Tropical Depression 20,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Stratosphere747 · #121 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 9:58 pm

gilbert88 wrote:I don't like what the models are showing. That area has already been hit by three tropical storms, (Bret, Gert and José) with José being the worst. I'd rather have this thing going north of Tampico.

Gilbert, in reading the discussion, they don't have a good grasp on where 20 may go. There is even a chance it dissipates as well...

Anthysteg · #122 Postby **Anthysteg** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 10:15 pm

THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES THE TREND OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY OF
MOVING THE CYCLONE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO MEXICO... ALBEIT AT A
SLOWER SPEED THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HOWEVER...THE CONFIDENCE THAT
THIS WILL HAPPEN IS DECREASING.

South Texas is still very much highly in the game.

vaffie · #123 Postby **vaffie** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 10:24 pm

Anthysteg wrote:
THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES THE TREND OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY OF
MOVING THE CYCLONE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO MEXICO... ALBEIT AT A
SLOWER SPEED THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HOWEVER...THE CONFIDENCE THAT
THIS WILL HAPPEN IS DECREASING.

South Texas is still very much highly in the game.

Dear Anthysteg, I agree with you, but not because of what they said--I actually don't think Texas or Louisiana should let their guard down right now, especially the way this season has gone so far. The fact that they're not sure of the position, they're not sure of the speed, and they're not sure of the direction should make everyone stop and take note. On satellite, it looks to be going north of west, and more north than what they say. Personally I think it will cross 21N before it exits the Yucatan, but hey, let's just wait and see.

tornadochaser86 · #124 Postby **tornadochaser86** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 10:37 pm

its about time that thing has been doing nothing up to now

#125 Postby **Starburst** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 11:43 pm

Well looks as if he or she is definately doing something now

fasterdisaster · #126 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:05 am

Obviously not certain, but it appears we have Stan based on recon data

garo678 · #127 Postby **garo678** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:25 am

Hi everyone, reporting from Mérida Yucatán, Mex.

the air is very humid here in mérida downtown..but no rain, no rainbands, no gusts...is very strange...absolutely calm. Insects acting erratically..as usual in this weather conditions.

I'll post again early morning...

saludos !

Swimdude · #128 Postby **Swimdude** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:27 am

Welcome to the boards, and thanks for the update!

#129 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:30 am

tornadochaser86 wrote:its about time that thing has been doing nothing up to now

lol i agree. its time for it to make its move already.

<RICKY>

fasterdisaster · #130 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:30 am

Hey there, welcome to Storm2k!!! Stay safe during the storm!

fasterdisaster · #131 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:37 am

I'M A TROPICAL LOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

garo678 · #132 Postby **garo678** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:39 am

Swimdude wrote:Welcome to the boards, and thanks for the update!

thanks!

It's an honor to post in this legendary forum

garo678 · #133 Postby **garo678** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:45 am

fasterdisaster wrote:Hey there, welcome to Storm2k!!! Stay safe during the storm!

oh, yes..I'll keep myself safe...I still have the "isidore" experience very fresh in my mind... :wink:

congratulations! for me...mmm.. 110 posts to be a trop low..

#134 Postby **Starburst** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 1:20 am

Well folks still a TD at 2:00A.M. We will see if we have Stan at the next update.

fasterdisaster · #135 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 1:21 am

I think we will.

SamSagnella · #136 Postby **SamSagnella** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 1:28 am

check out the recon thread for specifics, but the latest FL wind data shows a peak reading of 52kts just a short time ago. So I anticipate an update within the hour to upgrade this to TS Stan.

JTD · #137 Postby **JTD** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 1:42 am

Anthysteg wrote:
THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES THE TREND OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY OF
MOVING THE CYCLONE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO MEXICO... ALBEIT AT A
SLOWER SPEED THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HOWEVER...THE CONFIDENCE THAT
THIS WILL HAPPEN IS DECREASING.

South Texas is still very much highly in the game.

If it doesn't follow that track, where then will it go exactly? :eek:

JTD · #138 Postby **JTD** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 1:42 am

...TROPICAL STORM STAN FORMS JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...

AT ABOUT 120 AM CDT... DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWENTY HAD INCREASED TO 45 MPH. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM
HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STAN... THE 18TH NAMED STORM OF
THE 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON. STAN IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL
ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. ADDITIONAL
DETAILS WILL BE PROVIDED IN THE NEXT ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB

tornadochaser86 · #139 Postby **tornadochaser86** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 2:39 am

your right they fixed them

#140 Postby **mvtrucking** » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:08 am

tornadochaser86 wrote:your right they fixed them

Welcome Garo678,
Keep your head down and any updates from there would be
great. Take care.

MV

Tropical Depression 20,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

heh...

Re: heh...

Reporting from Yucatan Peninsula

Re: heh...

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