93L Invest

[Brent]

About heading northeast... no not at all. In fact, due to troughs and the upper air patterns, it's HIGHLY LIKELY this time of year that a storm would go northeast. If this were July or August it wouldn't, but it's October.

On the how strong... I would think maybe a Cat 1 hurricane if it moved slow enough and avoided land until Florida... but that's just a guess.

What Charley did in August of last year is typical for October, correct?

Yes... you don't get cold fronts with all-time records in the Southeast very often in August.

[Noah]

Seems to me that if you are on the West Coast of Central FL and haven't done so already you might want to read the articles I posted in the Hurricane Preparation area. Title: "A "must read" for Tampa-St. Pete folks." Looks like you folks may be in for it. As may I, though farther inland.
MomH

What about Sarasota???

[Noah]

About heading northeast... no not at all. In fact, due to troughs and the upper air patterns, it's HIGHLY LIKELY this time of year that a storm would go northeast. If this were July or August it wouldn't, but it's October.

On the how strong... I would think maybe a Cat 1 hurricane if it moved slow enough and avoided land until Florida... but that's just a guess.

.. then if not norrtheast then what direction are you thinking?

[tracyswfla]

About heading northeast... no not at all. In fact, due to troughs and the upper air patterns, it's HIGHLY LIKELY this time of year that a storm would go northeast. If this were July or August it wouldn't, but it's October.

On the how strong... I would think maybe a Cat 1 hurricane if it moved slow enough and avoided land until Florida... but that's just a guess.

.. then if not norrtheast then what direction are you thinking?

He said highly likely this time of year it would go NE

[Noah]

About heading northeast... no not at all. In fact, due to troughs and the upper air patterns, it's HIGHLY LIKELY this time of year that a storm would go northeast. If this were July or August it wouldn't, but it's October.

On the how strong... I would think maybe a Cat 1 hurricane if it moved slow enough and avoided land until Florida... but that's just a guess.

.. then if not norrtheast then what direction are you thinking?

He said highly likely this time of year it would go NE

OOPS, sorry brent!!!

[fci]

i think those will be shifted more south.

Yikes!! That would be right at you CHRISTY ! ! ! !

Maybe and just maybe that's why she thinks they will be shifted south!!!!!!

As much as I enjoy watching the teasing of Christy; I think she is right about the shift to the South.
Looking at it the direction seems pure NE and not the NNE it would take to follow most of the models shown.
This could end up going across Cuba and south of the Keys.

Just my completely, totally amateur opinon and based soley on my gut feeling

[Brent]

Seems to me that if you are on the West Coast of Central FL and haven't done so already you might want to read the articles I posted in the Hurricane Preparation area. Title: "A "must read" for Tampa-St. Pete folks." Looks like you folks may be in for it. As may I, though farther inland.
MomH

What about Sarasota???

Well... Sarasota would be on the West Coast.

[jlauderdal]

i think those will be shifted more south.

Yikes!! That would be right at you CHRISTY ! ! ! !

Maybe and just maybe that's why she thinks they will be shifted south!!!!!!

As much as I enjoy watching the teasing of Christy; I think she is right about the shift to the South.
Looking at it the direction seems pure NE and not the NNE it would take to follow most of the models shown.
This could end up going across Cuba and south of the Keys.

Just my completely, totally amateur opinon and based soley on my gut feeling

good work, you gave some reasoning for your opinion.

[HurricaneQueen]

I should have clarified that Charley moved NE after entering the Gulf... What is your opinion on this one. Of course I am ready.... Charley fixed my house up!

I'm not sure what to think at this time-just watching carefully. All models want to take it North of here (Tampa to Big Bend) but you never know. A little nudge south and there we are in the crosshairs. I really don't anticipate that this will be anything major unless she sits out in the Gulf and spins for a while. There really isn't that much distance between the tip of the Yucatan and SW FL.

Lynn

[ronjon]

i think those will be shifted more south.

Yikes!! That would be right at you CHRISTY ! ! ! !

Maybe and just maybe that's why she thinks they will be shifted south!!!!!!

As much as I enjoy watching the teasing of Christy; I think she is right about the shift to the South.
Looking at it the direction seems pure NE and not the NNE it would take to follow most of the models shown.
This could end up going across Cuba and south of the Keys.

Just my completely, totally amateur opinon and based soley on my gut feeling

The ULL in the NE Gulf is moving west. A deepening trough is forecast to dive southward through the central Gulf. This will pull the system N-NE.

[CHRISTY]

what the chances of this coming threw the florida keys?

[fci]

Once the MLC and LLC meet up we could have a Tropical Storm
Vince by 11 PM.

If the models hold true, you may actually get the much needed rain you have been begging for!

(Personally I think the models are too far north.... JMO)

[CHRISTY]

thanks!

[Myersgirl]

Our local weather at noon did not even mention this invest here in Ft. Myers. Say we should get drier by the weekend

[tracyswfla]

Our local weather at noon did not even mention this invest here in Ft. Myers. Say we should get drier by the weekend

LOL probably not ready to broadcast it yet. I saw that too and laughed when they didn't mention it.

[CHRISTY]

i think in later model runs they will shift south.

[Trader Ron]

Once the MLC and LLC meet up we could have a Tropical Storm
Vince by 11 PM.

If the models hold true, you may actually get the much needed rain you have been begging for!

(Personally I think the models are too far north.... JMO)

I think the models will shift North..JMO.

[jax]

i think in later model runs they will shift south.

Yikes... that would be right at you CHRISTY ! ! ! !

[fci]

i think those will be shifted more south.

Yikes!! That would be right at you CHRISTY ! ! ! !

Maybe and just maybe that's why she thinks they will be shifted south!!!!!!

As much as I enjoy watching the teasing of Christy; I think she is right about the shift to the South.
Looking at it the direction seems pure NE and not the NNE it would take to follow most of the models shown.
This could end up going across Cuba and south of the Keys.

Just my completely, totally amateur opinon and based soley on my gut feeling

good work, you gave some reasoning for your opinion.

Not quite sure if you are being sarcastic or not.
Did not see any emoticons to clue me in since I said I was relying on my gut as my reasoning.

Of course.... if you saw the size of my gut!!!

[CHRISTY]

i think this moving NE not NNE but we will see! cause if its really NE then there will have to be a model shift to the south. our local met bryan norcross spoke about this feature last night he said it was moving towards south florida.