Rita Recon Reports

[Thunder44]

694
UZNT13 KNHC 220742
XXAA 72077 99248 70879 08147 99936 25800 ///// 00/// ///// /////
92100 25000 ///// 85843 22432 35146 70515 11600 01649 88999 77999
31313 09608 80717
61616 AF307 1618A RITA OB 14
62626 EYEWALL 315 SPL 2471N08790W 0720 LST WND 114 AEV 20507 DLM
WND 35641 924730 WL150 32118 188 =
XXBB 72078 99248 70879 08147 00936 25800 11880 22413 22850 22432
33776 18209 44733 16224 55708 15600 66697 10000
21212 00936 ///// 11924 32118 22905 32637 33896 33135 44874 34649
55867 35145 66850 35146 77733 00635 88697 01650
31313 09608 80717
61616 AF307 1618A RITA OB 14
62626 EYEWALL 315 SPL 2471N08790W 0720 LST WND 114 AEV 20507 DLM
WND 35641 924730 WL150 32118 188 =

[Hurrilurker]

I believe it also says surface winds were at 35kts, so it could be even lower that probably around 897mb.

Why is pressure reduced because of surface winds? I don't understand that.

[Thunder44]

I believe it also says surface winds were at 35kts, so it could be even lower that probably around 897mb.

Why is pressure reduced because of surface winds? I don't understand that.

You expect winds to be calmer in the eye. Generally less than 10kts. They may have actually missed the eye or the center of the eye.

[P.K.]

SXXX50 KNHC 220906
AF307 1618A RITA HDOB 38 KNHC
0855. 2424N 08830W 03063 5059 315 066 106 106 067 03052 0000000000
0856 2425N 08829W 03062 5065 314 066 102 102 068 03044 0000000000
0856. 2426N 08827W 03060 5071 312 064 076 076 065 03038 0000000000
0857 2427N 08826W 03063 5078 316 065 084 084 066 03033 0000000000
0857. 2428N 08825W 03062 5086 314 069 094 094 070 03024 0000000000
0858 2430N 08824W 03061 5093 311 069 098 098 071 03016 0000000000
0858. 2431N 08822W 03063 5103 311 075 114 108 076 03008 0000000000
0859 2432N 08821W 03060 5115 312 073 118 104 073 02992 0000000000
0859. 2433N 08820W 03063 5127 310 072 122 102 073 02983 0000000000
0900 2435N 08818W 03062 5140 307 067 132 106 068 02969 0000000000
0900. 2436N 08817W 03063 5152 305 066 116 116 066 02959 0000000000
0901 2437N 08815W 03058 5164 306 068 120 112 068 02941 0000000000
0901. 2438N 08814W 03064 5179 305 071 118 114 074 02932 0000000000
0902 2440N 08813W 03058 5197 305 077 124 120 078 02909 0000000000
0902. 2441N 08811W 03064 5216 306 080 134 114 081 02895 0000000000
0903 2442N 08810W 03060 5238 308 083 140 100 086 02870 0000000000
0903. 2443N 08809W 03062 5264 306 091 144 090 093 02846 0000000000
0904 2445N 08807W 03062 5295 306 099 136 094 102 02813 0000000000
0904. 2446N 08806W 03062 5335 306 106 136 102 107 02774 0000000000
0905 2447N 08805W 03062 5384 306 112 126 126 117 02725 0000000000

[P.K.]

SXXX50 KNHC 220916
AF307 1618A RITA HDOB 39 KNHC
0905. 2448N 08803W 03061 5445 306 128 122 122 133 02663 0000000000
0906 2449N 08802W 03067 5531 304 132 104 104 134 02583 0000000100
0906. 2451N 08801W 03061 5615 307 114 128 128 127 02493 0000000100
0907 2452N 08759W 03060 5682 306 081 154 154 091 02424 0000000000
0907. 2453N 08758W 03061 5726 309 054 184 144 066 02381 0000000000
0908 2455N 08757W 03057 5750 324 030 228 128 036 02353 0000000000
0908. 2456N 08756W 03062 5766 360 016 248 114 020 02342 0000000000
0909 2456N 08754W 03060 5778 082 005 250 110 009 02329 0000000000
0909. 2456N 08752W 03062 5780 207 026 222 124 036 02328 0000000000
0910 2454N 08752W 03063 5763 224 053 202 132 061 02346 0000000000
0910. 2453N 08752W 03061 5743 236 066 178 148 069 02365 0000000000
0911 2452N 08753W 03061 5713 249 075 164 152 078 02395 0000000000
0911. 2452N 08754W 03066 5723 256 063 166 152 072 02389 0000000000
0912 2454N 08754W 03063 5753 260 034 208 130 042 02357 0000000000
0912. 2456N 08755W 03057 5762 276 015 240 112 026 02342 0000000000
0913 2457N 08755W 03061 5761 020 017 274 092 020 02347 0000000000
0913. 2459N 08755W 03061 5763 043 019 284 088 021 02345 0000000000
0914 2500N 08754W 03063 5773 095 024 258 108 030 02336 0000000000
0914. 2502N 08753W 03059 5764 125 054 208 136 069 02341 0000000000
0915 2503N 08752W 03064 5723 125 093 156 156 105 02387 0000000000

