18Z NOGAPS Right over Galveston

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StormWarning1
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18Z NOGAPS Right over Galveston

#1 Postby StormWarning1 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:37 pm

68 hours from model initialization.
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deltadog03
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#2 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:39 pm

link?
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#3 Postby rockyman » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:42 pm

I believe it's the peach colored line:

Image[/img]
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#4 Postby StormWarning1 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:44 pm

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/mywxmap/index.jsp

1. Click Public Charts (no login required)
2. Select 02 North America map.
3. Under 'CHART' scroll down to 'sfc temp, wind, sfc prs' and select.
4. select the hour interval in the green zone. 18z product only goes to 78.
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#5 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:49 pm

On the composite model map above, it actually looks like a bullseye on Freeport...SW of Galveston...but with a monster of Rita's girth, the distance is academic.
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".
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#6 Postby StormWarning1 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:50 pm

The graphic on the fnmoc site is pretty coarse. I used Galveston because i could make out Galveston Bay on the map.
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#7 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:50 pm

Did we really need 2 of these threads? ....by the same author???
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#8 Postby BReb » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:07 pm

"I used Galveston because i could make out Galveston Bay on the map."

Yes, you can, and the models you linked clearly show landfall to the southwest of that.
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#9 Postby logybogy » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:24 pm

Actually, if the eye hits at Freeport and from all indications the eye will be huge and up to 30 miles wide, Galveston County will be in the northern eyewall, with the strongest winds and surge. Likewise, much of Harris County will be in the northern eye wall. It's pretty much the worst case scenario.
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#10 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:29 pm

BReb wrote:"I used Galveston because i could make out Galveston Bay on the map."

Yes, you can, and the models you linked clearly show landfall to the southwest of that.


Where do you live???
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