Where's she gonna come onshore..?

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Josephine96

Where's she gonna come onshore..?

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:40 pm

Ok.. I'm sure you knew this was comin'..

But where is our wanna be Ophelia eventually gonna come on shore..

I'll say New Smyrna Beach or even extreme Northern Brevard County..
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cinlfla
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#2 Postby cinlfla » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:40 pm

I say closer to J-ville
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#3 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:42 pm

Jacksonville could be right.. depending how far north she drifts..
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#4 Postby Amanzi » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:43 pm

I have no clue... but if I had to throw out a guess I would have to say near kennedy space center.
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#5 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:49 pm

between the cape and daytona. strong T.S.
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#6 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:56 pm

Check out my forecast to see my take on it :wink:
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#7 Postby tracyswfla » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:57 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Check out my forecast to see my take on it :wink:


Hey John give her the $$ tell her that's it! NO MORE!
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#8 Postby scostorms » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:57 pm

Volusia County.
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#9 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:57 pm

Palm Coast to St. Augustine 70 mph.
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#10 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:58 pm

I don't agree with the NHC's track! the GFDL was right about Katrina! I would have to go with the GFDL on this one!
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#11 Postby cinlfla » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:01 pm

I don't agree with the NHC's track! the GFDL was right about Katrina! I would have to go with the GFDL on this one!



I'm not sure this will make to the GOM, the last time I looked the GFDL had it crossing Florida and going into the GOM, is that still right?
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#12 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:02 pm

cinlfla wrote:
I don't agree with the NHC's track! the GFDL was right about Katrina! I would have to go with the GFDL on this one!



I'm not sure this will make to the GOM, the last time I looked the GFDL had it crossing Florida and going into the GOM, is that still right?


yea
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#13 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:04 pm

Well this got pretty crowded pretty fast lol..

Tracy.. I hate to sound like a broken record but I've lent her way too much lol..

Anyway.. I'm still saying Volusia County.. though Brevard County wouldn't surprise me..
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#14 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:06 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Well this got pretty crowded pretty fast lol..

Tracy.. I hate to sound like a broken record but I've lent her way too much lol..

Anyway.. I'm still saying Volusia County.. though Brevard County wouldn't surprise me..


A little more north, with no Gulf of Mexico entry.
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#15 Postby SkeetoBite » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:06 pm

Amanzi wrote:I have no clue... but if I had to throw out a guess I would have to say near kennedy space center.


I have the same number of clues, but I think you're about right. Maybe a little south. GFDL seems to have been the most accurate predictor this season, although a bit west biased. NHC has been falling in line with the gfdl once the remaining models come closer together instead of always splitting the difference with the gfdl & ukmet.
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#16 Postby Amanzi » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:08 pm

Lowpressure wrote:Palm Coast to St. Augustine 70 mph.

Trying to make an "Amanzi" sandwhich huh? :lol: :lol: :lol:
Last edited by Amanzi on Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#17 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:08 pm

I remember last year.. The nursing home my mom was in.. was actually placing bets on where frances would come on shore..

I almost wish we could do something like that at Wal Mart.. but I don't think the store boss would like that lol
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#18 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:10 pm

Amanzi wrote:
Lowpressure wrote:Palm Coast to St. Augustine 70 mph.

Trying to make an "Amanzi" sandwhich huh? :lol: :lol: :lol:


I use to live off of 210, right off 95 in North Florida for many years. I am rather familiar with that area.
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NastyCat4

#19 Postby NastyCat4 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:22 pm

Drifting NORTH. To make landfall in Daytona---Jax, it would have to head due West right away---unlikely. I am thinking South Carolina, not Florida, like the out to sea models.
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#20 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:29 pm

SkeetoBite wrote:
Amanzi wrote:I have no clue... but if I had to throw out a guess I would have to say near kennedy space center.


I have the same number of clues, but I think you're about right. Maybe a little south. GFDL seems to have been the most accurate predictor this season, although a bit west biased. NHC has been falling in line with the gfdl once the remaining models come closer together instead of always splitting the difference with the gfdl & ukmet.


Sounds about right -- from both of you
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