDANT
AMOUNTS OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE STRONG UPPER LOW
TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF WIDESPREAD RAIN AND NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. THIS THEREFORE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
PERIODS OF COPIOUS RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION...THAT COULD LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. LOCAL
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE THEREFORE URGED TO REMAIN ALERT FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO THE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...ALONG
WITH HIGH RISKS OF RIVER...STREAM...AND CREEK FLOODING...AS WELL
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
ALTHOUGH A BREAK HAS OCCURRED IN THE HIGH CLOUDS AND WIDESPREAD RAIN
JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE...NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE LOCAL AREA. THIS WILL LEAVE LARGE AREAS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING...THAT WILL SPREAD
INTO VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST RATHER THAN IMPROVE ON
MONDAY...AND FLOODING COULD BECOME EXTENSIVE.
BROAD LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...GULF OF MEXICO...AND
BAHAMAS THIS MORNING IS COMBINING WITH WEAK LOW PRESSURE OCCURRING
UNDERNEATH OF THIS STRONG UPPER LOW TO PRODUCE A SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW
ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. THIS FLOW IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER COULD EVOLVE TO OUR NORTH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. INCREASING
WIND AND SEAS ARE THUS FORECAST FOR THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH
MONDAY. MARINERS SHOULD ALSO REMAIN ALERT FOR INTENSE OR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING.
The above discusson says it all about what to expect in the next couple of days so let's prepare for much more than what we haved seen so far and the radar images says the story.
It was a night of only light rain falling in intervals here in San Juan but in southern PR more heavy showers moved in overnight prompting a flash flood warning for that area.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
515 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
GUANICA
CIALES
COAMO
GUAYANILLA
JAYUYA
ADJUNTAS
MARICAO
OROCOVIS
SABANA GRANDE
UTUADO
YAUCO
VILLALBA
PENUELAS
GUAYAMA
JUANA DIAZ
PONCE
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
LAJAS
* UNTIL 8:00 AM AST
* AT 5 AM AST...NWS DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN CONTINUED TO FALL ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTH AND
CENTRAL INTERIOR OF THE ISLAND...WHERE VERY HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH
FLOODING HAVE OCCURRED OVERNIGHT. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
FALLEN ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THIS NEW WARNING AREA SINCE 2
AM...AND ADDITIONAL MODERATE RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WHICH WILL MAINTAIN CREEK AND STREAM
LEVELS AT OR ABOVE FLOOD LEVELS. IN ADDITION...A LARGE AREA OF
HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING OVER THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AND ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING...AND CAUSE FURTHER
HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING. THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING EXTENDS IN TIME
AND AREA ALL PREVIOUS FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE MIDNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH 6 AM...WITH MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS THEN EXPECTED DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RAPID RISES IN
RIVER LEVELS ARE LIKELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING
WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.
LAT...LON 1833 6654 1791 6615 1795 6704 1812 6695
1820 6679 1829 6672
And a marine weather statement.
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
400 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
AMZ730-740-750-091400-
/X.NEW.TJSJ.MA.S.0001.051009T0754Z-051009T1400Z/
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF THE EASTERN COASTS FROM CABO SAN JUAN TO PUNTA
VIENTO N OF 17N AND W OF 64W INCLUDING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.-
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF THE SOUTH COAST FROM PUNTA VIENTO TO PUNTA
MELONES AND OUTSIDE OF 12NM OF WEST COAST FROM PUNTA MELONES TO
PUNTA CADENA EAST OF 68W AND N OF 17N-
NEARSHORE WATERS OF WEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO FROM PUNTA CADENA TO
PUNTA MELONES WESTWARD OUT TO 12 NM.-
354 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
...LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND MONA PASSAGE...
AT 3:30 AM...SATELLITE PHOTOS AND NWS DOPPLER RADAR IN CAYEY SHOWED
A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING ACROSS THE OPEN
WATERS OF THE CARIBBEAN 50 TO 80 MILES SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHWEST OF
CABO ROJO...MOVING NORTHEASTWARD. THIS WEATHER WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND
INTO THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND SOUTHERN MONA PASSAGE...AND THEN
ASHORE ACROSS WEST...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BY
AROUND 8 AM.
