90L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[CHRISTY]

can it make it all the way across?

[CHRISTY]

[img]We continue to track a low pressure area near 11 north and 34 west. This feature is not moving very quickly and the upper-level winds over this feature will slowly become somewhat favorable for development in a day or two. A tropical wave along 63 west has a surface low associated with it, but an upper-level feature nearby is preventing this from developing. Some computer information shows this wave eventually moving northwest and away from this upper-level feature by the end of the weekend. This could place the wave in the northern Bahamas by Monday. Another low was located near 12 north and 51 west, drifting northwest. No development is expected with this system Friday.[/img]

[SouthFloridawx]

[img]We continue to track a low pressure area near 11 north and 34 west. This feature is not moving very quickly and the upper-level winds over this feature will slowly become somewhat favorable for development in a day or two. A tropical wave along 63 west has a surface low associated with it, but an upper-level feature nearby is preventing this from developing. Some computer information shows this wave eventually moving northwest and away from this upper-level feature by the end of the weekend. This could place the wave in the northern Bahamas by Monday. Another low was located near 12 north and 51 west, drifting northwest. No development is expected with this system Friday.[/img]

Christy they are talking about another wave the one that I have bolded above...

[cycloneye]

Ok let's not deviate to other areas but to 90L as this thread is for that invest.

[fci]

Bring on Stan.
I'd love to see us get to the elusive "Alpha" with ALL FISH; starting with 90L

[WeatherEmperor]

Im very sure that 90L will indeed end up fishing. I mean why would I turn back towards the W completely?

<RICKY>

[dhweather]

It's the eve of October, this is a fish. Cape Verde season for long
tracking storms to the US is basically over.

[cjrciadt]

Only the LBAR recurvs quickly.

[terstorm1012]

Isn't a high supposed to set up over Greenland...the famed Newfoundland Wheel?

not -removed- but couldn't that guide something up the East Coast?

[Florida_TSR]

Yes

[HURAKAN]

TWO:

The low pressure centered about 575 miles west-southwest of the
southwesternmost Cape Verde Islands has become much better defined.
Thunderstorm activity has increased and become better organized...
and upper-level winds are favorable for a tropical depression to
form later today or on Saturday as the system moves slowly
northwestward over open waters.

[HURAKAN]

Could future "Stan" be our first and only true CV Storm of the 2005 season?

Interesting!!!

[Florida_TSR]

Most likely.

[MiamiensisWx]

It is looking VERY ORGANIZED right now. It may already be a tropical depression.

[LarryWx]

This has virtually no chance to make it all the way to the U.S. based on climo/pattern. No TD first forming east of 55W after 9/25 has made it to the U.S. since 1851 per records.

Of much more interest to me (SE coast) is the disturbance near 25N, 60W for early to mid next week. It is moving westward.

[HURAKAN]

Larry, no one is saying this will make to the US and America for that matter. Everyone agrees with the computer models that this will be nothing more than a marine and fish problem.

[MiamiensisWx]

This has virtually no chance to make it all the way to the U.S. based on climo/pattern. No TD first forming east of 55W after 9/25 has made it to the U.S. since 1851 per records.

Of much more interest to me (SE coast) is the disturbance near 25N, 60W for early to mid next week. It is moving westward.

True... however, the disturbance near 25N/60W is NOT looking very organized right now.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

[LarryWx]

Larry, no one is saying this will make to the US and America for that matter. Everyone agrees with the computer models that this will be nothing more than a marine and fish problem.

terstorm1012 had said "not -removed- but couldn't that guide something up the East Coast?" in this 90L thread. I was sort of responding to that and basically saying that if anything does reach the U.S., it wouldn't be 90L but 25N, 60W would clearly have a shot.

[mfl]

Could future "Stan" be our first and only true CV Storm of the 2005 season?

Interesting!!!

Emily, Irene

[LarryWx]

This has virtually no chance to make it all the way to the U.S. based on climo/pattern. No TD first forming east of 55W after 9/25 has made it to the U.S. since 1851 per records.

Of much more interest to me (SE coast) is the disturbance near 25N, 60W for early to mid next week. It is moving westward.

True... however, the disturbance near 25N/60W is NOT looking very organized right now.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

I agree that it isn't looking organized at all. Also, I realize it may never get organized. However, it is moving westward and could easily make it to the U.S. below the big high in whatever form, organized or not. It may very well come in only as a tropical wave. But, I do think the U.S. E coast should monitor for next week.