[P.K.]

SXXX50 KNHC 220926
AF307 1618A RITA HDOB 40 KNHC
0915. 2505N 08751W 03057 5666 125 116 156 156 120 02438 0000000000
0916 2506N 08750W 03072 5601 131 136 114 114 141 02517 0000000100
0916. 2507N 08749W 03065 5522 132 154 096 096 159 02590 0000000100
0917 2508N 08748W 03044 5457 130 152 082 082 157 02634 0000000100
0917. 2508N 08747W 03070 5412 127 149 076 076 149 02705 0000000100
0918 2509N 08747W 03057 5382 129 144 074 074 147 02722 0000000100
0918. 2509N 08746W 03053 5355 132 138 072 072 141 02745 0000000100
0919 2509N 08745W 03059 5326 135 133 072 072 134 02780 0000000000
0919. 2510N 08744W 03065 5305 138 127 074 074 129 02807 0000000000
0920 2511N 08742W 03058 5278 139 123 092 092 125 02827 0000000000
0920. 2511N 08741W 03064 5256 141 118 106 106 119 02855 0000000000
0921 2512N 08740W 03063 5234 141 110 104 104 112 02876 0000000000
0921. 2513N 08738W 03058 5213 139 107 116 114 108 02892 0000000000
0922 2514N 08737W 03063 5197 140 106 112 112 107 02913 0000000000
0922. 2515N 08736W 03062 5180 137 105 102 102 105 02929 0000000000
0923 2516N 08735W 03063 5168 138 104 090 090 106 02942 0000000000
0923. 2518N 08733W 03061 5153 140 106 084 084 108 02956 0000000000
0924 2519N 08732W 03063 5140 138 105 084 084 107 02970 0000000000
0924. 2520N 08731W 03059 5129 136 106 078 078 109 02977 0000000100
0925 2521N 08730W 03065 5118 137 106 084 084 107 02995 0000000000

[superfly]

Looks like 165MPH surface is supported.

[Windy]

Yep! Down just a touch from the 165kt flightlevel winds in the last pass.

[P.K.]

SXXX50 KNHC 220936
AF307 1618A RITA HDOB 41 KNHC
0925. 2522N 08729W 03065 5107 139 102 086 086 104 03006 0000000000
0926 2523N 08727W 03057 5096 137 096 086 086 098 03008 0000000000
0926. 2524N 08726W 03062 5086 138 093 096 096 093 03024 0000000000
0927 2525N 08725W 03061 5076 135 091 094 094 092 03033 0000000000
0927. 2526N 08723W 03062 5069 134 088 088 088 088 03041 0000000000
0928 2528N 08722W 03061 5061 134 086 086 086 086 03047 0000000000
0928. 2529N 08721W 03062 5054 136 085 088 088 085 03055 0000000000
0929 2530N 08720W 03062 5047 136 086 088 088 087 03063 0000000000
0929. 2531N 08718W 03062 5040 137 084 094 094 085 03069 0000000000
0930 2532N 08717W 03060 5035 137 083 088 088 084 03073 0000000000
0930. 2533N 08716W 03062 5030 135 080 090 090 081 03080 0000000000
0931 2534N 08714W 03061 5025 137 077 084 084 078 03084 0000000000
0931. 2536N 08713W 03063 5022 140 078 092 092 078 03089 0000000000
0932 2537N 08712W 03061 5018 141 077 092 092 078 03091 0000000000
0932. 2538N 08710W 03059 5015 142 076 098 098 076 03091 0000000000
0933 2539N 08709W 03064 5009 143 076 098 098 077 03103 0000000000
0933. 2540N 08708W 03060 5005 143 076 092 092 077 03102 0000000000
0934 2542N 08706W 03062 5002 145 075 090 090 076 03108 0000000000
0934. 2543N 08705W 03064 0002 144 076 086 086 078 03114 0000000000
0935 2544N 08703W 03061 0002 138 072 074 074 074 03112 0000000000

