Joe Bastardi said it for himself
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Downdraft wrote:All I can think of this year is "John Hope are you watching all this from up there?" Boy we sure miss you down here!
I really do wonder what the Great John Hope would think of all the active tropical activity we are going through now. Gosh we all could really use his expertise right now.
<RICKY>
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Joe Was Wrong.....
1. On Sean Hannity Show on Tues - Called for a Matagorda landfall, then Rita will track up to Austin then up I35 to Dallas.
2. Wed - Called for Landfall at Freeport -
3. Thurs. Called for Landfall in Galveston
4. Fri - still called for landfall just E. of Galveston - High Island. Though he still said it could hit Galveston directly - this is despite the fact all the models and movements said a Sabine Pass hit.
5. Also called for the Storm to follow I45 to Dallas and then backtrack to Mexico via I35.
so.... What was he right about? rita came in at in extreme SW LA. went almost staight north then NNE....
I will give him credit in the fact that he is usually pretty good at pattern recognition....
But I wouldn't give him any credit in effectively calling where Rita would land.....
2. Wed - Called for Landfall at Freeport -
3. Thurs. Called for Landfall in Galveston
4. Fri - still called for landfall just E. of Galveston - High Island. Though he still said it could hit Galveston directly - this is despite the fact all the models and movements said a Sabine Pass hit.
5. Also called for the Storm to follow I45 to Dallas and then backtrack to Mexico via I35.
so.... What was he right about? rita came in at in extreme SW LA. went almost staight north then NNE....
I will give him credit in the fact that he is usually pretty good at pattern recognition....
But I wouldn't give him any credit in effectively calling where Rita would land.....
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- deltadog03
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you know what...its funny, that many on here bash him....sure, he was of with Rita's landfall...YES...BUT, he called that system WAAAY before anyone else did....before the energy from the trof split off and became rita. Sure, he does over hype...But, who dosn't??? Everyone has there flaws, JB, NWS, NOAA, NHC..local mets..etc. all i am saying is cut the man some slack...he does try very hard...
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webke wrote:I was listening to Joe earlier on Fox and he went way out of his way to say that Rita would move back into the Gulf and that we had to watch the Bahamas and then he laughed. What is there to laugh about, the man said more destruction can happen and to him it's as joke.
Well...when you forecast everything possible to happen...it's hard to be wrong.
Yesterday...he was on FOX forecasting 80 MPH winds in Dallas.
Whoops.
MW
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Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack
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arcticfire wrote:ConvergenceZone wrote:Although I like Joe's personality and enthusiasm on his updates, I do get a bit tired of him over-hyping every storm. It just seems like if the forecast calls for a hurricane of 100 mph, he'll make it 125, if it calls for 125 mph, then he'll make it 150 mph. It just seems like he has to always forecast stronger than the NHC in spite of the data going against it. Now I know it's just his opinion, but it makes his forecasts a bit predictable. I'm not too sure why he always forecasts the to be stronger.
True, sometimes he can be right and the NHC may we weak on their storm forecast, but most of the time they are pretty good.
Well to be fair , NHC from what I have seen habitually underestimates the strength of hurrcains. How many times is it 80mph cain forcasted to slowly stregthen over the next few days with model plots saying 120mph. Then you wake up the next morning it's a 140mph storm and everyone is shocked.
Better to overestimate then underestimate anyway. People hear you say it will likly be a cat 2 in a few days they don't worry. People hear yo say it may become a cat 5 , they start paying attention.
There have been alot of storms that have looked like they'd be monsters, but never materialized and instead fell apart. JB would have had New Orleans evacuating and terrified as soon as Earl formed last year with a seeming bull's-eye for the central Gulf.
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Dean4Storms
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amawea wrote:Well Dean4Storms, he already admitted he was wrong in his post yesterday afternoon. Go Joe Go! Your a great meteoroligist!
Amawea
Well good for him. That tells you how much I pay him attention. He does have a knack for looking at models and recognizing potential areas of TC development down the road, but from there he has no better a track record than the NHC or anyone else for that matter. He surely has no right nor does he have the credentials of a recognized position of authority to criticize anyone else or organization be it Gov't or private in forecasting at the same time he bloviates his own self.
His job should be to make his own forecasts and let others be the judge, not judging others and making himslef out to be the JUDGE!!
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