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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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MiamiensisWx
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Anonymous
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tracyswfla
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DESTRUCTION5
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MiamiensisWx
~Floydbuster wrote:Yea...by a whole 3 kts
True... however, even 3KT can eventually prove to be more significant than previously thought. Why? It os important to keep in mind that forecasts, although they can be very accurate and good, are not 100% accurate. Eventually, 3KT may prove to be an estimation and that the storm's intensity, although close to 3KT less, may often be a bit lower than that. I hope you understand what I mean...
It is still early, though. It may or may not be significant... I was just pointing out that it may POSSIBLY be more significant...
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Wed Oct 05, 2005 1:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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tracyswfla
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Brent
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CapeVerdeWave wrote:~Floydbuster wrote:Yea...by a whole 3 kts
True... however, even 3KT can eventually prove to be more significant than previously thought. Why? It os important to keep in mind that forecasts, although they can be very accurate and good, are not 100% accurate. Eventually, 3KT may prove to be an estimation and that the storm's intensity, although close to 3KT less, may often be a bit lower than that. I hope you understand what I mean...
It is still early, though. It may or may not be significant... I was just pointing out that it may POSSIBLY be more significant...
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#neversummer
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seaswing
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nccoastalgirl wrote:hurricanedude wrote:well said christy!!!
but all we are asking for is hard concrete evidence to back up your thoughts...why do you think the Keys will get hit? instead of IMO...tell us why you have this opinion, and back it up with facts
Personally, I was under the impression that in the Talkin Tropics forum we could all express our opinions, whether or not we have "expert" analysis to back what we're saying up. I thought the Tropical Analysis forum was created for those that didn't want to read just general opinions. I'm not trying to be a mean lady here, but I just don't understand why everyone is so harsh lately towards certain members in particular. If people don't want to answer Christy's questions, then just don't answer them. But y'all don't have to freak out every time she or, for example, dixiebreeze posts something, especially, in my opinion, in this particular forum. If you want cut and dry, no-nonsense analysis, then you're probably better off sticking to reading the Tropical Analysis forum. Talkin Tropics is for just that--talking! Or at least that's the way I thought this board was intended to be set up.........
I agree... it seems that it used to be this way but it has changed in the last year or so.
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MiamiensisWx
Brent wrote:
I was referring to that the more recent intensity SHIP forecast is 3KT less than the previous forecast. Usually, if that SHIP forecast is correct, the storm may be a little weaker or stronger than forecasted. Since SHIP has adjusted the intensity forecast downward, if the SHIP scenario plays out (especially if this lowering of the intensity forecast continues as a trend), the storm may be slightly weaker than forecasted at landfall.
Sorry if I sound very stupid and confusing...
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DESTRUCTION5
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skysummit wrote:Brent wrote:Probably going to be west of that...
I agree...closer to Tampa.
Reguardless All Conv will stay along the East side...Whether were looking at a blob or a organized TC...
Last edited by DESTRUCTION5 on Wed Oct 05, 2005 2:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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