99L: Jogging north or just a wobble?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
temujin
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 109
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:58 pm

99L: Jogging north or just a wobble?

#1 Postby temujin » Wed Sep 28, 2005 10:51 pm

Just look at it, and tell me it's not jogging north.
0 likes   

User avatar
Starburst
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 484
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 11:03 pm
Location: Beeville, TX
Contact:

#2 Postby Starburst » Wed Sep 28, 2005 11:26 pm

There is nothing at this point to jog or wobble it is just barely forming and that is a big if.
0 likes   

chadtm80

#3 Postby chadtm80 » Wed Sep 28, 2005 11:28 pm

Starburst wrote:There is nothing at this point to jog or wobble it is just barely forming and that is a big if.
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#4 Postby boca » Wed Sep 28, 2005 11:44 pm

It looks like its jogged north but that's blowoff from the ULL off NE Florida. The action is that red dot 100 miles SSW of that convective blob.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   

Charles-KD5ZSM
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 62
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:09 pm
Location: Ocean Springs, MS

#5 Postby Charles-KD5ZSM » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:45 am

it is such a cluster it is hard to tell anything at this point in time
0 likes   

stormcloud
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 130
Joined: Fri May 07, 2004 2:44 pm
Location: Houston

#6 Postby stormcloud » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:17 am

There has always been the possibility for the center to form further north than the computer forecasts.
0 likes   

chrisnnavarre
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 309
Joined: Fri Oct 03, 2003 5:52 pm
Contact:

#7 Postby chrisnnavarre » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:23 am

It certainly doesn't look like it's drifting towards the Yucatan.
0 likes   

User avatar
Weatherfreak14
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1383
Joined: Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm
Location: Beaufort, SC
Contact:

#8 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 4:48 am

Yea it seems to have taken a different direction.
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#9 Postby O Town » Thu Sep 29, 2005 6:29 am

The convection itself doesnt seem to moving anywhere to fast. The north side of the wave appears to be moving north, but appears it the key word. It is getting sheared off by the ULL over Fla. as was mentioned above. You never know, to early to lock into a true center. Recon is suppost to go out this morning. Maybe they can shed some light on this system.
0 likes   

User avatar
TreasureIslandFLGal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1584
Age: 57
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 6:16 pm
Location: Cancun, Mexico (northeast Yucatan coast)

#10 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Thu Sep 29, 2005 7:21 am

direction right now is pretty indeterminate. until this is a system and even has a center, we can't speculate direction. plus, no matter where we initialy plot a center, it will reform a number of times as they always seem to do in new/early developing systems.
Just watch and let this develop a little more before we make oodles and oodles of jog posts on it.
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#11 Postby skysummit » Thu Sep 29, 2005 8:11 am

A wave wobble? :lol: I don't think it can wobble a this point. There's nothing to wobble.
0 likes   

storm4u
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 651
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 7:26 am
Location: agawam, ma
Contact:

Re: 99L: Jogging north or just a wobble?

#12 Postby storm4u » Thu Sep 29, 2005 8:15 am

temujin wrote:Just look at it, and tell me it's not jogging north.



now i have heard everything!!! :D
0 likes   

becca1695
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 37
Joined: Fri Oct 03, 2003 6:31 am
Location: Boston, MA, 42N, 71W

Wobbles?

#13 Postby becca1695 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 8:46 am

Weebles wobble (but they don't fall down)

No, wait a minute, that would be Wilma wobbles but it's not Wilma's turn, it's Stan's turn, and he isn't allowed to wobble. So.... No wobbles. No Stan. No storm. :lol:
0 likes   

temujin
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 109
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:58 pm

#14 Postby temujin » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:43 pm

skysummit wrote:A wave wobble? :lol: I don't think it can wobble a this point. There's nothing to wobble.



That was kinda my point. I was making a funny. Didn't realize it would spur a debate. :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#15 Postby artist » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:47 pm

can someone check out the circulation at 21n 76.83w? Run a loop - I know it is over Cuba but is beginning to spin off - not sure it is to the surface yet though. What do you all think? enter x of 339 and y of 219 when you scroll down the page and set for animation of 8 images at the top and then enter the coordinates at the bottom of the page and click extraxt subimage button.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html





(posted on the 99 main thread but this seems more appropriate)
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, StormWeather, Torgo and 53 guests