Hurricane Katrina

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 20
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 06
Latest Recon Position: 28 mi SSW of Morgan City, Louisiana

Ob #01: 01:42:00Z; 29.2°N 92.1°W; PA: 17005 ft; D-Value: 758 ft; Wind: NE (35°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 29°F; Dewpt: 29°F; Max Wind: 35 mph; Radar Altitude: 18025 ft
Ob #02: 01:42:30Z; 29.2°N 92.1°W; PA: 16995 ft; D-Value: 751 ft; Wind: NE (36°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 28°F; Dewpt: 28°F; Max Wind: 36 mph; Radar Altitude: 18009 ft
Ob #03: 01:43:00Z; 29.2°N 92°W; PA: 17005 ft; D-Value: 751 ft; Wind: NNE (32°) @ 36 mph; Temp: 28°F; Dewpt: 28°F; Max Wind: 36 mph; Radar Altitude: 18018 ft
Ob #04: 01:43:30Z; 29.2°N 92°W; PA: 17001 ft; D-Value: 745 ft; Wind: NNE (30°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 28°F; Dewpt: 28°F; Max Wind: 36 mph; Radar Altitude: 18009 ft
Ob #05: 01:44:00Z; 29.2°N 91.9°W; PA: 16896 ft; D-Value: 741 ft; Wind: NNE (33°) @ 33 mph; Temp: 28°F; Dewpt: 28°F; Max Wind: 33 mph; Radar Altitude: 17897 ft
Ob #06: 01:44:30Z; 29.2°N 91.9°W; PA: 16312 ft; D-Value: 696 ft; Wind: NNE (33°) @ 33 mph; Temp: 30°F; Dewpt: 30°F; Max Wind: 33 mph; Radar Altitude: 17267 ft
Ob #07: 01:45:00Z; 29.2°N 91.8°W; PA: 15577 ft; D-Value: 630 ft; Wind: NE (36°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 31°F; Dewpt: 31°F; Max Wind: 36 mph; Radar Altitude: 16463 ft
Ob #08: 01:45:30Z; 29.2°N 91.8°W; PA: 14738 ft; D-Value: 541 ft; Wind: NE (36°) @ 38 mph; Temp: 33°F; Dewpt: 33°F; Max Wind: 39 mph; Radar Altitude: 15535 ft
Ob #09: 01:46:00Z; 29.2°N 91.8°W; PA: 13927 ft; D-Value: 489 ft; Wind: NE (44°) @ 44 mph; Temp: 36°F; Dewpt: 36°F; Max Wind: 44 mph; Radar Altitude: 14636 ft
Ob #10: 01:46:30Z; 29.2°N 91.7°W; PA: 13058 ft; D-Value: 495 ft; Wind: NE (44°) @ 45 mph; Temp: 39°F; Dewpt: 38°F; Max Wind: 45 mph; Radar Altitude: 13701 ft
Ob #11: 01:47:00Z; 29.2°N 91.7°W; PA: 12431 ft; D-Value: 446 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 46 mph; Temp: 42°F; Dewpt: 39°F; Max Wind: 47 mph; Radar Altitude: 13022 ft
Ob #12: 01:47:30Z; 29.2°N 91.6°W; PA: 11079 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 53 mph; Radar Altitude: 11565 ft
Ob #13: 01:48:00Z; 29.2°N 91.6°W; PA: 10200 ft; D-Value: 266 ft; Wind: ENE (57°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10607 ft
Ob #14: 01:48:30Z; 29.2°N 91.6°W; PA: 9957 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10341 ft
Ob #15: 01:49:00Z; 29.2°N 91.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 233 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10371 ft
Ob #16: 01:49:30Z; 29.2°N 91.5°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 230 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10384 ft
Ob #17: 01:50:00Z; 29.2°N 91.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 223 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10364 ft
Ob #18: 01:50:30Z; 29.2°N 91.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 223 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10364 ft
Ob #19: 01:51:00Z; 29.2°N 91.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 220 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10367 ft
Ob #20: 01:51:30Z; 29.1°N 91.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 220 ft; Wind: ENE (61°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10358 ft

[senorpepr]

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 20
Flight ID: AF305
Observation Number: 02
Time: 0100Z
Latitude: 29.2°N
Longitude: 93.6°W
Location: 54 mi ESE of High Island, Texas
Surface: 1002 mb; Temp: 91°F; Dewpt: 26.6°F; N (10°) @ 23 mph
1000mb height: 66 ft; Temp: 90°F; Dewpt: 25.4°F; N (10°) @ 24 mph
925mb height: 2359 ft; Temp: 80°F; Dewpt: 21.4°F; NNE (25°) @ 32 mph
850mb height: 4790 ft; Temp: 68°F; Dewpt: 17.9°F; NE (40°) @ 33 mph
700mb height: 10197 ft; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 3.4°F; NE (35°) @ 29 mph
SPL 2921N09363W 0133 MBL WND 01025 AEV 20507 DLM WND 03024
002543 WL150 00523 075 =

[steveklein]

the storm is falling apart. i am betting the pressure has risen 10-20 millibars and sustained winds are in the 130-140 range.

a little sheer is starting to interfere with it. great news. it's amazing how many bullets the gulf coast is dodging with lily, ivan, dennis, and opal... now katrina... all really losing their punch before coming in.

