Final Landfall ideas

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PhillyWX
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Final Landfall ideas

#1 Postby PhillyWX » Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:24 am

http://philadelphiaweather.blogspot.com/2005/09/rita-am-update.html

Final call...

Landfall near McFaddin NWR, TX (just west of Sabine Pass)
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#2 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:52 am

Western Louisiana..
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#3 Postby dwg71 » Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:53 am

if current trend continues, yes. but that could change. I hope it doesnt change.
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#4 Postby carve » Fri Sep 23, 2005 7:14 am

just west of Beaumont
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#5 Postby storms in NC » Fri Sep 23, 2005 8:19 am

My guess would be Pecan Island. But I just got up and really haven't done any runs yet. I will know for sure in a few hours. :sleeping:
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#6 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 23, 2005 8:27 am

Jefferson County, TX just east of High Island, west of Sabine Pass.

Intensity is much harder...

Still think there's a chance it could go west of Galveston.
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#7 Postby N2Storms » Fri Sep 23, 2005 8:30 am

Cameron La. or just slightly to the east... IMO
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#8 Postby JPmia » Fri Sep 23, 2005 8:32 am

Brent wrote:Jefferson County, TX just east of High Island, west of Sabine Pass.

Intensity is much harder...

Still think there's a chance it could go west of Galveston.


I agree, Port Arthur/Sabine Pass area.
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#9 Postby tornadochaser86 » Fri Sep 23, 2005 11:54 am

near lousiana texas border my bet
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#10 Postby HurricaneGirl » Fri Sep 23, 2005 11:57 am

tornadochaser86 wrote:near lousiana texas border my bet
I'm thinking that too.
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#11 Postby superfly » Fri Sep 23, 2005 11:57 am

Just to the east of TX/LA border at 115MPH.
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#12 Postby tornadochaser86 » Fri Sep 23, 2005 12:03 pm

actually make that almost certain rita north of forecast point and heading due NNW right now
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#13 Postby SamSagnella » Fri Sep 23, 2005 12:06 pm

still sticking with my original lanfall target of freeport-galveston.
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#14 Postby gboudx » Fri Sep 23, 2005 12:10 pm

SamSagnella wrote:still sticking with my original lanfall target of freeport-galveston.


Joe. B, is that you? ;)


just messing with ya.
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#15 Postby thetraveler » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:25 pm

Just from watching the radar loop, I believe 5 miles either side of the Chambers county, Jefferson County line. Time 0230. 130mph.
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#16 Postby djtil » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:29 pm

sea rim state park, 120mph officially, 110mph based on last recon
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#17 Postby storms in NC » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:31 pm

After looking for much of the day I have to say landfall will be near Grand Chenier. Cat4 145 mph winds
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#18 Postby dwg71 » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:32 pm

Western eye wall on LA side of border 10-15 miles or so. Cat 2, eye wall looks realy ragged now. That would be 130-150 miles east of houston.
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#19 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:36 pm

Like the traveler, I say at High Island, which is where he described. Time should be around 6 am give or take an hour. Intensity is a crap shoot imo, but I will go with 125 mph with gusts to 140. That will bring it right up the Far East side of the Houston Metro area along the East side of Galveston and Trinity Bays.
Last edited by vbhoutex on Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#20 Postby Sanibel » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:36 pm

The hard NE quadrant shoulder is going to impact Cameron and Lake Charles.

Storm will miss Galveston/Houston. Gusts and west side surge there, but less than previously expected.

Storm has rebounded sending heavy burst to Galveston side. Storm is still wide and massive and has pushed back dry air. Rebound maintaining 125mph.

Lafayette will receive slightly higher effects to hurricane force and above under deepening core...
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