Hurricane Watch shifted East

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TSmith274
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Hurricane Watch shifted East

#1 Postby TSmith274 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 3:59 am

To Intracoastal City, La., which is about 40 miles south of Lafayette, La. Goodnight everyone.
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HouTXmetro
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#2 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Sep 22, 2005 4:09 am

And this is where my mother was going to evacute. I have family there, this is not good no matter what way you look at it.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#3 Postby BamaMan » Thu Sep 22, 2005 4:18 am

I think IMO that all warnings and watches will continue to shift eastward as the day progress.She is much further North at this Longitude than had been expected 12-24 hours ago. Actually was not supposed to cross 25 N until she crossed 90.8-91.0 W and has done it at 88.0. seems like a small difference in a way, but the small changes, still this far out, can make huge differences in where she is on the coast. I am beginning to fear for NOLA, and maybe the Ms. Coast also
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#4 Postby Ixolib » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:13 am

BamaMan wrote:I think IMO that all warnings and watches will continue to shift eastward as the day progress.She is much further North at this Longitude than had been expected 12-24 hours ago. Actually was not supposed to cross 25 N until she crossed 90.8-91.0 W and has done it at 88.0. seems like a small difference in a way, but the small changes, still this far out, can make huge differences in where she is on the coast. I am beginning to fear for NOLA, and maybe the Ms. Coast also


Our local guy (Mike Reader - WLOX) said last evening that we can breath much easier once she passes 89W. But, I believe he was also considering her westward trend would stay below 25N at that point. I'll agree - if this "trend" continues, she will make a SWLA landfall...
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#5 Postby BamaMan » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:18 am

I agree Ixolib, but this WNW - NW movement since mid-afternoon yesterday has me more concerned. I'm just worried about if she decides to add an even more Northerly component.
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#6 Postby Ixolib » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:27 am

BamaMan wrote:I agree Ixolib, but this WNW - NW movement since mid-afternoon yesterday has me more concerned. I'm just worried about if she decides to add an even more Northerly component.


Perhaps the 7am and/or 10am update will shed a little more reality to the picture. Seems, though, that the satellite view and the model shifts are easily agreeing with each other. How far east is going to be v-e-r-y interesting, to say the least.

IMO, we've been quite blessed with absolutely NO rain here since Katrina. My main concern is the potential for heavy rain in this area. I surely ain't ready for that!! I've still got serious roof issues and a TON (literally) of stuff out in the yard drying out... And I'm only one of thousands!!
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#7 Postby BamaMan » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:03 am

Rain is definitely a need. We here in Mobile have had none also since Katrina. everything is parched
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