914mb and EWRC nearing completion?

jpigott · #1 Postby **jpigott** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:34 pm

Not to clog up this board with another topic, but i think this warrants some discussion. Most all indicators now point to Rita's weakening as leveling off if not reversing. T#s are back on the rise, cold cloud tops working themselves back around the western core, pressure rise appears to be leveling off in the 915 range :eek:

and the old outer eyewall is starting to contract. If the next recon vortex doesn't find a pressure above say 916 or so, we may see Rita go for broke again. I never thought i'd see the day where a hurricane in the Atlantic basin about to make landfall within the next 36 hours goes thru an EWRC and the pressure tops out at approx. 915 mb. I hope i am wrong but it certainly looks like Rita is ramping back up

DESTRUCTION5 · #2 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:38 pm

Agree..Think its time for a run at Gilbert and 180 MPH?

Florida_TSR · #3 Postby **Florida_TSR** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:40 pm

Rita is entering cooler water (heat content). I highly doubt we see falling pressures again.

Website · #4 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:42 pm

914 now...

The farther north track keeps it over the warm water longer. This is not good...

#5 Postby **cjrciadt** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:43 pm

the new vortex has found 914mb with cat$ winds. When will the winds respond?

weatherFrEaK · #6 Postby **weatherFrEaK** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:43 pm

latest vortex...914MB

jpigott · #7 Postby **jpigott** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:47 pm

Florida_TSR wrote:Rita is entering cooler water (heat content). I highly doubt we see falling pressures again.

wow, that's got to be the fastest serving of crow i've ever seen :lol:

BReb · #8 Postby **BReb** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:48 pm

"The farther north track keeps it over the warm water longer. This is not good..."

I'm quite willing to accept the warmer waters on the northerly track as the price for keeping Rita on a heading east of Houston/Galveston. Not that I have a choice ...

If we could get this thing all the way over to west-central Louisiana that would be far less destructive in lives and property than a landfall further west. Not that it wouldn't be catastrophic there.

soonertwister · #9 Postby **soonertwister** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:49 pm

Winds should respond by at least 6 hours, full rebound by 12. As we get closer to landfall, any intensification cycle now is totally bad news.

#10 Postby **Cookiely** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:50 pm

Just saw a very good graphic on CNN with the SST and Rita is about to enter an extremely hot area so I think you will see the pressure drop. Before landfall the water is cooler and she will decrease a little but I think it will be too late to decrease much.

#11 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:58 pm

REALLY BAD NEWS, RITA IS BECOMING ONCE AGAIN BETTER ORGANIZED.

EARLY TODAY:

NOW:

jhamps10 · #12 Postby **jhamps10** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 2:03 pm

All I can say is This is Scary!!!! NHC says this is forcast to weaken, but it looks like she doesn't like to see that. I hope that diddn't sound political, NHC has been on track this year.

milankovitch · #13 Postby **milankovitch** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 2:04 pm

Florida_TSR wrote:Rita is entering cooler water (heat content). I highly doubt we see falling pressures again.

Rita would have hit lower HHC if it was going to Matagorda but with this northern track it's going to miss those pockets of low HHC. Rita looks to have high HHC till Friday morning then it will decrease a little.

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jpigott · #14 Postby **jpigott** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 2:08 pm

i am completely baffeled. latest recon shows a 15 mile wide inner eyewall and 50 mile wide outer eyewall, so EWRC doesn't appear to have completed yet. But, pressures are going back down :?:

914mb and EWRC nearing completion?

914mb and EWRC nearing completion?

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