GOM Swirl

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

GOM Swirl

#1 Postby artist » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:04 am

is that swirl in the gulf anything to worry about?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

Re: GOM Swirl

#2 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:07 am

artist wrote:is that swirl in the gulf anything to worry about?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-vis-loop.html
Umm........ I want to say no, however whatever is there is growing, could be just a ULC.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#3 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:07 am

ULL......Upper Level Low and associated tropical wave. Nothing to worry about
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:
Contact JamesFromMaine2

#4 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:11 am

if thats the area in the BOC then some models yesterday had it developing and going into texas!
0 likes   
Top
no advance
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 413
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 1:50 pm
Location: merritt is.

#5 Postby no advance » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:21 am

JB this morning mentioned it. ULL needs to move SW this would allow the low pressure in the BoC to move NW.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#6 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:27 am

That isn't too bad in the central GOM. If that persists, we could really see something out of this, as it is getting better organized over time.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#7 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:35 am

Very minimal threat of anything developing with the large ULL over the WGOM and not moving much at all.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Byrd
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 31
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:59 pm
Location: Alabama

#8 Postby Byrd » Tue Sep 06, 2005 4:55 pm

Dr. Lyons just said it needs to be "watched closely."
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#9 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Sep 06, 2005 4:58 pm

He always says that. Good to do during the peak of the season but still no threat. Why create more hype. Until there is something at the surface no need for concern
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#10 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 06, 2005 5:06 pm

Kat, do you remember alicia.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
linkerweather
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 261
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:59 am
Location: tampa bay area

#11 Postby linkerweather » Tue Sep 06, 2005 5:09 pm

KatDaddy wrote:He always says that. Good to do during the peak of the season but still no threat. Why create more hype. Until there is something at the surface no need for concern


Well, not a bad idea to be somewhat concerned considering general surface pressures are low, water temps are high, and there is a surface trough with some lower spin right there. Conditions are not explosively favorable but should that convection on the east side of the ULL persist it may just create a spin lower down. That type of development is quite common in september and October
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#12 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Sep 06, 2005 5:12 pm

Yes but we have a ULL this time. Very slow to develop if any.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
corpusbreeze
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 386
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2004 3:57 pm

#13 Postby corpusbreeze » Tue Sep 06, 2005 5:26 pm

This may be mid to upper level, but I fear it could make it down to surface in a day or two.It seems to be comming together very quickly. The central to west GOM is very ripe for developement, also high pressure should reteat north and open up the Texas coast for whatever this is in the central gulf. However you want to slice it it means big rains for us here in South Texas.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#14 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Sep 06, 2005 5:30 pm

Not even mentioned by the 530 TWO. To much hype after Katrina. There have been many mid to upper level lows that never make it to the surface.
Until TWO mentions anything I am not concerned.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
linkerweather
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 261
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:59 am
Location: tampa bay area

#15 Postby linkerweather » Tue Sep 06, 2005 5:58 pm

from the 2 pm TWD....

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM A CYCLONIC CENTER ABOUT
200 NM SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST TO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND LOCALLY
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 300 NM EAST OF THIS TROUGH...
EXTENDING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. ANOTHER CYCLONIC
CENTER IS SPINNING IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...WITH A TROUGH
CURVING INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. A SURFACE 1010 MB
LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...
PROBABLY BEING SUPPORTED BY THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17 and 54 guests