92L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[HURAKAN]

TWO 10:30 PM:

Radar data...surface observations and satellite images indicate that
a closed circulation has not formed yet within the large area of
disturbed weather extending from Florida eastward across the
Bahamas. This system is already producing winds to near tropical
storm force to the northeast of the area of the lowest pressure
which is centered over the northwestern Bahamas. Upper-level winds
are not favorable for a rapid development but it will not take much
for the system to become a tropical depression or tropical storm on
Wednesday. A reconnaissance aircraft will be available to
investigate the disturbance tomorrow...if necessary. Heavy rains
and gusty winds will likely spread across the northwestern Bahamas
and the Florida Peninsula through tomorrow. Please consult
statements issued by your local weather forecast office for
information on possible local hazards...including flood watches or
warnings.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The area that gets my attention is closer to 24N 75W.

This is still a ragged looking system, I dont know about this thing being stalled, the bulk of the blob still looks like it is moving east and there may be little low level swirls popping up and dissapearing which may be a sign that a true LLC is going to develop soon(6 hours or so).

Just my opinion

I am more intersted in the yucatan and the gfs run. If that pans out it will be very interesting to the say the least over the weekend.

Rainband, I didn't see the GFS run. What is it hinting at?

It's hinting at is a WILD RIDE for Florida...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

[Brent]

HERE WE GO...

[caneman]

The area that gets my attention is closer to 24N 75W.

This is still a ragged looking system, I dont know about this thing being stalled, the bulk of the blob still looks like it is moving east and there may be little low level swirls popping up and dissapearing which may be a sign that a true LLC is going to develop soon(6 hours or so).

Just my opinion

I am more intersted in the yucatan and the gfs run. If that pans out it will be very interesting to the say the least over the weekend.

Rainband, I didn't see the GFS run. What is it hinting at?

It's hinting at is a WILD RIDE for Florida...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

2 systems you gotta be kidding me. We may need to batten down the hatches.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The area that gets my attention is closer to 24N 75W.

This is still a ragged looking system, I dont know about this thing being stalled, the bulk of the blob still looks like it is moving east and there may be little low level swirls popping up and dissapearing which may be a sign that a true LLC is going to develop soon(6 hours or so).

Just my opinion

I am more intersted in the yucatan and the gfs run. If that pans out it will be very interesting to the say the least over the weekend.

Rainband, I didn't see the GFS run. What is it hinting at?

It's hinting at is a WILD RIDE for Florida...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

2 systems you gotta be kidding me. We may need to batten down the hatches.

You got that right.. I've still got pool screen damage
from Dennis's rainbands last July...I won't complain though- I am lucky
compared to the victims of Katrina and Rita...

[wxmann_91]

The area that gets my attention is closer to 24N 75W.

This is still a ragged looking system, I dont know about this thing being stalled, the bulk of the blob still looks like it is moving east and there may be little low level swirls popping up and dissapearing which may be a sign that a true LLC is going to develop soon(6 hours or so).

Just my opinion

I am more intersted in the yucatan and the gfs run. If that pans out it will be very interesting to the say the least over the weekend.

Rainband, I didn't see the GFS run. What is it hinting at?

It's hinting at is a WILD RIDE for Florida...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

2 systems you gotta be kidding me. We may need to batten down the hatches.

You got that right..

It also has a system hitting the CV Islands and then threatening the Canary Islands...lets hope it is not correct and take it with a grain of salt.

[artist]

check out Miami's long range loop -


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kamx.shtml

[krysof]

TWO 10:30 PM:

Radar data...surface observations and satellite images indicate that
a closed circulation has not formed yet within the large area of
disturbed weather extending from Florida eastward across the
Bahamas. This system is already producing winds to near tropical
storm force to the northeast of the area of the lowest pressure
which is centered over the northwestern Bahamas. Upper-level winds
are not favorable for a rapid development but it will not take much
for the system to become a tropical depression or tropical storm on
Wednesday. A reconnaissance aircraft will be available to
investigate the disturbance tomorrow...if necessary. Heavy rains
and gusty winds will likely spread across the northwestern Bahamas
and the Florida Peninsula through tomorrow. Please consult
statements issued by your local weather forecast office for
information on possible local hazards...including flood watches or
warnings.

It just needs a light push to become a TD or TS.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

As of 1000 PM EST Convection is really starting to blow up:

[artist]

if you missed it - check out the long range radar (posted above)


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kamx.shtml

[caneman]

As of 1000 PM EST Convection is really starting to blow up:

Are you telling me that mass on the Yucatan is suppose to head for West Florida too? Anyone got an ark? Talk about possibly ending the season with a bang.

[Brent]

Geez... Yucatan just got too much rain from Stan and now even more.

[skysummit]

That Yuc mess may very well be what the GFS is seeing?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

As of 1000 PM EST Convection is really starting to blow up:

Are you telling me that mass on the Yucatan is suppose to head for West Florida too? Anyone got an ark? Talk about possibly ending the season with a bang.

Too early to tell-- let's hope that convection diminishes overnight
otherwise...I hope the GFS doesn't verify...

[Scorpion]

Actually, if it spun up into something Central FL would get better conditions than if it hadnt.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Actually, if it spun up into something Central FL would get better conditions than if it hadnt.

Yea it would shear 92L to shreds---but then wham us after
moving over warm GOM GFS is on too much Sugar
Tonight...whew!


Either way we might just get some needed rain...
<<Pigs fly by my window>>

[HURAKAN]

Question to the experts:

Could the wind near tropical storm force being reported be caused by the friction between the developing surface area of low pressure and the high pressure or ridge to the north?

[SouthFloridawx]

As of 1000 PM EST Convection is really starting to blow up:

[img]http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/images/xxirg8n.GIF[/

Are you telling me that mass on the Yucatan is suppose to head for West Florida too? Anyone got an ark? Talk about possibly ending the season with a bang.

Too early to tell-- let's hope that convection diminishes overnight
otherwise...I hope the GFS doesn't verify...

is this what your talking about?

[jrod]

Nor'easter in the making?

[gatorcane]

hold on....so some break-off energy from Stan is now forecasted by the GFS to develop and move NNE across the FL penisula ahead of a cold front???