Current Movement...

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deltadog03
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Current Movement...

#1 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Sep 09, 2005 1:11 pm

ok, yes, i started a threat on current movement.....to me on radar it looks to be heading just about due East....
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#2 Postby shaggy » Fri Sep 09, 2005 1:13 pm

i would agree with that for now altho its slow movement.If i saw the latest GFDL right it shows no southward movement after the breaks get put on instead takes it due west into the GA/SC area.Time will tell but this is going to be frustrating!
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#3 Postby TampaFl » Fri Sep 09, 2005 1:28 pm

I have noticed that there appears to be a more east or slightly north of due east movement. IMHO, it needs to gain more latitude if it is going to loop and possible affect the GA, Carolina's next week. But if it stays more on the easterly track and then loop, could it not poosibly affect Central to North Florida possibly next week? Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert 8-)
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Re: Current Movement...

#4 Postby LarryWx » Fri Sep 09, 2005 1:32 pm

deltadog03 wrote:ok, yes, i started a threat on current movement.....to me on radar it looks to be heading just about due East....


I think it is moving ENE currently. My take based on my examination of the models is, as one might expect, that the more latitude it picks up prior to the expected clockwise loop (say NE to NNE average movement), the more the threat increases for SC/NC. The smaller the latitude increase (say ENE average movement), the more the threat increases for N FL/GA for early next week.
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#5 Postby aOl » Fri Sep 09, 2005 1:32 pm

TampaFl wrote:I have noticed that there appears to be a more east or slightly north of due east movement. IMHO, it needs to gain more latitude if it is going to loop and possible affect the GA, Carolina's next week. But if it stays more on the easterly track and then loop, could it not poosibly affect Central to North Florida possibly next week? Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert 8-)


I would have to agree with that. GoM ain't out of the woods yet.
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I stand by

#6 Postby Windtalker1 » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:06 pm

My predictions from yesterday....She will move more East than thought, move more SW than thought and loop back to Broward or Palm Beach County......My opion hasn't changed yet since yesterday.
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#7 Postby cinlfla » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:37 pm

I didn't want to start a new thread so I thought I would put this here since its related to movement check out the radar out of melborne I think she is drifting south east.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kmlb.shtml
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#8 Postby TheBurn » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:38 pm

Are my eyes deceiving me?
Do I see I slight jog to the south?
:eek:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#9 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:38 pm

i see that too
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#10 Postby Amanzi » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:46 pm

Maybe it is just convection flaring in the SE quad, kind of making appear to have a s move. Oh heck what do I know. :lol:
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#11 Postby wxwonder12 » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:50 pm

I am not even trying to imply I have any knowledge of Hurricanes or the currents that steer them, I am just having a hard time understanding about the ridge that is supposed to take the storm East then loop, if it does, and then back to the N or NW. Can someone please explain. Is the ridge comming in and then leaving quickly?
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#12 Postby sponger » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:50 pm

Looks solid ene on radar. That is a far cry from north than ne. She is a mysterious woman. Definately a mind of her own! b Lets see what nhc has to say. Where is Stewart when you need him! We love you Beven but we need detail!
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#13 Postby cinlfla » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:55 pm

I about crapped my pants when I seen that, I was looking to see how far from the coast she was because we are still getting rains from Ophelia.
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#14 Postby CronkPSU » Fri Sep 09, 2005 2:56 pm

sponger wrote:Looks solid ene on radar. That is a far cry from north than ne. She is a mysterious woman. Definately a mind of her own! b Lets see what nhc has to say. Where is Stewart when you need him! We love you Beven but we need detail!


i was looking at the radar loops, maybe a tad north of east but IMHO due east
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semi-loop

#15 Postby stormynorfolk » Fri Sep 09, 2005 3:01 pm

Looking at the latest Melbourne loop, it appears as if the storm has made a small jog SE... ESE... E... and now it seems ENE.

Go figure...
Last edited by stormynorfolk on Fri Sep 09, 2005 3:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: semi-loop

#16 Postby CronkPSU » Fri Sep 09, 2005 3:04 pm

stormynorfolk wrote:Looking at the latest Melborne loop, it appears as if the storm has made a small jog SE... ESE... E... and now it seems ENE.

Go figure...


damn you're right...wobble wobble wobble
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#17 Postby slowjoe » Fri Sep 09, 2005 3:05 pm

I was checking out the radar loops and saw the same Eastward motion everyone is describing. I decided to check out storm2k to see if people were doing the normal arguing about the direction of wobbles and was surprised to see everyone in agrrement.

I am very interested to see if this direction holds through the night.
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#18 Postby FlSteel » Fri Sep 09, 2005 3:06 pm

Watching the intelicast radar loops, looks like ENE with a jog to the east. The disturbing part though is the tight center of circulation it seems to be forming. Hopefully she does not have any plans of bulking up more.
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#19 Postby stormynorfolk » Fri Sep 09, 2005 3:15 pm

FlSteel wrote:Watching the intelicast radar loops, looks like ENE with a jog to the east. The disturbing part though is the tight center of circulation it seems to be forming. Hopefully she does not have any plans of bulking up more.


Last few frames show a definite movement to the east... and not very 'slow' either. Will be interesting to see just how strong this high pressure winds up being, assuming she doesn't get pushed out far enough E. from this trough to not make a difference. The strong upper-level low in the Caribbean appears as if it may also help in the squeeze-play.
Last edited by stormynorfolk on Fri Sep 09, 2005 3:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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question..

#20 Postby RU4REAL » Fri Sep 09, 2005 3:23 pm

looking at the NOAA site "O" seems rather large, does anyone have any idea of the size of "O"

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... ?tswind120
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