Ophelia

[wxcrazytwo]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



My take is that the trough will nudge Ophelia NE, then SW. The building ridge will then force Ophelia back to the SW a la Jeanne, and push her to the GOM where it will regain cane strength and strike somewhere near the N.O area. I don't believe the trough will dig deep enough to pus Ophelia out to sea..JMHO..

[sponger]

its a little early for that. We are not even sure where it is going in the next 6 hours.

[Frank2]

We all know the old saying - if you don't have anything good to say, then better not to say anything at all.

The forecaster who wrote the 5 a.m. TCD is confident that the trough moving off the southeast coast will pick up Ophelia - let's hope so.

Frank

[wxcrazytwo]

We all know the old saying - if you don't have anything good to say, then better not to say anything at all.

The forecaster who wrote the 5 a.m. TCD is confident that the trough moving off the southeast coast will pick up Ophelia - let's hope so.

Frank

You said it frank, "if you don't have anything good to say, then better not to say anything at all." I trust DSUTHERLAND, and that is what I am basing my opinion on. Trough will nudge it, but will not take it out to sea, you'll see..

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

We all know the old saying - if you don't have anything good to say, then better not to say anything at all.

The forecaster who wrote the 5 a.m. TCD is confident that the trough moving off the southeast coast will pick up Ophelia - let's hope so.

Frank

He has a disclaimer, and this is a possibility. There is nothing wrong with
stating a forecast like this- yes it is bad news for the Gulf Coast if it
pans out---> Making it more imperative that the possibilities of it
happening be discussed.

[NastyCat4]

Since Jeanne, everyone's "loopy." It happened with Jeanne and Betsy--what makes it so likely to happen again? Methinks Ophelia isn't as 'trapped" as was jeanne--a trough may well pull her out to sea.

[Skywatch_NC]

As for right now though...HIGHS are dominating in New England and the Mid Atlantic...

Eric

[EDR1222]

As of yet, there is no high confidence forecast by the NHC of a trough picking up Ophelia. It is just one possible scenario. The best guess by the NHC is that it will meander off the Florida or Georgia coast for several days.

[Jim Cantore]

No offense but i hope your wrong

especially the gulf track