Hurricane Stan Recon Reports

x-y-no · #81 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:36 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:All I see are east and SE winds. The plane is down to 17.2N and still has SE winds. Looks like an open wave to me. No LLC evident on satellite or recon.

why are some people saying south west winds and we have a td and everything but your saying we still have an open wave?

There hasn't been anything but east to southeast winds since they got down to operational altitude.

mfl · #82 Postby **mfl** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:37 pm

storm cancel

Website · #83 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:38 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Brent wrote:What column is the wind direction again? I thought I saw some SW winds in there, but maybe I was reading it wrong.

6th column is wind direction.

That explains it... no west winds... or SW... or SSW or anything.

#84 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:38 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 291823
AF307 01HHA INVEST HDOB 26 KNHC
1811. 1709N 08144W 00304 5013 131 011 250 238 012 00304 0000000000
1812 1708N 08143W 00304 5013 137 012 250 234 013 00304 0000000000
1812. 1707N 08142W 00305 5013 134 012 250 244 012 00305 0000000000
1813 1706N 08141W 00304 5013 132 011 250 242 012 00304 0000000000
1813. 1705N 08140W 00306 5013 134 012 250 246 012 00305 0000000000
1814 1707N 08139W 00305 5013 132 014 250 244 014 00304 0000000000
1814. 1708N 08140W 00305 5013 125 016 250 244 016 00304 0000000000
1815 1710N 08141W 00305 5014 125 016 250 238 017 00303 0000000000
1815. 1711N 08142W 00305 5014 124 017 250 234 017 00303 0000000000
1816 1712N 08143W 00305 5014 123 016 250 242 017 00304 0000000000
1816. 1714N 08144W 00306 5014 121 015 248 246 016 00305 0000000000
1817 1714N 08146W 00304 5015 112 014 248 244 015 00302 0000000000
1817. 1714N 08147W 00305 5015 113 015 250 238 016 00303 0000000000
1818 1714N 08149W 00304 5015 114 016 250 236 016 00302 0000000000
1818. 1715N 08151W 00305 5015 111 016 248 238 016 00303 0000000000
1819 1715N 08153W 00305 5015 108 016 248 242 016 00302 0000000000
1819. 1715N 08154W 00305 5015 113 016 250 242 016 00302 0000000000
1820 1715N 08156W 00305 5015 108 014 248 244 015 00302 0000000000
1820. 1715N 08158W 00305 5015 107 013 246 244 013 00302 0000000000
1821 1715N 08200W 00306 5015 105 013 246 246 013 00303 0000000000

CHRISTY · #85 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:38 pm

so is it final no td?

Website · #86 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:39 pm

CHRISTY wrote:so is it final no td?

As of right now, no TD. It's not final til they leave without finding a west wind, but it's not looking good right now.

CHRISTY · #87 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:41 pm

its close to become one.

#88 Postby **mvtrucking** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:42 pm

That may change overnight. Don't they have a mission scheduled for tomorrow if needed?

#89 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:44 pm

246
URNT11 KNHC 291839
97779 18324 50173 82600 03100 08012 24242 /0010
40715
RMK AF307 01HHA INVEST OB 13

No vortex so far.

CHRISTY · #90 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:47 pm

no td?

#91 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:47 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 291843
AF307 01HHA INVEST HDOB 28 KNHC
1831. 1718N 08235W 00305 5017 086 013 240 240 014 00301 0000000000
1832 1718N 08236W 00308 5016 088 012 242 242 013 00304 0000000000
1832. 1717N 08237W 00301 5017 079 011 244 240 011 00296 0000000000
1833 1715N 08239W 00306 5017 077 012 242 242 012 00301 0000000000
1833. 1714N 08240W 00305 5017 077 012 244 240 012 00300 0000000000
1834 1713N 08241W 00305 5017 072 011 244 240 012 00300 0000000000
1834. 1712N 08242W 00305 5017 068 012 244 244 013 00301 0000000000
1835 1711N 08243W 00305 5017 068 012 246 242 012 00300 0000000000
1835. 1709N 08245W 00305 5017 070 012 246 242 013 00300 0000000000
1836 1708N 08246W 00305 5018 062 012 246 242 012 00300 0000000000
1836. 1707N 08247W 00305 5017 065 012 246 244 012 00300 0000000000
1837 1706N 08248W 00304 5018 068 012 246 244 012 00299 0000000000
1837. 1705N 08249W 00305 5018 064 012 246 242 012 00299 0000000000
1838 1703N 08251W 00305 5018 067 012 246 244 012 00299 0000000000
1838. 1702N 08252W 00306 5018 065 012 246 244 013 00300 0000000000
1839 1701N 08253W 00305 5019 063 013 246 244 014 00299 0000000000
1839. 1700N 08254W 00304 5019 067 013 246 244 013 00298 0000000000
1840 1659N 08255W 00306 5019 066 012 246 244 013 00299 0000000000
1840. 1657N 08257W 00305 5019 064 013 246 246 013 00298 0000000000
1841 1656N 08258W 00304 5019 060 012 246 246 013 00298 0000000000

