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x-y-no
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#401 Postby x-y-no » Thu Oct 06, 2005 3:03 pm

Bouy 42056 has WSW winds at 13.6 knots - pressure 1006.5mb.

Seems like there's a healthy closed circulation over western Cuba.
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#402 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 06, 2005 3:44 pm

I see a well defined area of low pressure, moving east-northeastward just north of the tip of Cuba. Convection is south of the cirulation.

\http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html
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#403 Postby sfwx » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:04 pm

IF it develops ( a big if) it may take a similar track as Irene did in 1999.

Eric
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#404 Postby sfwx » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:04 pm

IF it develops ( a big if) it may take a similar track as Irene did in 1999.

Eric
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#405 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:10 pm

Satellite shows a well defined cirualtion forming moving along the northern Cuba coast. Earlier this year I would be going crazy for a upgrade of it. Data from surface buoys show it is at the surface. This could get interesting.


http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html
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#406 Postby Trader Ron » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:19 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Satellite shows a well defined cirualtion forming moving along the northern Cuba coast. Earlier this year I would be going crazy for a upgrade of it. Data from surface buoys show it is at the surface. This could get interesting.


http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html


I'll believe it when i see it. The weather in Naples has been very nice this afternoon.
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#407 Postby tracyswfla » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:22 pm

Trader Ron wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Satellite shows a well defined cirualtion forming moving along the northern Cuba coast. Earlier this year I would be going crazy for a upgrade of it. Data from surface buoys show it is at the surface. This could get interesting.


http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html


I'll believe it when i see it. The weather in Naples has been very nice this afternoon.


Very nice in the late afternoon, had heavy downpours earlier!
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#408 Postby x-y-no » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:28 pm

Nice band moving north, approaching the Keys. No sign of any spin on Key West radar so far, though (extreme long range is looking at 15000 - 20000 feet, though).

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#409 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Oct 06, 2005 5:50 pm

Do you think this thing will move into the straights? There is a little less shear there.





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#410 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Oct 06, 2005 6:29 pm

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#411 Postby arkess7 » Thu Oct 06, 2005 6:32 pm

:uarrow: wow the tropics are really blowing up!!!!!!!!!! :eek:
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#412 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Oct 06, 2005 6:34 pm

Feels more like late September...than early October
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#413 Postby johngaltfla » Thu Oct 06, 2005 6:44 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Feels more like late September...than early October


HUSH! We do not need ANYTHING at all forming by the Yucatan or Honduras this season.

If it does, we'll get plastered on the West Coast!

Think "it feels more like January" and pray a massive cold front chills the GOM....AND QUICK!
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#414 Postby artist » Thu Oct 06, 2005 6:46 pm

did you ever get any rain, Tampa Bay?
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#415 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Oct 06, 2005 7:01 pm

artist wrote:did you ever get any rain, Tampa Bay?

Yup. :D Drought severity is lessened a bit.
For those who don't know, Tampa Bay had its hottest and driest summer
on record; heavy rains today though added some good soaking.

Thankfully it is just rain and there is no wind or
surge to worry about :D
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#416 Postby tracyswfla » Thu Oct 06, 2005 7:15 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg

Florida is in for some wet weather!
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#417 Postby artist » Thu Oct 06, 2005 7:43 pm

we are definately in for some flooding in my area if we get anymore heavy fast rains. Today driving home one major road into our area- the drainage on the side is all but full - won't take much to spill it over into the main roadway unless we get a good break! just north of WPB
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#418 Postby Crankin » Thu Oct 06, 2005 7:54 pm

Artist, where do you live?
We haven't received much in Tampa yet. We need 3-5 inches. That would be good. Doesn't look like it will happen. Things seem to be shifting east.
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#419 Postby Crankin » Thu Oct 06, 2005 7:55 pm

oops. I guess I should learn to read entire posts :oops:
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#420 Postby artist » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:01 pm

that's ok- I am guilty of that all the time! :D
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