Does 1933 actually hold the record?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

Are all the 1933 storms valid?

Yes
23
68%
No
11
32%
 
Total votes: 34

Message
Author
User avatar
Astro_man92
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1493
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:26 am
Contact:

Does 1933 actually hold the record?

#1 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Sep 24, 2005 6:31 pm

Well to start this there have been not really many thread questioning 1933's record but it is still probably getting annoying and if it is i'm sorry. I'm creating a new thread because the last one of these threads was made early last month or so and it would be a hassle to dig it up.

So to actually start this I'm goign to present a map (below) of the 1933 Hurricane season

Image

ahh the great 1933 storm season or is it?? soposodley it has had 21 storms. How do we know that some of those storms where actually Strong normal Thunderstorms? How did they know the track of the storm? How about the actual intensity? Maybe with the stonger storms the instuments failed and they asumed the wind speed? there are these questions and others that i have. now can someone post some truley hardcore evidence that every storm exept 1 made land fall. Can any one prove at least 20 of these existed. I bet you'd only be able to to prove 5 at most. I'd agree with 15 maybe but I bet most of these storms are totally bogus. Can anyone prove this info or at least half of it? and don't give me that well the tech was primitive. I know that that is why i'm posting this.


for the poll it is mainly a yes or no awsner it is your opinion it doesn't have to be right so if your not sure choose the one that calls out to you. If that doesn't work flip a coin. don't have one then just pick one out of the blue
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#2 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Sep 24, 2005 6:36 pm

well thats like saying the years before that were completely bogus to, so, what, we just throw those years out to??? how can we prove those fish storms then to? Ship reports, ahhh what a wonderful thing... a cat 4 t-storm??? must be on steriods...
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#3 Postby WindRunner » Sat Sep 24, 2005 6:36 pm

I'd support the numbers, as even though some of these storms were probably just strong waves or depressions and some of them followed extremely weird tracks, (look at storm 19 as it goes around the Yucatan) but you must remember, as others have said, that there were probably many "unseen" storms like Maria and Philippe have been. So, while I doubt the track and strength accuracy, I feel that the number can be seen as about right.
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#4 Postby O Town » Sat Sep 24, 2005 6:40 pm

WindRunner wrote:I'd support the numbers, as even though some of these storms were probably just strong waves or depressions and some of them followed extremely weird tracks, (look at storm 19 as it goes around the Yucatan) but you must remember, as others have said, that there were probably many "unseen" storms like Maria and Philippe have been. So, while I doubt the track and strength accuracy, I feel that the number can be seen as about right.
I agree. So even if some of the landing ones where not full fledge hurricanes, maybe just tropical depressions, if you add in the storms that where fish and unseen then the number will probably be the same if not higher.
0 likes   

gpickett00
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:47 pm
Location: Satellite Beach Florida
Contact:

#5 Postby gpickett00 » Sat Sep 24, 2005 7:23 pm

Yeah I don't believe it either. Intensity no. Point where it first became a depression no. Track no. Number of total storms no.
0 likes   

gpickett00
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:47 pm
Location: Satellite Beach Florida
Contact:

#6 Postby gpickett00 » Sat Sep 24, 2005 7:25 pm

Image

that seasons full of crap too check it out
0 likes   

WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Sep 24, 2005 7:26 pm

well certainly 1933 holds the record for the number of storms but not named storms as storms werent named back then.

<RICKY>
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#8 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Sep 24, 2005 7:52 pm

What is the question? Is it what the poll says ("Are the 1933 storms valid?") or what the title says ("Does 1933 hold the record?")

The first question, definately no.

The second question, yes, because some storms weren't counted, and some are not really storms or are repeats of the same storm, so in the end it all evens out. Most likely 1933 had 20-22 storms (1 or 2 off), which would still be the record.
0 likes   

nequad
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 303
Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:36 pm

#9 Postby nequad » Sat Sep 24, 2005 8:33 pm

In reality, anything before satellite imagery has to be questioned. However, I think it's safe to assume that the official records have been made with the up most care and extensive research. If anything, pre-satellite seasons probably don't show all the TC activity that occured.(i.e. open ocean storms that never crossed paths with a ship...thus no record.)
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#10 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 24, 2005 9:51 pm

You may have a point, but how can you prove that they are or not valid. Will a research 72 years later disprove one or some of this systems?
0 likes   

kevin

#11 Postby kevin » Sat Sep 24, 2005 11:20 pm

I think everyone has been underestimating the amount of ship traffic going on in 1933.

There were no planes (well carrying cargo I mean)! There were a lot of ships out there. Navies out there. And so on.

This isn't the dark ages its 1933.
0 likes   

Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1772
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: SW Broward, FL

#12 Postby Patrick99 » Sun Sep 25, 2005 9:21 am

I don't think those tracks are hard to believe at all, whether 1933 or 1886. As someone said, there were a *lot* of ships operating. In 1886, ship traffic wasn't exactly unheard of, either.

These people knew what tropical cyclones are and probably had their own low-tech methods for detecting and tracking them. I think it's naive and dismissive to think that just because they didn't have satellite imagery back then, that they were clueless.
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#13 Postby O Town » Sun Sep 25, 2005 9:26 am

:uarrow: Well said.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: ronjon and 71 guests