Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#921 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 24, 2005 10:59 am

Magnificent Rita at the moment of landfall.

oneness · #922 Postby **oneness** » Sat Sep 24, 2005 11:54 am

#923 Postby **cjrciadt** » Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:53 pm

I like the BAMM now. 8-)

djtil · #924 Postby **djtil** » Sat Sep 24, 2005 4:13 pm

magnificent? looks less than that to me...cat 2-ish actually.

:wink:

oneness · #925 Postby **oneness** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:04 am

"The reports of my death have been much exaggerated" - Rita

Website · #926 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:06 am

It was a CRAZY day in Western Alabama... dozens of tornado warnings this afternoon with several reports of tornadoes including a large one just north of Tuscaloosa that was caught on a TV towercam and shown live. Fortunately only 2 injuries reported.

Meanwhile, on the other side of the state, no rain yet.

oneness · #927 Postby **oneness** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:31 am

Moving ~ESE to SE on Mobile radar, should re-emerge into the GOM near Pensacola on current movement. Seems to be approximating GFDL and GFS guidance rather closely, so far. Those models said it will take a more southerly and perhaps SW track over water. Convergent bands beginning to form from NO to Pensacola and SW.

GFS
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

oneness · #928 Postby **oneness** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:23 am

Coredesat · #929 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:47 am

Looks to me like it's being absorbed by the front.

mtm4319 · #930 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:54 am

oneness wrote:Moving ~ESE to SE on Mobile radar, should re-emerge into the GOM near Pensacola on current movement. Seems to be approximating GFDL and GFS guidance rather closely, so far. Those models said it will take a more southerly and perhaps SW track over water. Convergent bands beginning to form from NO to Pensacola and SW.

The remnants are moving through the Ohio Valley, not toward the Gulf of Mexico.

Code: Select all

AT 4 AM CDT...09Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST...OR 80
MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA.

THE DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. RITA WILL WEAKEN AND
BECOME ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL WAVE LATER THIS MORNING.

mtm4319 · #931 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:55 am

djtil wrote:magnificent? looks less than that to me...cat 2-ish actually.

You're really starting to sound like a broken record.

oneness · #932 Postby **oneness** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:10 am

Though the further east it goes the more a south component becomes established. My guess is that if storms pop-up in the coastal convergence then this will bring pressures down and may tend to pull the system down to the coast. GFS seems to show a southerly turn of Rita’s remnant within a few hours which then proceeds off-shore.

2 cents

Coredesat · #933 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:12 am

The only problem with this is that there won't be a system to pull to the south in a few hours. Rita's center is dissipating and moving ENE with the front that's absorbing the remnant convection.

oneness · #934 Postby **oneness** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:25 am

I'm not sure it's an either/or situation, I see both happening.

mtm4319 · #935 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:25 am

oneness wrote:Though the further east it goes the more a south component becomes established. My guess is that if storms pop-up in the coastal convergence then this will bring pressures down and may tend to pull the system down to the coast. GFS seems to show a southerly turn of Rita’s remnant within a few hours which then proceeds off-shore.

2 cents

But... that's not Rita. It's the front. Rita is in Indiana according to the HPC.

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