MARINERS ACROSS THESE WATERS SHOULD EXPECTED INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO ONE NM OR LESS...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY
ROUGH SEAS...AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE
PERSISTENT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF SEVERAL
INCHES...AND COULD CAUSE YOUR VESSEL TO TAKE ON LARGE AMOUNTS OF
WATER.
ADDITIONAL AREAS OF SIMILAR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND HEAVY
RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. LOCAL MARINERS WOULD BE WELL ADVISED TO
RETURN TO OR REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WEATHER IMPROVES SOMEWHAT TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-101030-
630 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LARGE AND ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WELL TO
OUR NORTH THIS MORNING HAS CREATED VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND WILL DRIFT
WEST AND INTO A MORE FAVORABLE POSITION TO GENERATE STRONG
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A MOISTENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW
TODAY IS EXPECTED TO BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FROM
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOCAL ISLANDS
TODAY.. WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUING TO SPREAD NORTH AND
NORTHEAST TONIGHT. MANY AREAS WILL SEE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY
LEADING TO WIDESPREAD URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING...WITH INCREASING
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING A GOOD POSSIBILITY BY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CAPABLE
OF INDUCING LANDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MODERATE NORTHEAST SWELLS CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE REGIONAL WATERS
AND ARE MAINTAINING SEAS AROUND 6 FEET ACROSS THE OFF SHORE
ATLANTIC. SOME OF THIS SWELL ENERGY IS MAKING IT INTO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST COASTS AND BEACHES OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...GENERATING RIP
CURRENTS. A SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT TO PRODUCE BUILDING SEAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TO MAINTAIN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION...AND GOOD RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY. HOWEVER...ON
MONDAY...VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN TERMS OF INSTABILITY AND HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE OFF SHORE ATLANTIC TO THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST OR
OUR AREA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AND WOULD INDIRECTLY INCREASE THE
LOCAL WIND FLOW ACROSS OUR AREA...AND EVENTUALLY GENERATE MODERATE
TO LARGE SWELLS THAT WOULD AFFECT THE LOCAL WATERS LATER IN THE
WEEK.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.
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bvigal
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**** NOTICE TO ALL BOAT OWNERS NE CARIBBEAN ****
If you own a boat, or know someone who does, please be advised: Very unusual SW to W winds expected tonight. All docked boats should today either reposition or put out extra lines and fenders in anticipation of S to W winds 28kts or MORE, beginning tonight or early Monday. Boats tied to south or west/facing beaches should rig stern anchor to SW, or at least drop back from shore for bow anchor. All boats at anchor should have two anchors laid, and along with boats on moorings, insure plenty of swing room and protection against chafing.
If you own a boat, or know someone who does, please be advised: Very unusual SW to W winds expected tonight. All docked boats should today either reposition or put out extra lines and fenders in anticipation of S to W winds 28kts or MORE, beginning tonight or early Monday. Boats tied to south or west/facing beaches should rig stern anchor to SW, or at least drop back from shore for bow anchor. All boats at anchor should have two anchors laid, and along with boats on moorings, insure plenty of swing room and protection against chafing.
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We're getting a LOT of wind, with spits of rain (the termite ball fire is out, finally, so I've gone back to no rain insanity please).
Unfortunately, a friend had to get someone to St. Thomas in an emergency this morning (by boat, the only way to get there, as plane flights are pretty unreliable this morning) and I'm very concerned. So those who pray, send some that way, please.
Unfortunately, a friend had to get someone to St. Thomas in an emergency this morning (by boat, the only way to get there, as plane flights are pretty unreliable this morning) and I'm very concerned. So those who pray, send some that way, please.
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cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
936 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
GUANICA
CAGUAS
COAMO
CAYEY
GUAYANILLA
AIBONITO
ARROYO
JAYUYA
ADJUNTAS
PATILLAS
MAUNABO
OROCOVIS
NAGUABO
SABANA GRANDE
SAN LORENZO
YABUCOA
YAUCO
VILLALBA
LAS PIEDRAS
PENUELAS
GUAYAMA
HUMACAO
JUANA DIAZ
PONCE
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
LAJAS
* UNTIL 130 PM AST
* AT 933 AM AST...THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AS WELL AS LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGERS ALONG PARTS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO INDICATED
AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING INLAND FROM THE OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN
WATERS OVER THE WARNED AREA.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO NAGUABO.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA AS THIS ACTIVITY MOVES NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THESE AND
ADJACENT MUNICIPALITIES.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ANY
ROADS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS
ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.
IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RAPID RISES IN
RIVER LEVELS ARE LIKELY. IN ADDITION...DUE TO EXTREMELY SATURATED
SOILS...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY
FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.
Another flash flood warning pops up.
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
936 AM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
GUANICA
CAGUAS
COAMO
CAYEY
GUAYANILLA
AIBONITO
ARROYO
JAYUYA
ADJUNTAS
PATILLAS
MAUNABO
OROCOVIS
NAGUABO
SABANA GRANDE
SAN LORENZO
YABUCOA
YAUCO
VILLALBA
LAS PIEDRAS
PENUELAS
GUAYAMA
HUMACAO
JUANA DIAZ
PONCE
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
LAJAS
* UNTIL 130 PM AST
* AT 933 AM AST...THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AS WELL AS LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGERS ALONG PARTS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO INDICATED
AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING INLAND FROM THE OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN
WATERS OVER THE WARNED AREA.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO NAGUABO.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA AS THIS ACTIVITY MOVES NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THESE AND
ADJACENT MUNICIPALITIES.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ANY
ROADS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS
ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.
IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RAPID RISES IN
RIVER LEVELS ARE LIKELY. IN ADDITION...DUE TO EXTREMELY SATURATED
SOILS...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY
FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.
Another flash flood warning pops up.
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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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As shear gradually lessens tropical development may be
possible. A few models hint at 1 or 2 areas of low pressure
developing out of the massive carribean convection. One low
heads out to sea north of puerto rico. The other heads
slowly west and stalls near the western carribean. With
wet MJO penetrating this area, it is going to be a very interesting
week.
possible. A few models hint at 1 or 2 areas of low pressure
developing out of the massive carribean convection. One low
heads out to sea north of puerto rico. The other heads
slowly west and stalls near the western carribean. With
wet MJO penetrating this area, it is going to be a very interesting
week.
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Still windy, very overcast but with little in the way of rain here. Happily, my friends got to St. Thomas fine, hit only one squall and went around it. Wont' be coming back until Tuesday so I feel better!
We're all enjoying the cool weather and hoping it doesn't go too badly as the ground is full.
We're all enjoying the cool weather and hoping it doesn't go too badly as the ground is full.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
San Juan has not recieved heavy rain today but only some light showers.It has been cloudy all day long and the temps are cool and that is good.The wind has been blowing steadily between 15-25 mph with some higher gusts in the higher elevations.So far the worst of the bad weather has been in southern Puerto Rico and even there it has stopped at this time as I type.But still the ingredients are there for more rain activity to spread thru the area as the upper low lingers north of the islands so by any means it's not over yet even if there are breaks in the action.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR PUERTO RICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
400 PM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
SKIES REMAINED MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUED TO BE
TRANSPORTED ACROSS THE AREA IN THE PREVAILING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW. LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DIMINISHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF
PUERTO RICO...WHILE OCCASIONAL LINES OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS
CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS AND AFFECT THE CENTRAL AND EAST SECTIONS OF
THE ISLAND FROM TIME TO TIME. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT MOST OF THE RAIN WAS NOW CONCENTRATED
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE
ADJACENT ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. THE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR LESS WITH MOST OF THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY. THE LOCAL WIND FLOW WAS PREDOMINANTLY OUT OF THE SOUTH AT
10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. THE DOPPLER RADAR
HOWEVER..ALONG WITH REPORTS FROM LOCAL RESIDENTS INDICATED THAT
THERE WERE AREAS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
THE DENSE UPPER LEVEL MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA HAS
SOMEWHAT SUPPRESSED THE WIDESPREAD DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWER ACTIVITY
DURING THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ALTHOUGH THE RAINS ACROSS THE AREA
HAVE LESSENED...SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG WITH THE DOPPLER RADAR
CONTINUE TO SHOW CONSIDERABLE AMOUNTS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE...AND OVER THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN
WATERS. THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE MAINLY FROM THE
SOUTH SOUTHWEST...AND THEREFORE SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE
BROUGHT IN ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FROM THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE THE ALREADY UNSTABLE SOIL
CONDITIONS... AND WILL QUICKLY CAUSE A RISE IN SOME OF THE LOCAL
RIVERS AND STREAMS...WHICH REMAIN AT HIGH LEVELS IN SOME AREAS.
