Hurricane Stan Recon Reports

[Swimdude]

Not even close 33 knots was from flight level. 33 knots=37.95 mph or 34.15 at the surface.

Don't think they're quiiiiiite at the center yet.

Last update was 19.3N 87.0W

Last recon was 20.5N 86.0W

Probably a tad further South to go. We should know whether it's a TS by next recon reports.

[Starburst]

THis was the last recon decoded:

During reconnaissance of tropical system CYCLONE a maximum sustained wind speed of 44 mph at 5000 feet, and a maximum wind gust of 45 mph at 5000 feet, were found by the government plane.

Time (Z) Lat Lon Altitude Dir Speed Gust Temp Dewp
04:42:30 20 -86.76 5004 107 41 41 64 60
04:43:00 19.96 -86.8 4997 105 40 40 64 60
04:43:30 19.95 -86.81 5004 105 43 44 64 62
04:44:00 19.93 -86.83 5000 104 44 45 64 62
04:44:30 19.9 -86.85 5007 99 40 40 65 59
04:45:00 19.88 -86.86 5004 96 40 40 65 60
04:45:30 19.85 -86.88 4997 98 39 40 64 62
04:46:00 19.81 -86.88 4997 100 36 36 64 62
04:46:30 19.8 -86.9 5004 105 36 38 63 63
04:47:00 19.76 -86.9 5000 116 29 32 63 63
04:47:30 19.75 -86.91 5004 110 29 33 60 60
04:48:00 19.71 -86.91 4990 116 28 30 59 59
04:48:30 19.7 -86.93 5004 106 21 24 62 62
04:49:00 19.66 -86.93 5013 78 13 17 62 62
04:49:30 19.63 -86.95 4984 107 9 12 62 62
04:50:00 19.61 -86.95 5007 130 10 12 63 63
04:50:30 19.58 -86.95 4997 161 16 18 63 63
04:51:00 19.56 -86.95 5004 170 20 22 63 63
04:51:30 19.53 -86.95 4987 181 22 22 63 63
04:52:00 19.51 -86.96 5020 169 9 18 60 60

[fasterdisaster]

Question: What is 5000 feet, 700 or 850mb?

[fasterdisaster]

Isn't that 44 knots?

[Swimdude]

44... 90% of that... 39.6 mph.

Looks like we have Stan.

[fasterdisaster]

Stan is the man!!!!

As long as he isn't a major hurricane

[Swimdude]

Isn't that 44 knots?

All other recon data is... With the 90% rule, and conversion to mph, that's 46ish mph.

[fasterdisaster]

So we most likely have Tropical Storm Stan?

[Swimdude]

I'm no professional, but that's looking very likely, yes. However, until it's official, this is still TD20 to us.

[Starburst]

SXXX50 KNHC 020504
AF304 0320A CYCLONE HDOB 23 KNHC

Time (Z) Lat Lon Altitude Dir Speed Gust Temp Dewp
04:52:30 19.51 -87 4987 169 3 7 63 63
04:53:00 19.51 -87.03 5010 176 8 9 64 63
04:53:30 19.5 -87.06 4997 158 6 7 64 63
04:54:00 19.5 -87.08 5000 145 6 7 62 62
04:54:30 19.48 -87.11 5004 100 5 6 62 62
04:55:00 19.48 -87.15 4997 333 1 2 62 62
04:55:30 19.46 -87.16 5000 273 2 2 62 62
04:56:00 19.46 -87.2 4997 237 1 2 62 62
04:56:30 19.46 -87.23 5004 29 1 2 62 62
04:57:00 19.45 -87.25 5000 80 5 6 62 62
04:57:30 19.45 -87.28 4994 60 5 6 62 62
04:58:00 19.43 -87.31 5004 49 3 5 61 61
04:58:30 19.43 -87.35 5004 24 5 5 61 61
04:59:00 19.41 -87.36 5000 47 5 6 63 63
04:59:30 19.41 -87.4 5000 29 3 5 62 62
05:00:00 19.4 -87.43 5000 332 3 3 62 62
05:00:30 19.4 -87.45 5000 323 6 6 62 62
05:01:00 19.38 -87.46 5010 311 7 9 61 61
05:01:30 19.35 -87.48 4994 309 9 9 62 62
05:02:00 19.31 -87.48 5004 325 10 12 61 61

[SamSagnella]

