Western side of Katrina is falling apart

ConvergenceZone · #21 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 1:56 am

They just mentioned on the weather channel that the trough is eroding the western side of it. I think I can confidently say now that there will be some weakening before land. hard to say how much though. The trough interaction will keep it from getting stronger.

ConvergenceZone · #22 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 1:57 am

Yep, just as I said that, they just said we have a strong Cat 4 now. It's been downgraded.

mtm4319 · #23 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 1:58 am

There's pretty much no way it'll be at cat 5 at landfall now.

ConvergenceZone · #24 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 1:59 am

mtm4319 wrote:There's pretty much no way it'll be at cat 5 at landfall now.

True, but at Cat 4 is still extremely ugly, especially in this neck of woods.

mtm4319 · #25 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:00 am

It's about to start heading east of north.

ConvergenceZone · #26 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:04 am

yep, New Orleans may escape the brunt of this. It was heading for a beeline for New Orleans, but now it's made quite the turn. I just hope those in Mississipi are prepared in case it turns further. Perhaps the trough caught up with it sooner than expected and is turning it quicker than expeced.

InshoreFanatic · #27 Postby **InshoreFanatic** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:04 am

MTM where do you get the idea its about to start heading east of north? :?:

#28 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:04 am

this is showing it what the western side looks like water vapor...

djtil · #29 Postby **djtil** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:05 am

It's about to start heading east of north.

yep...the first possible eastern bobbles/eye tricks have appeared on radar....the western eyewall also appears to be just to the east of new orleans still.....

things are looking up.

mtm4319 · #30 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:06 am

InshoreFanatic wrote:MTM where do you get the idea its about to start heading east of north?

As the eye is coming into short-range radar, it's been going pretty much due north. It might wobble for another hour or two, but the westward movement seems to have stopped. It won't likely make it to 89.7.

mtm4319 · #31 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:07 am

djtil wrote:
It's about to start heading east of north.

yep...the first possible eastern bobbles/eye tricks have appeared on radar....the western eyewall also appears to be just to the east of new orleans still.....

things are looking up.

Yes, we might be seeing New Orleans saved as we speak.

#32 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:07 am

djtil wrote:
It's about to start heading east of north.

yep...the first possible eastern bobbles/eye tricks have appeared on radar....the western eyewall also appears to be just to the east of new orleans still.....

things are looking up.

What about 155 mph is looking up? They are thinking that anything over cat 3 will be very bad for NOLO. This is not look up and I don't mean to be negative but, the fact of the matter is NOLO is starting to get pounded.....

djtil · #33 Postby **djtil** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:10 am

What about 155 mph is looking up? They are thinking that anything over cat 3 will be very bad for NOLO. This is not look up and I don't mean to be negative but, the fact of the matter is NOLO is starting to get pounded.....

"looking up" implies relativity.

if new orleans goes from getting the eyewall of a 175mph storm to just missing the eyewall of a 155mph (140 based on recon)...id call that looking up.

#34 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:11 am

djtil wrote:
What about 155 mph is looking up? They are thinking that anything over cat 3 will be very bad for NOLO. This is not look up and I don't mean to be negative but, the fact of the matter is NOLO is starting to get pounded.....

"looking up" implies relativity.

if new orleans goes from getting the eyewall of a 175mph storm to just missing the eyewall of a 155mph (140 based on recon)...id call that looking up.

ok

ConvergenceZone · #35 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:11 am

what he means is that New Orleans very well may escape the eyewall(where the strongest winds are), anything outside of the eyewall will probably be somewhere between 75 and 115 mph, which is still quite strong, but not as strong as if the eyewall would have hit the city, and perhaps it may go even further east than it is already. That's quite a shift.

InshoreFanatic · #36 Postby **InshoreFanatic** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:11 am

Mt any kind of jog east would be bad for us..........Im 19 and have sat through 3 recent hurricanes that mobile was suppose to get hit and we have been spared........Im guessin this is gonna be the worst ive seen

djtil · #37 Postby **djtil** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:13 am

it wont be as bad as ivan in mobile.

mtm4319 · #38 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:16 am

InshoreFanatic wrote:Mt any kind of jog east would be bad for us..........Im 19 and have sat through 3 recent hurricanes that mobile was suppose to get hit and we have been spared........Im guessin this is gonna be the worst ive seen

By jog east I mean by .2 or .3 degrees... not enough to cause any substantial difference in conditions for Mobile, trust me.

InshoreFanatic · #39 Postby **InshoreFanatic** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:16 am

I think you wrong imo :eek:

mtm4319 · #40 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Aug 29, 2005 2:20 am

InshoreFanatic wrote:I think you wrong imo

LOL. Based on what?

Western side of Katrina is falling apart

Who is online