They are still going down in latitud trying to find a west wind.

djtil · #92 Postby **djtil** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:50 pm

was recon really necessary yet? i would think the budgets are so tight that they wouldnt waste a mission on something so marginal and far from the US.

jmho

mfl · #93 Postby **mfl** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:51 pm

There's no way it's that far down. If anything, they should be searching up near 20N.

Website · #94 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:52 pm

CHRISTY wrote:no td?

No, and unless something big occurs in the next few minutes, it's not gonna be one today.

JamesFromMaine2 · #95 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:55 pm

up between 20N and 80W in that big blow up of convection it looks to have a rotation there don't know if its a low level rotation or not but that is where they should be searching IMO!

#96 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:01 pm

101
URNT11 KNHC 291851
97779 18454 50167 83100 03000 99005 25242 /0009
49905
RMK AF307 01HHA INVEST OB 14

#97 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:02 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 291853
AF307 01HHA INVEST HDOB 29 KNHC
1841. 1655N 08259W 00305 5019 065 012 248 244 012 00299 0000000000
1842 1654N 08300W 00304 5019 067 011 248 242 011 00298 0000000000
1842. 1653N 08301W 00309 5019 068 010 246 240 010 00303 0000000000
1843 1651N 08303W 00313 5018 064 010 246 240 010 00307 0000000000
1843. 1650N 08304W 00303 5018 066 009 250 240 009 00297 0000000000
1844 1649N 08305W 00305 5018 068 009 248 240 009 00300 0000000000
1844. 1647N 08307W 00304 5018 066 009 248 240 009 00298 0000000000
1845 1646N 08308W 00305 5018 064 008 246 244 009 00300 0000000000
1845. 1644N 08309W 00303 5018 061 008 246 244 008 00298 0000000000
1846 1643N 08311W 00305 5018 064 009 246 244 009 00299 0000000000
1846. 1642N 08312W 00304 5018 060 008 246 244 009 00298 0000000000
1847 1640N 08313W 00305 5018 057 008 246 244 008 00299 0000000000
1847. 1639N 08315W 00304 5019 050 009 246 244 009 00298 0000000000
1848 1638N 08316W 00306 5019 047 009 246 242 009 00299 0000000000
1848. 1636N 08317W 00304 5019 046 009 246 242 009 00298 0000000000
1849 1635N 08319W 00304 5019 047 008 248 242 008 00297 0000000000
1849. 1634N 08320W 00305 5019 048 009 250 240 009 00298 0000000000
1850 1632N 08322W 00305 5019 049 009 248 240 009 00298 0000000000
1850. 1631N 08323W 00304 5019 043 009 246 242 009 00297 0000000000
1851 1629N 08324W 00304 5019 039 008 246 242 008 00297 0000000000

Derek Ortt · #98 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:06 pm

why they are flying where they are is a mystery.

any rotation is way up near 20N

JamesFromMaine2 · #99 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:07 pm

wxcrazytwo wrote:
JamesFromMaine2 wrote:up between 20N and 80W in that big blow up of convection it looks to have a rotation there don't know if its a low level rotation or not but that is where they should be searching IMO!

According to Matthurricanewatcher there is an LLC at 99l, but then again he always says there is an LLC..

I don't know, he can think and say whatever he wants to! All I am saying is to me it looks like there is a rotation about around there! lol

#100 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:07 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:why they are flying where they are is a mystery.

any rotation is way up near 20N

Yes they are way down near 16n now.They are trying to find the elusive west wind.

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