What have we here?--(old title: Monster in the making?)

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dixiebreeze
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What have we here?--(old title: Monster in the making?)

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Oct 02, 2005 2:54 pm

(Is that title "calm" enough for everyone?)


eek: :eek: Where did THIS come from -- well, I know where it came from, but where is it going?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
Last edited by dixiebreeze on Sun Oct 02, 2005 8:09 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby Scorpion » Sun Oct 02, 2005 2:54 pm

Just because it has lots of convection doesn't mean it will be a monster.
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Oct 02, 2005 2:55 pm

Scorpion wrote:Just because it has lots of convection doesn't mean it will be a monster.


Well, it certainly helps! Especially when it has already dived into the ITCZ.
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#4 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:07 pm

Yeah and what has happened with every wave that had a big flare up of convection near the Cape Verde islands, even the once highly touted TD19? They all ended up going poof....

<RICKY>
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#5 Postby TheShrimper » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:28 pm

Come on girl, enough's enough. No more insignificant posts on CV activity. Worry about your backyard as well as mine. Anything east of the islands is history now, you know that.
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#6 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:29 pm

TheShrimper wrote:Come on girl, enough's enough. No more insignificant posts on CV activity. Worry about your backyard as well as mine. Anything east of the islands is history now, you know that.


Shrimper, I do respect your posts, but I don't "know that."
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#7 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:29 pm

Likely fish. It's getting late for a CV storm to track west.
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#8 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:31 pm

it's going to go poof in a few hours
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#9 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:32 pm

krysof wrote:it's going to go poof in a few hours


Yup. I couldnt agree more.

<RICKY>
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#10 Postby artist » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:33 pm

never say never...
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#11 Postby TheShrimper » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:35 pm

Well, chalk it up as a lesson learned.
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#12 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:43 pm

krysof wrote:it's going to go poof in a few hours


poof for what reason???? the SAL is down and almost non existant right now.. I dont see why this would just go poof... water is still above average...

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#13 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:47 pm

Persistent and VERY STRONG shear is the main reason...
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#14 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:47 pm

vacanechaser wrote:
krysof wrote:it's going to go poof in a few hours


poof for what reason???? the SAL is down and almost non existant right now.. I dont see why this would just go poof... water is still above average...

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Well you have to admit that almost every single wave that was in the same position as this one, ever with all the favorable conditions here and there and all over the place, still have gone poof. Its just that every single one has died so what would all of a sudden change overnight and allow this one to develop? I do agree with you though that there is still a chance for it to develop but look what happened to the once highly touted TD19.

<RICKY>
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#15 Postby artist » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:49 pm

Ricky - conditions are constantly changing out there and if it hits at just the right times in certain areas then it could always happen.
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#16 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:52 pm

artist wrote:Ricky - conditions are constantly changing out there and if it hits at just the right times in certain areas then it could always happen.


True. Ive heard that alot this season though regarding cape verde waves.... I guess only time will tell.

<RICKY>
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#17 Postby SamSagnella » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:53 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Persistent and VERY STRONG shear is the main reason...


Yeah...shear over the eastern atlantic has been over 30kts for at least the past several days (see TD19) and should continue to be for at least the next two. And why was the word 'monster' used in the title of this thread...if 19 was a monster then I suppose I understand.
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:55 pm

cycloneye wrote:Image

Hey dixie good eye. :) Ummm at least one model GFS tracks this wave westward and develops it in a weak stage.
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#19 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:55 pm

cycloneye wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Image

Hey dixie good eye. :) Ummm at least one model GFS tracks this wave westward and develops it in a weak stage.


That's a monster?
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#20 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Oct 02, 2005 4:00 pm

Shear is strong north ot the cap verde islands, but it is unusualy low between 9 n and 14N for the time of the year, we will see.
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