[CronkPSU]

the storm is falling apart. i am betting the pressure has risen 10-20 millibars and sustained winds are in the 130-140 range.

a little sheer is starting to interfere with it. great news. it's amazing how many bullets the gulf coast is dodging with lily, ivan, dennis, and opal... now katrina... all really losing their punch before coming in.

stop -removed-, there is absolutely nothing proving what you say, the reds are coming back in the IR's, the ye is perfect, over warm water, Dvorak's looking much better

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 20
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 07
Latest Recon Position: 44 mi SSE of Morgan City, Louisiana

Ob #01: 01:52:00Z; 29.1°N 91.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 220 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10361 ft
Ob #02: 01:52:30Z; 29.1°N 91.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 220 ft; Wind: ENE (61°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10364 ft
Ob #03: 01:53:00Z; 29.1°N 91.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 220 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10358 ft
Ob #04: 01:53:30Z; 29.1°N 91.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 217 ft; Wind: ENE (61°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10358 ft
Ob #05: 01:54:00Z; 29.1°N 91.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 213 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10354 ft
Ob #06: 01:54:30Z; 29.1°N 91.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 210 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10351 ft
Ob #07: 01:55:00Z; 29.1°N 91.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 203 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10344 ft
Ob #08: 01:55:30Z; 29.1°N 91.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 200 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10344 ft
Ob #09: 01:56:00Z; 29.1°N 91.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 197 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10335 ft
Ob #10: 01:56:30Z; 29.1°N 91.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 200 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10335 ft
Ob #11: 01:57:00Z; 29.1°N 91.1°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 194 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10341 ft
Ob #12: 01:57:30Z; 29.1°N 91.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 180 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10315 ft
Ob #13: 01:58:00Z; 29.1°N 91.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 174 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10318 ft
Ob #14: 01:58:30Z; 29°N 91.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 174 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10315 ft
Ob #15: 01:59:00Z; 29°N 91.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 167 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10312 ft
Ob #16: 01:59:30Z; 29°N 91°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 161 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10305 ft
Ob #17: 02:00:00Z; 29°N 91°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 157 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10292 ft
Ob #18: 02:00:30Z; 28.9°N 91°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 154 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10302 ft
Ob #19: 02:01:00Z; 28.9°N 91°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 148 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 66 mph; Radar Altitude: 10282 ft
Ob #20: 02:01:30Z; 28.9°N 91°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 67 mph; Radar Altitude: 10285 ft

[Cookiely]

the storm is falling apart. i am betting the pressure has risen 10-20 millibars and sustained winds are in the 130-140 range.

a little sheer is starting to interfere with it. great news. it's amazing how many bullets the gulf coast is dodging with lily, ivan, dennis, and opal... now katrina... all really losing their punch before coming in.

Can you give a link for this information, because the images don't show what you are implying.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[NorthGaWeather]

the storm is falling apart. i am betting the pressure has risen 10-20 millibars and sustained winds are in the 130-140 range.

a little sheer is starting to interfere with it. great news. it's amazing how many bullets the gulf coast is dodging with lily, ivan, dennis, and opal... now katrina... all really losing their punch before coming in.

Too bad nothing supports that. Yet.

[easterntree]

the storm is falling apart. i am betting the pressure has risen 10-20 millibars and sustained winds are in the 130-140 range.

a little sheer is starting to interfere with it. great news. it's amazing how many bullets the gulf coast is dodging with lily, ivan, dennis, and opal... now katrina... all really losing their punch before coming in.

that is absurd. weather is based on facts, not wishes.

[Brent]

the storm is falling apart. i am betting the pressure has risen 10-20 millibars and sustained winds are in the 130-140 range.

a little sheer is starting to interfere with it. great news. it's amazing how many bullets the gulf coast is dodging with lily, ivan, dennis, and opal... now katrina... all really losing their punch before coming in.

Keep thinking like that... because there is ZERO evidence.

THIS IS NOT, FOR THE LAST TIME, LILI/IVAN/DENNIS/OPAL...