THE PERSISTENT STRONG AND LARGE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM CONTINUES ACROSS THE SUB TROPICAL ATLANTIC NORTH OF THE
ANEGADA PASSAGE...AND CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD. THE LARGE
CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE ENTIRE REGION FROM THE
BAHAMAS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AND INTO THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC. THIS VERY ENERGETIC SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE ALL
THE RIGHT INGREDIENTS TO MAINTAIN VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AT LEAST THROUGH TUESDAY.
MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A VERY COMPLEX PATTERN OF LOW PRESSURE TO
DEVELOP AT THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ABUNDANT
AMOUNTS OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. THIS LOW LEVEL FEATURE WILL COMBINE WITH THE
STRONG UPPER LOW ALREADY IN PLACE TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF WIDESPREAD
RAIN AND MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION.
THEREFORE...THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO MONDAY. ONCE AGAIN...AND THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. LOCAL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE THEREFORE URGED TO REMAIN
ALERT TO THE RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
WITH THE LOW PRESSURE EXPECTED TO FORM ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
UNDERNEATH THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
INCREASING WIND AND SEAS ARE THUS FORECAST FOR THE REGIONAL WATERS
THROUGH MONDAY. MARINERS SHOULD ALSO REMAIN ALERT FOR PERIODS
INTENSE OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGIONAL
WATERS...WITH ASSOCIATED FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING.
Here is the latest.Nothing that looks like the bad weather will go away anytime soon.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 092026
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
425 PM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
.DISCUSSION...
WHILE THERE WERE ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS...OVERALL THE
CONVECTION STAYED JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS...WHERE THE LARGER SCALE SYNOPTIC CONVERGENCE
OCCURRED. AT THE SAME TIME THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW INCREASED
SIGNIFICANTLY...PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...WHICH
PRODUCED SOME HEAVY SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTH SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO DUE
TO THE STRONG LIFT OVER THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL. THE VAD WIND
PROFILE INDICATED STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OF 20 KNOTS OR
ABOVE AT 3 KFT AND THERE WERE OTHER AREA OBSERVATIONS AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS INDICATED NEAR 25 MPH WINDS. HENCE...A WIND ADVISORY FOR
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET WAS ISSUED.
CURRENT SAT IMAGERY AND RADAR INDICATE THAT THERE ARE ACTIVE AREAS
OF CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE LOCAL ISLANDS. AS WELL ADVERTISED THE
LAST SEVERAL DAYS...ALL THE ELEMENTS FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO PERSIST
TONIGHT AND THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE LARGE
SCALE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE REGION AND THE RIGHT
INGREDIENTS FOR SYNOPTIC SCALE RISING MOTION. THE DYNAMICS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PERSIST MONDAY AS WELL AS
IT IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE WEST NORTHWEST.
FOR THE MARINE CONDITIONS...THE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE SURFACE
WINDS WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE REGIONAL WATERS. IN
ADDITION...THERE IS LINGERING MODERATE LONG PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL.
BUT THE MAIN MECHANISM FOR WAVE GENERATION FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL
BE THE INCREASING SURFACE WINDS...WITH WINDS 20 KNOTS OR EVEN HIGHER
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN LOCAL CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC
WATERS.
The latest discussion about all the situation.
caribepr the radar has been fixed.
FXCA62 TJSJ 092026
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
425 PM AST SUN OCT 9 2005
.DISCUSSION...
WHILE THERE WERE ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS...OVERALL THE
CONVECTION STAYED JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS...WHERE THE LARGER SCALE SYNOPTIC CONVERGENCE
OCCURRED. AT THE SAME TIME THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW INCREASED
SIGNIFICANTLY...PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...WHICH
PRODUCED SOME HEAVY SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTH SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO DUE
TO THE STRONG LIFT OVER THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL. THE VAD WIND
PROFILE INDICATED STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OF 20 KNOTS OR
ABOVE AT 3 KFT AND THERE WERE OTHER AREA OBSERVATIONS AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS INDICATED NEAR 25 MPH WINDS. HENCE...A WIND ADVISORY FOR
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET WAS ISSUED.