[Windy]

Think we missed a dropsonde:

944
UZNT13 KNHC 220944
XXAA 72097 99249 70879 08147 99902 27225 24017 00/// ///// /////
92/// ///// ///// 85524 24025 24512 70234 26869 36012 88999 77999
31313 09608 80912
61616 AF307 1618A RITA OB 20
62626 EYE SPL 2494N08791W 0915 MBL WND 24516 AEV 20507 DLM WND 26
512 902719 WL150 24017 075 =
XXBB 72098 99249 70879 08147 00902 27225 11850 24025 22795 23656
33751 26464 44749 26464 55726 27468 66695 25865
21212 00902 24017 11850 24512 22747 29010 33732 33510 44719 33511
55695 01012
31313 09608 80912
61616 AF307 1618A RITA OB 20
62626 EYE SPL 2494N08791W 0915 MBL WND 24516 AEV 20507 DLM WND 26
512 902719 WL150 24017 075 =

That indicates 902mb

[Thunder44]

URNT12 KNHC 220942
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/09:12:20Z
B. 24 deg 55 min N
087 deg 55 min W
C. 700 mb 2245 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 303 deg 134 kt
G. 228 deg 010 nm
H. 902 mb
I. 14 C/ 3068 m
J. 29 C/ 3057 m
K. 8 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C18
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF307 1618A RITA OB 18
MAX FL WIND 165 KT NE QUAD 05:34:00 Z
STADIUM EFFECT LIT BY MOONLIGHT AND BY LIGHTNING WITHIN EYEWALL

Drosponde shows 17kts winds at the surface when the pressure was taken. So it might be 901mb, but the pressure is up 4mb or 5mb so it's appears to be weakening slightly

[soonertwister]

That VDM supports 145 kt winds, but NHC is keeping the winds at 150 kt. Am I missing something?

The description of the stadium effect in moonlight and frequent lightning gave me chills.

[Thunder44]

That VDM supports 145 kt winds, but NHC is keeping the winds at 150 kt. Am I missing something?

The description of the stadium effect in moonlight and frequent lightning gave me chills.

That was based on earlier recon data. This vortex came after the 5am advisory was issued.

[Hurrilurker]

The weakening is very obvious on the IR satellite loop. There is much less very intense convection around the center and it looks like it's entraining dry air from the entire west side. I expect the pressures to be up even more in the next vortex. Eye still looks very good though.

[Scorpion]

Storm cancel 902 mb .

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 221056
AF307 1618A RITA HDOB 49 KNHC
1045. 2602N 08914W 03061 0027 049 059 116 074 060 03136 0000000000
1046 2601N 08912W 03062 0027 047 059 112 086 060 03137 0000000000
1046. 2600N 08911W 03061 0027 046 061 110 078 062 03135 0000000000
1047 2559N 08910W 03062 0027 043 062 106 084 063 03137 0000000000
1047. 2557N 08908W 03062 0024 042 059 108 092 061 03134 0000000000
1048 2556N 08907W 03060 0020 045 061 112 096 061 03128 0000000000
1048. 2555N 08906W 03061 0017 047 063 114 092 065 03126 0000000000
1049 2554N 08904W 03061 0013 047 066 116 090 066 03121 0000000000
1049. 2553N 08903W 03062 0010 045 066 114 092 066 03120 0000000000
1050 2551N 08902W 03062 0007 045 065 108 090 066 03116 0000000000
1050. 2550N 08900W 03061 0003 044 063 114 082 063 03111 0000000000
1051 2549N 08859W 03062 5002 041 062 116 080 063 03108 0000000000
1051. 2548N 08858W 03061 5004 041 064 116 080 066 03105 0000000000
1052 2547N 08856W 03061 5008 047 064 116 090 065 03101 0000000000
1052. 2546N 08855W 03062 5012 046 066 116 076 067 03097 0000000000
1053 2544N 08854W 03062 5017 043 068 114 086 068 03093 0000000000
1053. 2543N 08853W 03061 5023 043 069 112 086 070 03086 0000000000
1054 2542N 08851W 03061 5028 044 070 110 094 071 03081 0000000000
1054. 2541N 08850W 03062 5034 043 070 096 096 071 03075 0000000000
1055 2540N 08849W 03060 5039 049 077 090 090 077 03069 0000000000

