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fci
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#81 Postby fci » Sun Sep 04, 2005 6:37 pm

MortisFL wrote:Accuweather posted a breaking news video on storms off FL's east coast organizing.

Link: http://weather.yahoo.com/vidindex/index.html

Thinking it could go in the gulf.


Interesting, thanks for the link.
Think he could call the current Hurricane Maria instead of Marie??????
:lol: :lol:
Last edited by fci on Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#82 Postby ameriwx2003 » Sun Sep 04, 2005 6:57 pm

http://www.ecmwf.int/
Last edited by ameriwx2003 on Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#83 Postby Zadok » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:01 pm

Image
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#84 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:06 pm

so does accuweather believe that this system will slowly move into FL?

<RICKY>
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#85 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:07 pm

The UKMET is on crack...

:roflmao:
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#86 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:07 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:so does accuweather believe that this system will slowly move into FL?

<RICKY>


Slowly at best... may just sit for awhile.

:roll:
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#87 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:08 pm

looks like it, they see the upper level and lower level flow going into florida...i pray to God it comes in east of mobile, i just dont even want to imagine it going west of mobile
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#88 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:09 pm

The local tv WFTV says it dumps water here on S. and Central FL until Wed. Then crossing over the state. Someone remind this the GOM is closed for repairs.
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#89 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:11 pm

ivanhater wrote:looks like it, they see the upper level and lower level flow going into florida...i pray to God it comes in east of mobile, i just dont even want to imagine it going west of mobile


I agree. You guys in the gulf coast have seen enough.

<RICKY>
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#90 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:15 pm

AT 2100 UTC A 1010 MB LOW IS LOCATED OVER THE BAHAMAS NEAR
27N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 25N-28N BETWEEN
75W-80W. THIS LOW WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED SINCE IT HAS GOOD
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT.

From 8 PM Discussion.
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#91 Postby weatherwindow » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:19 pm

just looking at the 12z globals and the first invest model run......no evidence of a move into the GOM....the consensus is an almost stationary system, trapped under the ridge, with a very, very slow north/north-northwest drift.....that said, something is slowly developing in the vicinity of 25.8N-78.6W...i just dont agree with the implication of another GOM system. JMHO :roll:
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#92 Postby Rainband » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:24 pm

ivanhater wrote:looks like it, they see the upper level and lower level flow going into florida...i pray to God it comes in east of mobile, i just dont even want to imagine it going west of mobile
It hasn't even formed yet.
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#93 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:27 pm

Rainband wrote:
ivanhater wrote:looks like it, they see the upper level and lower level flow going into florida...i pray to God it comes in east of mobile, i just dont even want to imagine it going west of mobile
It hasn't even formed yet.


IT is the area of low pressure accuweather is showing, and i was responding to another post, thanks
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#94 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:33 pm

Geez I don't like the look of that accuweather picture. Please keep this thing away from the gulf :x .
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#95 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:54 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL942005) ON 20050905 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050905 0000 050905 1200 050906 0000 050906 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 25.7N 78.3W 26.4N 79.2W 27.5N 80.3W 28.8N 81.6W
BAMM 25.7N 78.3W 26.1N 79.1W 26.7N 80.0W 27.5N 81.2W
A98E 25.7N 78.3W 26.0N 78.3W 26.6N 78.8W 27.7N 79.9W
LBAR 25.7N 78.3W 26.2N 78.6W 27.3N 78.7W 28.4N 78.8W
SHIP 20KTS 26KTS 34KTS 43KTS
DSHP 20KTS 26KTS 34KTS 29KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050907 0000 050908 0000 050909 0000 050910 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 30.2N 83.0W 31.6N 84.5W 31.7N 85.3W 31.6N 87.0W
BAMM 28.4N 82.3W 29.4N 83.7W 29.5N 84.4W 29.5N 85.7W
A98E 28.2N 80.8W 27.8N 82.0W 27.6N 82.5W 27.8N 83.0W
LBAR 29.6N 78.8W 30.3N 77.5W 31.3N 76.4W 32.6N 73.2W
SHIP 52KTS 58KTS 64KTS 67KTS
DSHP 27KTS 36KTS 42KTS 45KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 25.7N LONCUR = 78.3W DIRCUR = 220DEG SPDCUR = 0KT
LATM12 = 25.8N LONM12 = 78.2W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 0KT
LATM24 = 25.9N LONM24 = 78.1W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

00:00z Model Guidance.
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#96 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:02 pm

looks like a slight left poop at the 00z models.

<RICKY>
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#97 Postby jdray » Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:03 pm

Here in Clay County we have winds from the NorthEast @ 10-15 mph with gusts of 20-25h at times. Supposed to get a little stronger next few days.

Between that low pressue and the ridge to our north, things might get a little windy.
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#98 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:05 pm

cycloneye wrote:00:00z Model Guidance.


Gulf bound...

:eek:

and forecast to be a hurricane by SHIPS. Just what everyone needs... :roll:
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#99 Postby truballer#1 » Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:07 pm

katrina the 2nd
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#100 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:07 pm

yeah the ships is very aggressive with this system. whats the difference between the SHIPS and DSHIPS?

<RICKY>
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