Stan,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

superfly · #241 Postby **superfly** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:30 pm

Stan's trying to make it across. Giving it all he has.

krysof · #242 Postby **krysof** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:32 pm

why do the ships intensify him to a 100mph?

#243 Postby **Buck** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:36 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:
Buck wrote:Stan has a good chance at being retired. As does Ophelia, since she caused twice as much damage as Lili.

FROM THE SEPTEMBER NHC SUMMARY::
ONE DEATH WAS ATTRIBUTED TO OPHELIA... A DROWNING ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA. THE STORM CAUSED AN ESTIMATED $50
MILLION IN DAMAGE ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST... WITH
SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION NOTED FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST.

Lili killed 13, and caused 900 million...compare that to Ophelia's 50 million...

I was going by this...
http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u ... elia_dc_67

I hadn't seen the new figures.

bombarderoazul · #244 Postby **bombarderoazul** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:38 pm

Now the death toll is 44 in El Salvador. :cry:

http://elsalvador.com/noticias/2005/10/ ... ltima2.asp

#245 Postby **Buck** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:42 pm

bombarderoazul wrote:Now the death toll is 44 in El Salvador.

http://elsalvador.com/noticias/2005/10/ ... ltima2.asp

Looks like it is being attributed to Stan.

gilbert88 · #246 Postby **gilbert88** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:26 pm

Buck wrote:
bombarderoazul wrote:Now the death toll is 44 in El Salvador.

http://elsalvador.com/noticias/2005/10/ ... ltima2.asp

Looks like it is being attributed to Stan.

44 in El Salvador, 10 in Guatemala, 4 in Honduras, 1 in Mexico.

Current death toll: 59.

Seems like we have yet another candidate for retirement...

#247 Postby **Buck** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:28 pm

Stan looks relentless... the toll might be rising soon.

#248 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:30 pm

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

NRL and NHC expect Stan to cross into the EPAC and already NRL navy backup site made the change.

gilbert88 · #249 Postby **gilbert88** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:37 pm

Wow... I'm watching the current Stan reports on TV, and its worse than I thought. Many areas of Chiapas look devastated by the flooding of Stan and the unnamed E Pac system. :eek:

And the death toll is still rising, they don't have an accurate count, but there are reports of "some bodies" found.

So far this looks much, much worse than Emily.

Derek Ortt · #250 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:00 pm

I would expect the worst of the flooding to be on the Pacific side of the mountains due to the upslope flow, especially in very vulnerable El Salvador and Guatemala

Anonymous · #251 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:32 pm

If Stan exits as Stan...it will keep the same name in the East Pacific...which has never happened before. Imagine if "Stan" made it...then crossed the dateline, and became a typhoon! LOL...that would be interesting.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #252 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:34 pm

Do you see Stan making it across?

Anonymous · #253 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:39 pm

Yea...it might

Website · #254 Postby **Brent** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:46 pm

Interesting... because the NHC calls for it to dissipate by tomorrow.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #255 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:47 pm

Its half way there in still moving soutwestward. :wink:

Coredesat · #256 Postby **Coredesat** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:50 pm

It's only encountered flat land so far, but it's about to hit some pretty high mountains.

Stratosphere747 · #257 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:53 pm

Is the High that strong in the Gulf to still be pushing Stan on this track, or is there other steering currents present to be influencing him?

Website · #258 Postby **Brent** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:54 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its half way there in still moving soutwestward.

Yeah I noticed that... but I still think the low level circulation will be non-existent when it re-emerges, and if that happens, and it re-develops, it would not be Stan. It would be the next EPAC name.

#259 Postby **cjrciadt** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:58 pm

Nice to see the models agree on track.

Derek Ortt · #260 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 4:01 pm

Its moving a lot faster than the NHC had it. Center has been over the mountains for a while (the mountains are close to both coasts, over the highest mountains now, about 15K

One thing that may keep this alive is the surface inflow that is well established from the EPAC

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