How Strong Will TD 19/Poss. Future Stan Get?

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How Strong Will TD 19/Pos. Fut. Stan Get?

It Will Stay As A Depression
5
8%
It Will Become A TS, But Not Stronger
15
23%
It Will Become A Cat. 1, But Not Stronger
22
34%
It Will Become A Cat. 2, But Not Stromger
12
18%
It Will Become A Cat. 3, But Not Stronger
4
6%
It Will Become A Cat. 4, But Not Stronger
1
2%
It Will Become A Cat. 5 Storm
6
9%
 
Total votes: 65
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MiamiensisWx

How Strong Will TD 19/Poss. Future Stan Get?

#1 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 30, 2005 7:33 pm

Opinions?
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Sep 30, 2005 7:35 pm

Will become a cat2 in which is close to the Gfdl.
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cinlfla
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#3 Postby cinlfla » Fri Sep 30, 2005 7:36 pm

I also picked a Cat2, of course this is just my uneducated guess :wink:
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WeatherEmperor
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#4 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Sep 30, 2005 7:38 pm

Cat2.

<RICKY>
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MiamiensisWx

#5 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 30, 2005 7:43 pm

If it continues to intensify, hurricane strength is definately a possibility.
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MiamiensisWx

#6 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 30, 2005 7:44 pm

Votes are welcome. Don't be shy!

:P
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MiamiensisWx

#7 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 30, 2005 7:54 pm

*BUMP*
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Sep 30, 2005 7:55 pm

Its welcome to become a cat5 if it stays as a fish!
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MiamiensisWx

#9 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 30, 2005 8:02 pm

I made a spelling mistake when I spelled 'stronger' as 'stromger' in the part where I put the Category Two option.

cycloneye, can you correct that?
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chadtm80

#10 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Sep 30, 2005 8:03 pm

I went with a One.. VERY UNEDUCATED GUESS
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MiamiensisWx

#11 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 30, 2005 8:16 pm

*BUMP*
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wxmann_91
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#12 Postby wxmann_91 » Fri Sep 30, 2005 8:19 pm

LOL CV Wave, you always bump it just when I'm about to post.

Anyway, the setup for this system is similar to the setup for Phillipe. Strong westerlies just to the north are expected to help it with outflow for now, allowing rapid intensification IMO to a strong Cat 1. Thereafter, the westerlies are going to start shearing TD 19/Stan.

These westerlies will not let up, and if anything, they are expected strengthen. Thus, I believe anything above a Cat 2 is unlikely.

Forecast shear for the Atlantic: http://www.weatherunderground.com/data/640x480/atlm_shear.gif
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MiamiensisWx

#13 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 30, 2005 8:33 pm

*BUMP*
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Anonymous

#14 Postby Anonymous » Fri Sep 30, 2005 8:36 pm

I'll say 105 mph...but I kinda hope it hits 115 mph...it would help my forecast of 7 major hurricanes. I remember I said, I hope Maria makes Cat 3...and it just barely did, but, was the 4th major...if we have Stan, then thats 6 major hurricanes, with one Caribbean Late Season....that would make 7 major hurricanes.
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NastyCat4

#15 Postby NastyCat4 » Fri Sep 30, 2005 8:41 pm

Cat 1, and no risk to land.
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texasweatherwatcher
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#16 Postby texasweatherwatcher » Fri Sep 30, 2005 10:09 pm

It will, in my opinion, become a tropical storm, but not stronger.
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EFrancis
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#17 Postby EFrancis » Fri Sep 30, 2005 11:10 pm

NastyCat4 wrote:Cat 1, and no risk to land.


Ditto ditto, peaks at 90 MPH and never affects the US.
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krysof

#18 Postby krysof » Fri Sep 30, 2005 11:12 pm

EFrancis wrote:
NastyCat4 wrote:Cat 1, and no risk to land.


Ditto ditto, peaks at 90 MPH and never affects the US.


Let's hope we stick to this statement :uarrow:
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tornadochaser86
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#19 Postby tornadochaser86 » Sat Oct 01, 2005 4:09 am

agree except i expect top winds of 80mph if even that high the waters not as hot as it used tpo be
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Innotech
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#20 Postby Innotech » Sat Oct 01, 2005 8:44 am

95 mph cat 1.
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