[senorpepr]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 20
Flight ID: AF305
Observation Number: 03
Time: 0203Z
Latitude: 28.8°N
Longitude: 90.9°W
Location: 53 mi SSE of Morgan City, Louisiana
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: NE (50°) @ 56 mph
Temperature: 52°F
Dewpoint: 48°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
700mb height: 10000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 20
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 08
Latest Recon Position: 54 mi SSW of Grand Isle, Louisana

Ob #01: 02:02:00Z; 28.9°N 90.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 128 ft; Wind: ENE (57°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 65 mph; Radar Altitude: 10269 ft
Ob #02: 02:02:30Z; 28.8°N 90.9°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 121 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 63 mph; Radar Altitude: 10256 ft
Ob #03: 02:03:00Z; 28.8°N 90.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 115 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10262 ft
Ob #04: 02:03:30Z; 28.8°N 90.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 108 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10249 ft
Ob #05: 02:04:00Z; 28.8°N 90.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 102 ft; Wind: NE (51°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10246 ft
Ob #06: 02:04:30Z; 28.8°N 90.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 98 ft; Wind: NE (52°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10236 ft
Ob #07: 02:05:00Z; 28.7°N 90.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 92 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10236 ft
Ob #08: 02:05:30Z; 28.7°N 90.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 72 ft; Wind: NE (49°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10217 ft
Ob #09: 02:06:00Z; 28.7°N 90.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 72 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10213 ft
Ob #10: 02:06:30Z; 28.7°N 90.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 59 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 63 mph; Radar Altitude: 10197 ft
Ob #11: 02:07:00Z; 28.7°N 90.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 43 ft; Wind: NE (45°) @ 67 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 68 mph; Radar Altitude: 10184 ft
Ob #12: 02:07:30Z; 28.6°N 90.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 16 ft; Wind: NE (49°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 65 mph; Radar Altitude: 10154 ft
Ob #13: 02:08:00Z; 28.6°N 90.7°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 3 ft; Wind: NE (48°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 66 mph; Radar Altitude: 10154 ft
Ob #14: 02:08:30Z; 28.6°N 90.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -7 ft; Wind: NE (49°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 73 mph; Radar Altitude: 10131 ft
Ob #15: 02:09:00Z; 28.6°N 90.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -16 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 77 mph; Radar Altitude: 10128 ft
Ob #16: 02:09:30Z; 28.6°N 90.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -26 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 83 mph; Radar Altitude: 10108 ft
Ob #17: 02:10:00Z; 28.5°N 90.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -39 ft; Wind: NE (48°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 82 mph; Radar Altitude: 10105 ft
Ob #18: 02:10:30Z; 28.5°N 90.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -52 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 85 mph; Radar Altitude: 10085 ft
Ob #19: 02:11:00Z; 28.5°N 90.5°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -66 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 83 mph; Radar Altitude: 10082 ft
Ob #20: 02:11:30Z; 28.5°N 90.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -79 ft; Wind: NE (45°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 90 mph; Radar Altitude: 10062 ft

[Brent]

Are they going to make a fix before the 11pm advisory???

[floridahurricaneguy]

Where can I find updated map that shows how much damage there will be and where? Our main house and all our stuff is in mississippi as my dad still lives there and comes to florida on weekends? Is structural damage going to be bad there! Are we going to loose a lot you think?

Matt

[wxman57]

Didn't want to start a new thread for this. I went to the NHC's ftp site and downloaded their 17MB animated GIF on a projected Katrina path with surge using SLOSH. I edited out half the images or more and got it to 5MB:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/katsurge.gif

As you can see, somewhat less than 25 ft at GPT and only 4-6 ft in Mobile Bay.

[krysof]

Katrina is a smart, strong hurricane, I just can't believe that this worse case scenario seems to be happening. I can't imagine what tomorrow will be like.

[storms in NC]

the storm is falling apart. i am betting the pressure has risen 10-20 millibars and sustained winds are in the 130-140 range.

a little sheer is starting to interfere with it. great news. it's amazing how many bullets the gulf coast is dodging with lily, ivan, dennis, and opal... now katrina... all really losing their punch before coming in.

Keep thinking like that... because there is ZERO evidence.

THIS IS NOT, FOR THE LAST TIME, LILI/IVAN/DENNIS/OPAL...

Brent you know better to leason to them. you know what is going on they don't have a clue. What you call them trolls?

With that said I think it will get higher winds around 2am you will see if not sooner.

[wxmann_91]

THIS IS NOT, FOR THE LAST TIME, LILI/IVAN/DENNIS/OPAL...

But is it an Ethel???

(This is comedic relief BTW, not based on any accurate weather information. Ethel BTW occurred in 1960, was a storm that was supposedly a Cat 5 but weakened to a TS right at landfall, but records weren't right or something.)

[storms in NC]

the storm is falling apart. i am betting the pressure has risen 10-20 millibars and sustained winds are in the 130-140 range.

a little sheer is starting to interfere with it. great news. it's amazing how many bullets the gulf coast is dodging with lily, ivan, dennis, and opal... now katrina... all really losing their punch before coming in.

Keep thinking like that... because there is ZERO evidence.

THIS IS NOT, FOR THE LAST TIME, LILI/IVAN/DENNIS/OPAL...

Brent you know better to leason to them. you know what is going on they don't have a clue. What you call them trolls?

With that said I think it will get higher winds around 2am you will see if not sooner.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

My guest on what recon will find...

They will find the system slightly better defined. With flight level winds strong enough to hold onto the 160 if not 165 mph. In a pressure around 903 or 903 millibars.

[TPACane04]

I am sure alot of us will have the same sick feeling tomorrow watching Katrina arrive, much as we did on Tuesday 9/11/01.