Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[cycloneye]

OK new thread for now hurricane Rita.

[Brent]

HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
915 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

DOPPLER RADAR DATA...SATELLITE PRESENTATION AND PRESSURE FALLS FROM
THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT RITA HAS REACHED CATEGORY
ONE HURRICANE STRENGTH ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THIS
WILL BE REFLECTED ON THE 11 AM...1500Z ADVISORY.

FORECASTER AVILA

[cjrciadt]

17/9/4 so far this year

[cycloneye]

17/9/4 so far this year

Yep and maybe 17/9/5.

[DESTRUCTION5]

17/9/4 so far this year

Yep and maybe 17/9/5.

I think we will at least reach the 20/10/6 marker...friggin Scary

[Brent]

Insane... and even more insane for SEPTEMBER 20TH.

70 days to go.

[Anonymous]

My forecast of 20/11/7 is sticking

[cjrciadt]

Dry spot NE of the Eyewall From last night

[Brent]

My forecast of 20/11/7 is sticking

It's probably in danger...

[cjrciadt]

Getting our first shower from Rita 300miles north of the center!!!!!!!!

[alicia-w]

Since the other thread was locked and my question is still unanswered, I'm asking again....

HurricaneGirl wrote:
http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html




Can someone tell me what the numbers on the right side of the loop mean?

[Andrew92]

Slightly off-topic....I knew the low hurricane-tropical storm ratio wasn't going to last forever. I knew it wouldn't be 8/2/2 or 10/3/2 for very long. I thought that all those storms early having winds at 65-70 mph but not quite being hurricanes was a hint, and unfortunately I was right.

But back to Rita, the 9th hurricane of the season. I'm extremely concerned for the residents of coastal Texas about this one. I think it becomes a major hurricane either tomorrow or Thursday and strikes Friday night somewhere between Corpus Christi and Galveston for now.

-Andrew92

[skysummit]

Looks to be pretty close to right on track according to radar.

[feederband]

Oh well my 16/10/5 preseason numbers are beat...Maybe next year....Thats if this season actually ends....

[LAwxrgal]

Looks to be pretty close to right on track according to radar.

Hey is that an eye forming?

[ronjon]

There's a piece of energy (short wave trough) diving down into the Tenn Valley toward north GA that looks a little stronger than previously thought. Any thinking that this may pull Rita a little more NW at least over the short term? The last several hours of radar loops seems to indicate a W-NW movement rather than due west.

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html

[skysummit]

Looks to be pretty close to right on track according to radar.

Hey is that an eye forming?

It sure looks like it, and visible shows some clearing in the center too.

[skysummit]

CLOSED EYE



Storm RITA: Observed by AF #300
Storm #18 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #18: 10
Date/Time of Recon Report: September 20, 2005 13:30:40 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 23 ° 43 ' N 080 ° 38 ' W (23.72° N 80.63° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850 Millibars: 1291 Meters (Normal: 1457 Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 55 Knots (63.25 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 033 Nautical Miles (37.95 miles) From Center At Bearing 244°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 077 Knots (88.55 MPH) From 335°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 026 Nautical Miles (29.9 Miles) From Center At Bearing 252°
Minimum Pressure: 982 Millibars (28.997 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 16°C (60.8°F) / 1522 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 21°C (69.8°F) / 1525 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 20°C (68°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: E310/40/30
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 1 Nautical Miles

Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 78 KT NW Quadrant at 12:16:20 Z

[alicia-w]

this is already posted under the recon thread...

[cycloneye]

CLOSED EYE



Storm RITA: Observed by AF #300
Storm #18 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #18: 10
Date/Time of Recon Report: September 20, 2005 13:30:40 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 23 ° 43 ' N 080 ° 38 ' W (23.72° N 80.63° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850 Millibars: 1291 Meters (Normal: 1457 Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 55 Knots (63.25 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 033 Nautical Miles (37.95 miles) From Center At Bearing 244°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 077 Knots (88.55 MPH) From 335°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 026 Nautical Miles (29.9 Miles) From Center At Bearing 252°
Minimum Pressure: 982 Millibars (28.997 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 16°C (60.8°F) / 1522 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 21°C (69.8°F) / 1525 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 20°C (68°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: E310/40/30
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 1 Nautical Miles

Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 78 KT NW Quadrant at 12:16:20 Z

That would be better to be posted at the recon thread.