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 221106
AF307 1618A RITA HDOB 50 KNHC
1055. 2539N 08847W 03062 5047 051 078 092 092 080 03063 0000000000
1056 2537N 08846W 03062 5053 053 081 098 098 082 03056 0000000000
1056. 2536N 08845W 03061 5061 050 078 106 098 079 03048 0000000000
1057 2535N 08844W 03062 5066 048 078 100 100 081 03044 0000000000
1057. 2534N 08843W 03059 5075 053 081 094 094 082 03031 0000000000
1058 2533N 08841W 03061 5085 053 085 092 092 090 03023 0000000000
1058. 2532N 08840W 03066 5093 055 087 088 088 087 03020 0000000000
1059 2531N 08839W 03058 5103 057 090 092 092 090 03003 0000000000
1059. 2530N 08838W 03064 5110 052 088 096 096 089 03001 0000000000
1100 2529N 08837W 03059 5121 050 089 114 110 090 02985 0000000000
1100. 2528N 08836W 03062 5131 051 090 114 106 091 02979 0000000000
1101 2527N 08834W 03063 5142 048 090 112 112 092 02968 0000000000
1101. 2526N 08833W 03060 5154 047 095 098 098 097 02953 0000000000
1102 2525N 08832W 03065 5169 052 097 090 090 098 02943 0000000000
1102. 2524N 08831W 03062 5185 053 088 090 090 090 02925 0000000000
1103 2523N 08830W 03060 5200 050 083 100 100 084 02907 0000000000
1103. 2521N 08828W 03061 5211 051 085 112 112 087 02897 0000000000
1104 2520N 08827W 03062 5226 053 094 110 110 098 02883 0000000000
1104. 2519N 08826W 03059 5244 052 099 114 114 101 02863 0000000000
1105 2518N 08825W 03064 5265 053 107 112 112 111 02846 0000000000



111kts

[feederband]

The weakening is very obvious on the IR satellite loop. There is much less very intense convection around the center and it looks like it's entraining dry air from the entire west side. I expect the pressures to be up even more in the next vortex. Eye still looks very good though.

I was hoping it would do this closer to land ...I hope this does not give it room to refire up...

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 221116
AF307 1618A RITA HDOB 51 KNHC
1105. 2517N 08824W 03059 5292 052 115 110 110 118 02814 0000000000
1106 2516N 08823W 03065 5328 051 114 112 112 117 02784 0000000000
1106. 2515N 08822W 03071 5371 049 124 098 098 127 02747 0000000000
1107 2513N 08821W 03049 5428 047 127 118 118 129 02668 0000000000
1107. 2512N 08820W 03060 5485 039 131 104 104 133 02622 0000000000
1108 2511N 08819W 03074 5558 032 119 118 118 131 02563 0000000000
1108. 2510N 08818W 03052 5614 030 097 146 146 104 02485 0000000000
1109 2509N 08816W 03070 5671 033 073 172 172 084 02445 0000000000
1109. 2508N 08814W 03060 5705 028 040 184 152 051 02402 0000000000
1110 2507N 08813W 03059 5717 034 013 222 126 019 02388 0000000000
1110. 2507N 08811W 03062 5717 210 008 242 102 016 02391 0000000000
1111 2506N 08809W 03059 5703 210 019 260 094 021 02403 0000000000
1111. 2504N 08809W 03065 5691 234 020 266 072 023 02420 0000000000
1112 2504N 08811W 03063 5697 250 014 248 096 017 02412 0000000000
1112. 2505N 08812W 03060 5711 255 005 236 114 006 02395 0000000000
1113 2507N 08811W 03063 5717 150 009 234 114 013 02392 0000000000
1113. 2509N 08811W 03059 5715 109 028 224 120 034 02391 0000000000
1114 2511N 08811W 03061 5699 101 055 182 150 069 02408 0000000000
1114. 2513N 08811W 03060 5657 099 088 146 146 095 02449 0000000000
1115 2514N 08811W 03064 5599 100 111 136 136 115 02511 0000000000



133kts.

[drezee]

1110 2507N 08813W 03059 5717 034 013 222 126 019 02388 0000000000

Heights are 50m higher... could be around 907-910mb