GFDL predicts invest21l to be 163 mph in 120h an pressure 91

[SouthFloridawx]

[img]http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/intensity1.png[img][/img]

here you go

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... &start=220

[truballer#1]

thanx

[jimvb]

Truballer, the site you mention for the GFDL does not seem to work. All I get are blank screens with an x in the left corner. How did you get that picture with that awful-looking storm in it? Thanks.

[rainstorm]

im thinking it hits the atlantic shear zone and comes apart

[truballer#1]

http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

[JamesFromMaine2]

ok the title says 91L but people are talking about 92L so which one are we talking about here?

ok forget about this I am confused but oh well! lol I guess we are talking about 92L!

[SouthFloridawx]

Im not saying its going to happen but something to watch

i assume that he meant 92L

[CFL]

Isn't this one of the tropical depressions that is supposed to head north? Please tell me this is so!

[truballer#1]

no

[Canelaw99]

No...the ones heading north are Lee and TD 14. This thread, I think, is regarding Invest 92L which is still out there way east of the Lesser Antilles.

[JamesFromMaine2]

Do they have a floater on 92L yet?

[Canelaw99]

BTW, which invest IS this thread about? The title says 21L LOL

[truballer#1]

srry bout that its about invest92l

[cinlfla]

BTW, which invest IS this thread about? The title says 21L LOL

Looks like somebody made a boo boo, I think its suppose to be about 92l

[jimvb]

Thanks for the link, Truballer. I get the x's and the blank lines if I ask for Lee. But if I ask for TD 14 or for 92L, I get the run you describe. I note that the last run shows a hurricane but not as bad as that sickening Cat 5 black hole you showed us (that was the previous run). The link you showed me is different from the one I use, which I obtained by Googling on "experimental mm5fsu".

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

It includes WRF but does not include UKMET or MM5.

I am getting a little concerned about 92L. GFS says it's going to go fish, but that can change with future model runs.

[MiamiensisWx]

It is interesting to note that, for most of the time, models (including the runs) have been consistently showing a weakness in the ridge even through over 300 hours. This hints that there may most likely remain at least a partial ridge "hole" (weakness). INVEST.92L, especially if it strengthens, will most likely gradually recurve north once it nears the Bahamas. Things could change, though, and this is just my opinion. I'm watching this one...

[cjrciadt]

Let's not forget that the GFDL was the only model that forecasted the SW track of Katrina thru South Florida.

Correct, damn the GFDL being so accurate and me for being in such denial.

[Rainband]

Time to watch it. I for one am on a plane to PA if it comes anywhere near me.

[canegrl04]

This country's economy is scr**ed if another strong cane hits We just take take it

[hurricanefreak1988]

GFLD 23Z

Apparently, the LBAR thinks soon-to-be T.D. Fifteen is scared of South America.