Rita has been wobbling due west

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logybogy

Rita has been wobbling due west

#1 Postby logybogy » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:37 pm

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=3

THis will be very important for Houston and Galveston if it lasts a few hours or more. Any west wobbles could be the difference between Houston receiving 120+mph sustained winds or 75 mph wind gusts with tropical storm force sustained.
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CaptinCrunch
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#2 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:42 pm

The last several frams has shown a due west movement, I really don't see this as a slight wooble.
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#3 Postby huricanwatcher » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:45 pm

UM..SORRY


WEEBLES WOOBLE AND THE DONT GO SOUTH? (FALL DOWN SAME THING)
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#4 Postby sponger » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:47 pm

We will be at this all night!
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#5 Postby soonertwister » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:48 pm

The more I look at the track of Rita over time, it looks more and more to me that she is going to run dead-on into Galveston and Houston metro.

I sure hope that I'm very wrong.
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#6 Postby BamaMan » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:48 pm

sponger wrote:We will be at this all night!

No doubt. The wobble watchers will be out in full force
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#7 Postby TampaFl » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:48 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:UM..SORRY


WEEBLES WOOBLE AND THE DONT GO SOUTH? (FALL DOWN SAME THING)



:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#8 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:50 pm

I just seen a slightly South of West wobble :eek:
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#9 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:50 pm

And she will wobble NNW again.
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#10 Postby BamaMan » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:53 pm

Whoever is old enough will remember what a slinky looked like going downstairs . . . . Well the stair step movment is the same but goes up instead of down
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#11 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:53 pm

Each wobble is signifcant this close to landfall.
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#12 Postby jwayne » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:54 pm

three points:

1. we make fun of wobbles, but they are huge in terms of the end game with this storm. billions of dollars difference between galveston bay hit and high island hit.

2. the storm has "wobbled" west and appears to have slowed a little.

3. she is getting larger. that sucks.
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#13 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:54 pm

It is a west and almost WSW wobble...

Most likely it could the fact of the western edge of the storm filling in a few hours back and the "weight" directionally took it west....

Still look for the WNW motion to fill back in..
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#14 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:54 pm

And the last frame shows a jog north again...
Last edited by PTrackerLA on Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#15 Postby BamaMan » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:55 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Each wobble is signifcant this close to landfall.

I agree, but will become even more significant when she gets closer . . . ie Ivans wobble east 50 miles south of Mobile bay
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#16 Postby Portastorm » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:59 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:And the last frame shows a jog north again...


um, not sure what you are looking it. she's moving/wobbling west in the last frame i see from the NHC site.
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#17 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:00 pm

Everyone from Corpus Christi TX to Morgan City, LA will be on edge until this thing makes landfall.
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#18 Postby skysummit » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:00 pm

This is freagin' hilarious.
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#19 Postby Starburst » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:01 pm

same for me my weeble is still wobbling west :wink:
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#20 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:04 pm

OK...before the "wobble-watcher" bashers start in...keep this in mind (noth that you would have known it)...we were expected a movement back to the west later today. During the NHC/HPC conference call (the one at 9am)...the HPC actually verified why Rita had jogged wnw-nw and stated the movement would end by later today and that a west track for a while would happen when the ridge started to move eastward. So...this is not a surprise. That's why I liked their track of just east of GLS island near High Island...rather than the NHC's which was about 20 miles to the east. They have been very good on this storm with the internal forecasts and have out-performed the NHC by showing trends earlier.

So props to the HPC for calling a west track for later today.
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