SXXX50 KNHC 020504
AF304 0320A CYCLONE HDOB 23 KNHC
0452. 1931N 08700W 01520 0014 169 003 174 174 006 01573 0000000000
0453 1931N 08702W 01527 0016 176 007 176 170 008 01581 0000000000
0453. 1930N 08704W 01523 0016 158 005 178 170 006 01578 0000000000
0454 1930N 08705W 01524 0016 145 005 168 168 006 01579 0000000000
0454. 1929N 08707W 01525 0016 100 004 166 166 005 01579 0000000000
0455 1929N 08709W 01523 0017 333 001 168 168 002 01578 0000000000
0455. 1928N 08710W 01524 0017 273 002 166 166 002 01580 0000000000
0456 1928N 08712W 01523 0018 237 001 166 166 002 01580 0000000000
0456. 1928N 08714W 01525 0017 029 001 166 166 002 01581 0000000000
0457 1927N 08715W 01524 0017 080 004 166 166 005 01581 0000000100
0457. 1927N 08717W 01522 0018 060 004 168 168 005 01579 0000000100
0458 1926N 08719W 01525 0018 049 003 160 160 004 01582 0000000000
0458. 1926N 08721W 01525 0019 024 004 162 162 004 01583 0000000000
0459 1925N 08722W 01524 0019 047 004 172 172 005 01582 0000000000
0459. 1925N 08724W 01524 0017 029 003 164 164 004 01579 0000000000
0500 1924N 08726W 01524 0015 332 003 164 164 003 01578 0000000000
0500. 1924N 08727W 01524 0015 323 005 166 166 005 01577 0000000000
0501 1923N 08728W 01527 0016 311 006 160 160 008 01582 0000000000
0501. 1921N 08729W 01522 0014 309 008 164 164 008 01574 0000000000
0502 1919N 08729W 01525 0010 325 009 160 160 010 01574 0000000000

[SamSagnella]

SXXX50 KNHC 020514
AF304 0320A CYCLONE HDOB 24 KNHC
0502. 1918N 08729W 01524 0008 348 008 164 164 009 01571 0000000000
0503 1916N 08730W 01525 0008 345 010 152 152 013 01571 0000000100
0503. 1914N 08730W 01523 0010 293 011 148 148 013 01571 0000000100
0504 1913N 08730W 01524 0015 297 013 168 168 014 01578 0000000000
0504. 1911N 08731W 01523 0018 282 009 174 174 010 01580 0000000000
0505 1909N 08731W 01524 0018 282 010 174 174 010 01581 0000000000
0505. 1908N 08731W 01524 0019 281 011 176 172 011 01582 0000000000
0506 1906N 08732W 01525 0020 292 011 176 172 012 01583 0000000000
0506. 1904N 08732W 01522 0020 281 012 176 168 013 01581 0000000000
0507 1903N 08732W 01526 0021 280 012 176 174 012 01586 0000000000
0507. 1901N 08733W 01523 0024 284 011 176 168 011 01585 0000000000
0508 1900N 08732W 01527 0027 274 011 174 170 011 01593 0000000000
0508. 1900N 08731W 01524 0028 261 011 176 166 011 01590 0000000000
0509 1902N 08731W 01521 0024 262 008 176 172 009 01583 0000000100
0509. 1903N 08731W 01527 0021 255 010 178 168 010 01587 0000000000
0510 1905N 08730W 01522 0020 256 010 178 164 010 01581 0000000000
0510. 1907N 08730W 01525 0020 255 009 176 172 009 01583 0000000000
0511 1908N 08729W 01523 0019 250 008 176 170 008 01581 0000000000
0511. 1910N 08729W 01525 0019 239 009 172 172 009 01583 0000000000
0512 1911N 08728W 01523 0017 232 010 170 170 011 01579 0000000000

[Stratosphere747]

Wait until there is a VDM...

[Starburst]

