Potential strength of 99L, West Gulf water temps?

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HouTXmetro
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Potential strength of 99L, West Gulf water temps?

#1 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 27, 2005 10:27 am

If 99L took a track into the West Gulf, could the water temps support a major Hurricane? Let's say the storm moved WNW towards the Mexican Coast then headed N towards the Texas Coast. How strong could it be?
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#2 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 27, 2005 10:35 am

At the most a 4.
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#3 Postby jasons2k » Tue Sep 27, 2005 10:35 am

It only weighs one of MANY factors (SSTs) but will give you an idea:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html
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#4 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 27, 2005 11:02 am

Wow, up to cat4. Not good.
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#5 Postby thermos » Tue Sep 27, 2005 11:20 am

jschlitz wrote:It only weighs one of MANY factors (SSTs) but will give you an idea:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html


hurpot :) hurricane pot :) that's kind of what those waters are -- hurricane soup. :eek:
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#6 Postby Swimdude » Tue Sep 27, 2005 3:36 pm

hicksta wrote:At the most a 4.


Yup, that's what everyone was saying about Rita as well.
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#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Sep 27, 2005 3:41 pm

and then ofcourse Rita bombed big time in the Gulf and became the third strongest pressure wise hurricane on record. Its so amazing this year how many major hurricanes have entered the Gulf this year. My goodness.

<RICKY>
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#8 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 3:45 pm

Here is the latest charts, after Rita...

The areas traversed by both Rita and Katrina have taken some bite out of the GOM as far as SST's..

Not only is the NW Caribbean still extremely warm, but areas just to the east of Tx are still quite warm.

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... ant.fc.gif
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#9 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 3:50 pm

very warm waters
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#10 Postby patsmsg » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:21 pm

SSTs are a strong contibuting factor, but probably being hyped a bit too much as of late(with relation to development of strong storms). There's plenty of heat out there to support development, and likely will be through the end of the season.
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#11 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:32 pm

I think this could be a strong possiblity that 99L can be a strong cane.
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#12 Postby txwatcher91 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:39 pm

With perfect conditions, at a minimum, how warm does the SST need to be to sustain a CAT 3 or higher?
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#13 Postby JTD » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:54 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:and then ofcourse Rita bombed big time in the Gulf and became the third strongest pressure wise hurricane on record. Its so amazing this year how many major hurricanes have entered the Gulf this year. My goodness.

<RICKY>


I know :eek: It's crazy. Every 70 mph+ storm that has entered the GOM this year has exploded to near cat 5.
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#14 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 5:44 pm

too early to tell
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#15 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Sep 27, 2005 8:25 pm

Would someone be so kind as to move those 90 degree waters away from my coast.

Like to Antartica please.


:eek:
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