93L Invest

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cycloneye
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93L Invest

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:57 am


TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL932005) ON 20051005 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051005 1200 051006 0000 051006 1200 051007 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.0N 87.0W 21.3N 86.1W 22.8N 85.1W 24.6N 84.4W
BAMM 20.0N 87.0W 21.3N 86.2W 22.7N 85.2W 24.4N 84.1W
A98E 20.0N 87.0W 20.8N 86.3W 22.3N 85.1W 24.1N 84.0W
LBAR 20.0N 87.0W 21.1N 86.5W 22.4N 86.2W 24.3N 85.9W
SHIP 20KTS 29KTS 38KTS 48KTS
DSHP 20KTS 29KTS 38KTS 48KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051007 1200 051008 1200 051009 1200 051010 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 26.8N 83.9W 32.3N 79.2W 37.5N 70.6W 39.9N 64.0W
BAMM 26.7N 83.1W 31.6N 77.7W 34.6N 70.8W 35.0N 67.6W
A98E 26.5N 83.0W 30.7N 80.9W 33.9N 75.5W 34.8N 72.2W
LBAR 26.3N 86.7W 29.7N 85.3W 32.1N 80.6W 32.6N 76.8W
SHIP 56KTS 65KTS 66KTS 60KTS
DSHP 56KTS 47KTS 47KTS 42KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.0N LONCUR = 87.0W DIRCUR = 50DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 19.4N LONM12 = 87.7W DIRM12 = 70DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 19.2N LONM24 = 88.7W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 15KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

Here are the first model plots.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Oct 08, 2005 7:36 am, edited 27 times in total.
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#2 Postby skysummit » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:58 am

Yeehaw!!!!! It just doesn't end!
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#3 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:59 am

Florida again...
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#4 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:59 am

Oh Dear!! Here we go again! :eek:
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#5 Postby seaswing » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:00 am

Any maps????
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#6 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:01 am

pics! pics!
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#7 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:01 am

HurricaneGirl wrote:Oh Dear!! Here we go again! :eek:


Hate to steal this one but... HOLY CRAP! :eek:
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Wake me up when November ends
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:02 am

NRL Just put it up.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
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#9 Postby tracyswfla » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:03 am

cycloneye wrote:NRL Just put it up.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html


This one has the West Coast of FLA written all over it!
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#10 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:03 am

it's like the grand finale of a fireworks display, they are just popping up everywhere!
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#11 Postby feederband » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:04 am

Bleap! &%#@2@!!! Bleap!!!
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#12 Postby skysummit » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:04 am

Image
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#13 Postby HurricaneQueen » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:08 am

Could this be the beginning of the CMC model runs from earlier in the week where a system ran counterclockwise all around the perimeter of the GoM? I think there were a couple of other models that hinted at the same thing. It's genesis appeared to be closer to SW FL on the CMC but if this is it, how wild would that be!!! :roll:

Lynn

This one definitely has me more concerned than Tammy even if it is a MLC right now. We know how quickly things can change in the tropics. It's proximity to SW FL would give us virtually no time to prepare should this thing bomb.
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CHRISTY

#14 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:08 am

i think those will be shifted more south.
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#15 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:09 am

THis is just crazy unbelievable! :eek:
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#16 Postby Air Force Met » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:09 am

It will be interesting to see what happens when that mid level circulation(over the Yuk) moves into the stronger convection this afternoon. That's usually what it takes and it should stack up fairly quickly after that.

Another TD (and more by tomorrow i fear) on the way.
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#17 Postby jax » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:09 am

CHRISTY wrote:i think those will be shifted more south.


Yikes!! That would be right at you CHRISTY ! ! ! !
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#18 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:10 am

skysummit wrote:Image
:rain: :mad:
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#19 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:10 am

CHRISTY wrote:i think those will be shifted more south.



Ofcourse you do..LMAO
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#20 Postby skysummit » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:10 am

jax wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:i think those will be shifted more south.


Yikes!! That would be right at you CHRISTY ! ! ! !


LOL :lol: :lol:
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