203
SXXX50 KNHC 020514
AF304 0320A CYCLONE HDOB 24 KNHC
Time (Z) Lat Lon Altitude Dir Speed Gust Temp Dewp
05:02:30 19.3 -87.48 5000 348 9 10 62 62
05:03:00 19.26 -87.5 5004 345 12 15 59 59
05:03:30 19.23 -87.5 4997 293 13 15 59 59
05:04:00 19.21 -87.5 5000 297 15 16 62 62
05:04:30 19.18 -87.51 4997 282 10 12 63 63
05:05:00 19.15 -87.51 5000 282 12 12 63 63
05:05:30 19.13 -87.51 5000 281 13 13 64 63
05:06:00 19.1 -87.53 5004 292 13 14 64 63
05:06:30 19.06 -87.53 4994 281 14 15 64 62
05:07:00 19.05 -87.53 5007 280 14 14 64 63
05:07:30 19.01 -87.55 4997 284 13 13 64 62
05:08:00 19 -87.53 5010 274 13 13 63 63
05:08:30 19 -87.51 5000 261 13 13 64 62
05:09:00 19.03 -87.51 4990 262 9 10 64 63
05:09:30 19.05 -87.51 5010 255 12 12 64 62
05:10:00 19.08 -87.5 4994 256 12 12 64 62
05:10:30 19.11 -87.5 5004 255 10 10 64 63
05:11:00 19.13 -87.48 4997 250 9 9 64 63
05:11:30 19.16 -87.48 5004 239 10 10 63 63
05:12:00 19.18 -87.46 4997 232 12 13 63 63

[Swimdude]

Do we really need recon data as the plane leaves the storm..?

[fasterdisaster]

The advisory will probably upgrade it

[Starburst]

HDOB 25
During reconnaissance of tropical system CYCLONE a maximum sustained wind speed of 43 mph at 5007 feet, and a maximum wind gust of 44 mph at 5007 feet, were found by the government plane.

Time (Z) Lat Lon Altitude Dir Speed Gust Temp Dewp
05:22:30 19.73 -87.23 5004 88 17 17 63 63
05:23:00 19.75 -87.21 4997 93 21 23 63 63
05:23:30 19.76 -87.2 4997 95 26 29 62 62
05:24:00 19.8 -87.2 5004 102 29 29 62 62
05:24:30 19.81 -87.18 4997 97 31 31 63 63
05:25:00 19.85 -87.16 5004 98 29 31 63 63
05:25:30 19.86 -87.15 5000 104 31 31 63 63
05:26:00 19.88 -87.13 4997 106 32 33 63 63
05:26:30 19.91 -87.11 5000 112 33 36 63 63
05:27:00 19.93 -87.1 5007 117 43 44 62 62
05:27:30 19.95 -87.1 4990 119 41 43 62 62
05:28:00 19.98 -87.08 5007 121 39 41 62 62
05:28:30 20 -87.06 4997 119 38 38 62 62
05:29:00 20.03 -87.05 5000 118 37 38 63 63
05:29:30 20.05 -87.03 5000 117 36 37 63 62
05:30:00 20.06 -87.01 4997 117 36 36 63 63
05:30:30 20.1 -87 5004 115 36 36 63 63
05:31:00 20.11 -86.98 5000 116 40 41 62 62
05:31:30 20.15 -86.96 5000 116 40 41 62 62
05:32:00 20.16 -86.96 5004 117 38 39 62 62

[Starburst]

527
SXXX50 KNHC 020534
AF304 0320A CYCLONE HDOB 26 KNHC
Time (Z) Lat Lon Altitude Dir Speed Gust Temp Dewp
05:22:30 19.73 -87.23 5004 88 17 17 63 63
05:23:00 19.75 -87.21 4997 93 21 23 63 63
05:23:30 19.76 -87.2 4997 95 26 29 62 62
05:24:00 19.8 -87.2 5004 102 29 29 62 62
05:24:30 19.81 -87.18 4997 97 31 31 63 63
05:25:00 19.85 -87.16 5004 98 29 31 63 63
05:25:30 19.86 -87.15 5000 104 31 31 63 63
05:26:00 19.88 -87.13 4997 106 32 33 63 63
05:26:30 19.91 -87.11 5000 112 33 36 63 63
05:27:00 19.93 -87.1 5007 117 43 44 62 62
05:27:30 19.95 -87.1 4990 119 41 43 62 62
05:28:00 19.98 -87.08 5007 121 39 41 62 62
05:28:30 20 -87.06 4997 119 38 38 62 62
05:29:00 20.03 -87.05 5000 118 37 38 63 63
05:29:30 20.05 -87.03 5000 117 36 37 63 62
05:30:00 20.06 -87.01 4997 117 36 36 63 63
05:30:30 20.1 -87 5004 115 36 36 63 63
05:31:00 20.11 -86.98 5000 116 40 41 62 62
05:31:30 20.15 -86.96 5000 116 40 41 62 62
05:32:00 20.16 -86.96 5004 117 38 39 62 62

[fasterdisaster]

So yeah, it's a tropical storm

[Stratosphere747]

So yeah, it's a tropical storm

No...