Tropical Storm Ophelia

ChaserUK · #681 Postby **ChaserUK** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:17 pm

dont like the model that takes it into the GOM!

#682 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:37 pm

#683 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:38 pm

truballer#1 · #684 Postby **truballer#1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:39 pm

if did go uder gom it would be horrible

truballer#1 · #685 Postby **truballer#1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:41 pm

but dont think its going to happen

txwatcher91 · #686 Postby **txwatcher91** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:48 pm

Getting more rain bands on the south and southeastern sides.

http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... owlabels=1

#687 Postby **webke** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:53 pm

The 18UTC GFS model has Ophelias now staying offshore again.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... arib.shtml

#688 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:53 pm

wow, i think the LBAR has it going due east at about 40 mph

<img src="http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png">

cinlfla · #689 Postby **cinlfla** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:53 pm

The 18z has Ophelia looping and then going to Canada....If I'm reading this wrong someone tell me and correct me. Thanks

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/index_slp_s_loop.shtml

Derek Ortt · #690 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:57 pm

thing is, the GFS has been utterly worthless for much of the season

I'm still waiting for Katrina to miss Florida to the east and hit SC

artist · #691 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:00 pm

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/TCPR ... gloop.html

interesting look at models - wait a minute for it to load then run your mouse over the hours - seems more bring it back over Florida than don't.

Website · #692 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:02 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:I'm still waiting for Katrina to miss Florida to the east and hit SC

Your going to be waiting awhile... :lol:

Maybe she'll come back like Ivan. :wink:

#693 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:04 pm

GFS is worthless this year with tropical systems...I agree Derek...Thing is most of these models are based off of the GFS....I personally think NHC is too far NE...imo....

#694 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:07 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:thing is, the GFS has been utterly worthless for much of the season

I'm still waiting for Katrina to miss Florida to the east and hit SC

NONONO

It just can't.

#695 Postby **webke** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:08 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:thing is, the GFS has been utterly worthless for much of the season

I'm still waiting for Katrina to miss Florida to the east and hit SC

Since I live in SC where do you think it may head, I know you cannot be exact but the Northern of Southern part.

#696 Postby **Jevo** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:09 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:thing is, the GFS has been utterly worthless for much of the season

I'm still waiting for Katrina to miss Florida to the east and hit SC

Dont make me call max and tell him your trashing his model

:hehe:

#697 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:10 pm

you can tell him that I am trashing his model....its junk...lol

#698 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:11 pm

artist wrote:http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/TCERROR_12z/errorloop.html

interesting look at models - wait a minute for it to load then run your mouse over the hours - seems more bring it back over Florida than don't.

I just went here and tried to follow the little read dot that designates a hurricane......and it stops after f48........????

artist · #699 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:16 pm

think maybe that was the official track as of now?? maybe??

and then the have no idea! Just guessing here!

#700 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:18 pm

looks from the radar that it may have started headed east...but definitely not north

Tropical Storm Ophelia

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