93L Invest

[krysof]

I know right now, it's in a pretty favorable environment. Shear ranges from 10 to 15 knots.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The moist MJO and decreasing shear may allow for
some development- as NHC has indicated...so I won't write this
off yet...

[ronjon]

GRR!!!! This better not mean that after
Tammy's heavy rains forecasted to hit us and then missed us
(HUGE dissappointment here)- that 93L and its rains will be of
little consequence...Very little rain here since late August- 2005
HAD ONE OF THE
DRYEST SUMMERS EVER...for Tampa bay

TBH, I know how ya feel. every tropical system with decent rain seems to find a way to steer around the tampa bay area. Not gonna happen this time becuz with this set up we dont need a tropical cyclone to get some heavy rain outta this one.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

GRR!!!! This better not mean that after
Tammy's heavy rains forecasted to hit us and then missed us
(HUGE dissappointment here)- that 93L and its rains will be of
little consequence...Very little rain here since late August- 2005
HAD ONE OF THE
DRYEST SUMMERS EVER...for Tampa bay

TBH, I know how ya feel. every tropical system with decent rain seems to find a way to steer around the tampa bay area. Not gonna happen this time becuz with this set up we dont need a tropical cyclone to get some heavy rain outta this one.

yes! Finally some heavy rains with all that moisture flowing north...

[hurricanedude]

written off...buried and lets go to the next one.....if something does come of 93 i will eat all the crow in the world, I am man enough to do that...but I am no dummy...I know how to interpret a sattelite image...and the is no 93 if you ask me...just an area of rain ans showers

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

written off...buried and lets go to the next one.....if something does come of 93 i will eat all the crow in the world, I am man enough to do that...but I am no dummy...I know how to interpret a sattelite image...and the is no 93 if you ask me...just an area of rain ans showers

Sorry I can't resist the urge...

[Opal storm]

written off...buried and lets go to the next one.....if something does come of 93 i will eat all the crow in the world, I am man enough to do that...but I am no dummy...I know how to interpret a sattelite image...and the is no 93 if you ask me...just an area of rain ans showers

Geez

This has potential to develop,you're just writing it off becuase it's not developing right this moment.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

It would excite me greatly to see heavy amounts of rainy convection
explode and rapidly move in my general direction as nothing more than
rain and a little wind

[ronjon]

The moist MJO and decreasing shear may allow for
some development- as NHC has indicated...so I won't write this
off yet...

This storm has hybrid (subtropical) written all over it. AFM repeatly stated this the last couple of days. You can see it in the upper air pattern with the trough diving due south in the central Gulf. It's going to deepen somewhat but will probably never reach hurricane status or even strong tropical storm status because of the dry air and upper air dynamics. Hybrid systems though can produce gale force conditions (typical of nor' easters) and heavy rains. All the weather will be on the east side as these systems are asymmetrical.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I am still sticking with my earlier forecast-
EXCEPT REVISING IT- 93L IMO Will go Hybrid...

The following post is NOT an official forecast and
should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of
the poster and may or may not be backed by sound
meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any
professional institution including storm2k.org For
Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Once the Shear lets up
93L will explode...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... xirg8n.GIF

Convection blowing up on East and SE sides
once the MLC converges over the LLC within the
next 24 hours- BOOM! yesterday it boomed over
land over yucatan- those cloud tops were
horribly high!
Very positive MOIST MJO the highest in the basin
is over 93L

[HurricaneQueen]

My interpretation of AFM's discussions on a hybrid system related to Tammy. Part of it would split off and be tropical and the other part (going north?) would be a hybrid. Did I misunderstand? I'll see if I can find the discussion.

Lynn

[Scorpion]

I would not want rain in my area. Why do you want so much rain Tampa Bay? Its downright depressing and ruins the day.

[floridahurricaneguy]

Tampa needs it! Everything is dieing here!

[fci]

written off...buried and lets go to the next one.....if something does come of 93 i will eat all the crow in the world, I am man enough to do that...but I am no dummy...I know how to interpret a sattelite image...and the is no 93 if you ask me...just an area of rain ans showers

I'll be sure to bookmark the thread so I can re-post your comments later IF 93L comes alive.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I would not want rain in my area. Why do you want so much rain Tampa Bay? Its downright depressing and ruins the day.

Scorpion we just had our driest summer ever in Tampa Bay.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


BIG Change:

I'd like my CROW fried if necessary:
Shear has utterly DESTROYED 93L
I predict 93L will continue to die and be nothing but a few showers
It was a big threat earlier...now its very little...no big threat

93L is ripped to death...good night tropics...
I'm writing this weakling off...

[krysof]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


BIG Change:

I'd like my CROW fried if necessary:

I predict 93L will continue to die and be nothing but a few showers
It was a big threat earlier...now its very little...no big threat

93L is ripped to death...good night tropics...
I'm writing this weakling off...

It would be funny if it explodes into a strong tropical storm within the next several hours, which I doubt.

[skysummit]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


BIG Change:

I'd like my CROW fried if necessary:

I predict 93L will continue to die and be nothing but a few showers
It was a big threat earlier...now its very little...no big threat

93L is ripped to death...good night tropics...
I'm writing this weakling off...

It would be funny if it explodes into a strong tropical storm within the next several hours, which I doubt.

That would be hilarious! So if you're eating crow right now...what else would you like on your menu? Buzzard? LOL

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


BIG Change:

I'd like my CROW fried if necessary:

I predict 93L will continue to die and be nothing but a few showers
It was a big threat earlier...now its very little...no big threat

93L is ripped to death...good night tropics...
I'm writing this weakling off...

It would be funny if it explodes into a strong tropical storm within the next several hours, which I doubt.

That would be hilarious! So if you're eating crow right now...what else would you like on your menu? Buzzard? LOL

I like the crow with good Tomato Ketchup....

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

93L has been completely shredded by shear...and the rain
may miss my area and go into S. FL...
Written off my list- that's for sure
Just got shredded almost as fast as it exploded earlier...