CURRENT SAT IMAGERY AND RADAR INDICATE THAT THERE ARE ACTIVE AREAS
OF CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE LOCAL ISLANDS. AS WELL ADVERTISED THE
LAST SEVERAL DAYS...ALL THE ELEMENTS FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO PERSIST
TONIGHT AND THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE LARGE
SCALE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE REGION AND THE RIGHT
INGREDIENTS FOR SYNOPTIC SCALE RISING MOTION. THE DYNAMICS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PERSIST MONDAY AS WELL AS
IT IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE WEST NORTHWEST.
FOR THE MARINE CONDITIONS...THE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE SURFACE
WINDS WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE REGIONAL WATERS. IN
ADDITION...THERE IS LINGERING MODERATE LONG PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL.
BUT THE MAIN MECHANISM FOR WAVE GENERATION FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL
BE THE INCREASING SURFACE WINDS...WITH WINDS 20 KNOTS OR EVEN HIGHER
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN LOCAL CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC
WATERS.
The latest discussion about all the situation.
caribepr the radar has been fixed.
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A very light rain has started, but the wind is picking up and the radar has the entire VI's in a flash flood watch, as well as eastern PR (since we are in the middle, logic would include us). There is this sort of remote very low roar like a distant truck sound that is really strange. Or...I'm not awake enough and it IS a distant truck!
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cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/pr/hourly.html
Pressures are relativly low in the area.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
Radar loop where you can see the rotation south of Puerto Rico.
Overnight at San Juan it was a cloudy with light to moderate showers moving thru.
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA... THE LESSER ANTILLES... AND EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC FOR A SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES... IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED
WITH A MIDDLE- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BETWEEN BERMUDA
AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. SOME BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN HAVE DEVELOPED
NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING NEAR A SURFACE
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...BUT SOME SLOW
NON-TROPICAL OR SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
And NHC mentions this area at the 5:30 AM TWO .
Pressures are relativly low in the area.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
Radar loop where you can see the rotation south of Puerto Rico.
Overnight at San Juan it was a cloudy with light to moderate showers moving thru.
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA... THE LESSER ANTILLES... AND EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC FOR A SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES... IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED
WITH A MIDDLE- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BETWEEN BERMUDA
AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. SOME BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN HAVE DEVELOPED
NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING NEAR A SURFACE
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...BUT SOME SLOW
NON-TROPICAL OR SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
And NHC mentions this area at the 5:30 AM TWO .
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cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
655 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN
SAINT THOMAS
SAINT CROIX
* UNTIL 900 AM AST
* AT 654 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THAT RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS THE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THIS RAIN
HAS DECREASED IN INTENSITY...IT REMAINS PERSISTENT...WITH ADDITIONAL
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 9 AM.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ANY
ROADS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS
ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RAPID RISES IN
RIVER LEVELS ARE LIKELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING
WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.
LAT...LON 1843 6461 1768 6457 1757 6493 1843 6505
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
655 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN
SAINT THOMAS
SAINT CROIX
* UNTIL 900 AM AST
* AT 654 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THAT RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS THE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THIS RAIN
HAS DECREASED IN INTENSITY...IT REMAINS PERSISTENT...WITH ADDITIONAL
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 9 AM.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ANY
ROADS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS
ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RAPID RISES IN
RIVER LEVELS ARE LIKELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING
WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.
LAT...LON 1843 6461 1768 6457 1757 6493 1843 6505
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Having lived on St. Croix and St. Thomas and being familiar with St. John, and knowing the roads (and how bad some of them are in GOOD weather) that is a scary bulletin. Hope everyone just stays home today 
Just had a message from a friend on St. Croix yelling, "I wish I had a canoe!!"
And here comes our share of it...a white out is moving up the bay (which I can see from my front door). It's heeerrrrreeeee
Just had a message from a friend on St. Croix yelling, "I wish I had a canoe!!"
And here comes our share of it...a white out is moving up the bay (which I can see from my front door). It's heeerrrrreeeee
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cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-111030-
630 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LARGE AND ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WELL TO
OUR NORTH THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO CREATE VERY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THE LOCAL AREA REMAINS IN
A FAVORABLE POSITION TO GENERATE STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TODAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BRING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN NORTH AND
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. THE POTENTIAL REMAINS
FOR WIDESPREAD URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING...FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING. SINCE GROUNDS ARE STILL SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CAPABLE OF INDUCING
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MODERATE NORTHEAST SWELLS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS AND
WILL MAINTAIN SEAS AROUND 6 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AS WELL
AS PARTS OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. SOME OF THIS SWELL ENERGY IS
MAKING IT INTO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST COASTS AND BEACHES OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS...GENERATING RIP CURRENTS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TO MAINTAIN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION...AND GOOD RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY. HOWEVER...ON
TUESDAY...VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN TERMS OF INSTABILITY AND HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.
$$
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB
SITE FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT (ALL LOWERCASE
LETTERS): HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-111030-
630 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LARGE AND ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WELL TO
OUR NORTH THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO CREATE VERY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THE LOCAL AREA REMAINS IN
A FAVORABLE POSITION TO GENERATE STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TODAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BRING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN NORTH AND
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. THE POTENTIAL REMAINS
FOR WIDESPREAD URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING...FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING. SINCE GROUNDS ARE STILL SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE CAPABLE OF INDUCING MUDSLIDES
IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MODERATE NORTHEAST SWELLS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS AND
WILL MAINTAIN SEAS AROUND 6 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AS WELL
AS PARTS OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. SOME OF THIS SWELL ENERGY IS
MAKING IT INTO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST COASTS AND BEACHES OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS...GENERATING RIP CURRENTS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TO MAINTAIN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION...AND GOOD RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY. HOWEVER...ON
TUESDAY...VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN TERMS OF INSTABILITY AND HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-111030-
630 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LARGE AND ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WELL TO
OUR NORTH THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO CREATE VERY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THE LOCAL AREA REMAINS IN
A FAVORABLE POSITION TO GENERATE STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TODAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BRING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN NORTH AND
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. THE POTENTIAL REMAINS
FOR WIDESPREAD URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING...FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING. SINCE GROUNDS ARE STILL SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CAPABLE OF INDUCING
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MODERATE NORTHEAST SWELLS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS AND
WILL MAINTAIN SEAS AROUND 6 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AS WELL
AS PARTS OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. SOME OF THIS SWELL ENERGY IS
MAKING IT INTO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST COASTS AND BEACHES OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS...GENERATING RIP CURRENTS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TO MAINTAIN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION...AND GOOD RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY. HOWEVER...ON
TUESDAY...VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN TERMS OF INSTABILITY AND HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.
$$
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB
SITE FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT (ALL LOWERCASE
LETTERS): HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-111030-
630 AM AST MON OCT 10 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LARGE AND ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WELL TO
OUR NORTH THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO CREATE VERY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THE LOCAL AREA REMAINS IN
A FAVORABLE POSITION TO GENERATE STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TODAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BRING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN NORTH AND
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. THE POTENTIAL REMAINS
FOR WIDESPREAD URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING...FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING. SINCE GROUNDS ARE STILL SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE CAPABLE OF INDUCING MUDSLIDES
IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MODERATE NORTHEAST SWELLS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS AND
WILL MAINTAIN SEAS AROUND 6 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AS WELL
AS PARTS OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. SOME OF THIS SWELL ENERGY IS
MAKING IT INTO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST COASTS AND BEACHES OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS...GENERATING RIP CURRENTS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TO MAINTAIN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION...AND GOOD RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY. HOWEVER...ON
TUESDAY...VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN TERMS OF INSTABILITY AND HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.
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weatherwindow
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cycloneye
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weatherwindow wrote:luis, what is the record daily rainfall for PR, not associated with a landfalling tropical cyclone?....also what would the rainfall differential be between the mountains, say adjuntas, and the coastal cities, say san juan or ponce?.....stay dry, luis.........rich
Above is the normal anual rainfall for Puerto Rico.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/rain.html
Above is one of the big rain events of recent years that was not related to a tropical storm nor hurricane.
Adjuntas is one of the most rainy spots in Puerto Rico because of the topografy of that area that cretes the orografic effects enhancing the rainfall as you can seein the graphic above.
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